Colombia vs D.R. Congo Prediction: 24 June 2026 World Cup Preview

Colombia enter this Group K fixture as the only side with a win on the board, following their commanding 3-1 demolition of Uzbekistan in the opener. D.R. Congo, meanwhile, held Portugal to a 1-1 draw, a result that earns respect but leaves them needing points against a Colombian side in confident form. The key angle here: Colombia have scored eight goals across their last five matches, while the Congolese defence has shipped only two in the same stretch, making the midfield battle between James Rodríguez and Samuel Moutoussamy a genuine pivot point for this game.

Luis Díaz has been Colombia’s most dangerous attacker, contributing two goals and two assists in his last three matches. For D.R. Congo, Yoane Wissa is the primary threat, carrying five fouls drawn and seven free kicks won across five games, showing his ability to create danger even in tight situations.

Hot stat: Colombia have scored in every half of their last three matches, netting eight goals total at an average of 2.67 per game, with zero red cards and only three yellow cards, suggesting a disciplined side that attacks without losing shape.

Colombia vs D.R. Congo Prediction

Colombia’s 100% win rate over the last 30 days, combined with a 3-1 win to open the group, points clearly toward a second consecutive victory. Their 43 total shots across five matches compared to D.R. Congo’s 26 reflects a significant attacking advantage. Colombia’s pass accuracy of 978 out of 1142 passes dwarfs Congo’s 931 from 1130, suggesting Colombia will control possession and dictate tempo.

D.R. Congo’s defensive 5-3-2 shape is built to absorb pressure, and their 23 interceptions in five games (versus Colombia’s 16) shows they press and disrupt well in transition. Their 35 fouls conceded across five games is notably higher than Colombia’s 30, which could open set-piece opportunities for Rodríguez and company. Colombia’s disciplined approach, with only three yellow cards in five matches, gives them a structural advantage in managing the game. We predict Colombia to win with a margin, and the total goals market leaning over is supported by Colombia’s scoring form.

• Best bet: Colombia to win
• Value play: Colombia to win and over 1.5 goals
• Lean: Over 2.5 total goals

Team Analysis

Colombia arrive at this fixture on a three-game winning streak, having beaten Uzbekistan 3-1, Jordan 2-0, and Costa Rica 3-1 in their most recent outings. Under Néstor Lorenzo, the team has found a reliable attacking rhythm, with multiple players contributing goals and assists rather than relying on a single striker. Their latest match, a 3-1 win over Uzbekistan to open the World Cup, saw Davinson Sánchez, Daniel Muñoz, and the attack all chip in, demonstrating a collective offensive threat. The 4-2-3-1 formation gives them width through Díaz and Jhon Arias while allowing Rodríguez to operate as the creative hub. Defensive discipline has been strong, conceding just one goal against Uzbekistan after shutting out Jordan entirely.

D.R. Congo come in with a mixed recent record. Their 1-1 draw against Portugal in the World Cup opener was a reasonable result, but the 1-2 defeat to Chile and a goalless draw against Denmark in the lead-up show inconsistency in front of goal. Coach Sébastien Desabre’s 5-3-2 setup is defensively oriented, and the team has managed only two goals in five matches. Their 0-0 draw with Denmark and 1-0 win over Jamaica highlight a side capable of grinding results but not one that creates freely. Against a Colombia side generating 43 shots in five games, the defensive block will face sustained pressure. Wissa remains the main outlet, but the service to him has been limited.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

There is no prior head-to-head data available between these two sides. The table below reflects the upcoming fixture’s pre-match expectation as listed.

🚨 Check out our dedicated Colombia vs D.R. Congo stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Colombia the Favourite

• Moneyline Colombia 1.50 | D.R. Congo 7.00
• Draw 4.20
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.40 | No 1.55

The odds reflect a strong bookmaker lean toward Colombia, with a 64% implied probability of a Colombian win. The draw at 4.20 and D.R. Congo at 7.00 signal very limited expectation of an upset. Colombia’s current form fully justifies these prices. The Under 2.5 line at roughly 1.75 is interesting given Congo’s defensive structure, but Colombia’s attacking volume makes the over the sharper call. BTTS No at around 1.55 aligns with our view that Congo will struggle to convert against a well-organised Colombian defence.

Possible Starting Lineups

Colombia Possible Starting Eleven

Camilo Vargas has the most playing time among the goalkeepers and is the clear first choice. The back four selects itself, with Lucumi and Sánchez as the central pair and Mojica and Arias providing width. Lerma and Ríos Montoya form a solid double pivot, screening the defence and recycling possession. Rodríguez operates in the number ten role, where his two assists in three games make him the key creative force. Luis Díaz, with two goals and two assists, is the player most likely to break the deadlock. Colombia will likely deploy their familiar 4-2-3-1, with Puerta offering an additional creative option in the second half if needed.

D.R. Congo Possible Starting Eleven

Mpasi-Nzau has played all three recent matches and is the established starter in goal. The five-man defence is built around Mbemba and Tuanzebe as the central anchors, with Wan-Bissaka providing defensive width and occasional overlap. Moutoussamy leads the midfield engine with 252 minutes played, while Edo Kayembe adds energy. Wissa is the focal point of the attack, having scored once and drawn the most free kicks. Bakambu offers experience alongside him. Desabre’s 5-3-2 is set up to frustrate Colombia, but the attacking output from this structure has been limited, and perhaps a more open approach will be forced on them as the match progresses.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Colombia are the clear pick here. Their attacking stats, form, and structural discipline all point to a second successive win. Eight goals in five matches, a 100% win rate in the last 30 days, and a squad with goals distributed across multiple positions make them a difficult side to contain. D.R. Congo’s defensive block will make this competitive for a period, but their inability to score freely, just two goals in five games, means they are unlikely to threaten Colombia’s backline consistently. We predict Colombia to win 2-0 or 3-0, with Luis Díaz and James Rodríguez the most likely contributors. The BTTS No and Colombia Win combination represents the best value on the board, to be honest. Congo’s draw with Portugal shows resilience, but Colombia are a step above that level right now.

Read also: Colombia vs D.R. Congo Head-to-Head: Record, Stats and Form (Updated June 2026)
Read also: Colombia vs Congo DR: Predicted Lineups for World Cup 2026
Read also: Colombia vs DR Congo Betting Odds
Read also: Colombia 2026 World Cup Preview: Squad, Odds, Prediction and Best Bets
Read also: DR Congo 2026 World Cup Preview: Squad, Odds, Prediction and Best Bets

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