Sofia Quijada
Two struggling sides meet at Estadio de Colegiales in Florida on June 13, with both clubs sitting in the bottom half of the Primera Nacional table. Colegiales sit 30th with 17 points from 16 matches, while San Martin Tucuman are somewhat better off in 14th with 22 points. Neither team has won more than once in their last five outings, making this a contest between two sides in desperate need of points. The interesting angle here is that San Martin Tucuman have managed just zero goals across their last four matches, a drought that puts enormous pressure on their attacking unit ahead of this trip to Florida.
San Martin Tucuman midfielder Nicolas Eduardo Castro stands out as a player to watch, picking up a yellow card across recent appearances and covering significant minutes in midfield. For Colegiales, the attacking output of the squad will depend heavily on replicating their 4-1 win over Club Atletico Guemes, the one bright performance in an otherwise flat recent run.
Hot stat: San Martin Tucuman have failed to score in four consecutive matches, accumulating just 35 shots across five games with zero goals to show for it. Their red card in that period compounds a disciplinary record that already includes 10 yellow cards in five matches.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera Nacional 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio de Colegiales, Florida, AR |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction
With San Martin Tucuman’s complete attacking shutdown over the last four games and Colegiales playing at home, we predict a low-scoring match where goals are at a premium. The hosts carry a slight home advantage and bookmakers back them at roughly 38%, though their own form is far from convincing with just one win in five. The draw is statistically plausible given how tight and defensive both sides have played.
San Martin Tucuman’s 4-1-4-1 shape is built for compactness rather than attacking intent, which fits their goalless run. Colegiales’ 4-4-2 offers more attacking width but their five-match goal tally of just four suggests they struggle to convert. San Martin Tucuman’s 10 yellow cards across five matches signals an aggressive, foul-heavy approach that could disrupt Colegiales’ rhythm but also opens up set-piece opportunities. Colegiales earned 24 corners in five games compared to San Martin Tucuman’s 17, giving the hosts an edge in dead-ball situations. We predict a tight home win or draw scenario, with under 2.5 goals being the standout value call.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Colegiales to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Colegiales have been inconsistent across their last five matches, collecting just one win, two draws, and two defeats. Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home loss to Atletico Rafaela, a side in the top third of the table and ranked considerably higher. Before that, back-to-back 0-0 draws against Agropecuario and Tristan Suarez showed a team that can be hard to beat but lacks the cutting edge to close out results. The 4-1 win over Club Atletico Guemes remains their standout performance, though that came against a side sitting 23rd in the table. Coach Jeff Strasser needs more consistency from his attacking line if Colegiales are to climb away from the relegation zone.
San Martin Tucuman’s recent form reads poorly across every metric. Their last five games produced zero goals, three losses, one draw, and one 0-0 stalemate. The 0-2 defeat to Midland and the 0-1 losses to Atletico Atlanta and Gimnasia y Tiro highlighted defensive fragility combined with an attack that simply cannot convert. Their only positive result in this stretch was a 0-0 draw with Quilmes. Going further back, their 2-0 win over Gimnasia Jujuy looks increasingly like an outlier. Coach Hernán De Camilo faces a pressing problem: his team generates shots (35 across five games) but cannot find the net, pointing to either poor finishing or a lack of quality in the final third. Facundo Pons has accumulated two yellow cards in three appearances, making him a discipline concern in a match where San Martin Tucuman can ill afford to go down to ten men.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Colegiales | San Martin Tucuman |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 9 | 4 |
| Total shots | 44 | 31 |
| Free kicks | 51 | 38 |
| Corner kicks | 17 | 13 |
| Total fouls | 37 | 45 |
The two Primera Nacional 2025 meetings split evenly, with each side winning once. Colegiales won 2-0 at home in the more recent fixture, while San Martin Tucuman claimed a 2-0 away win earlier in that campaign. Head-to-head, these teams are closely matched, and home advantage has proven decisive in both encounters.
🚨Check out our dedicated Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman stats page for more info.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Colegiales the Favourite
- Moneyline Colegiales 2.50 | San Martin Tucuman 3.10
- Draw 2.80
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Colegiales at 2.50 reflects a modest home advantage, and to be honest, those odds carry decent value given San Martin Tucuman’s complete attacking drought. The draw at 2.80 is also worth considering given both teams’ inability to string wins together. San Martin Tucuman at 3.10 looks fair given their current form, though a desperate away side can always produce something unexpected. The best value sits with Colegiales to win to nil, as the visitors have not scored in four straight matches and show little sign of breaking that run against a home side that can at least rely on set-piece opportunities from their corner count.
San Martin Tucuman. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Colegiales Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Emilio Di Fulvio
- DF: Defender 1, Defender 2, Defender 3, Defender 4
- MF: Midfielder 1, Midfielder 2, Midfielder 3, Midfielder 4
- FW: Forward 1, Forward 2
Colegiales line up in their familiar 4-4-2, with Emilio Di Fulvio the confirmed starter in goal after appearing in four of the last five matches. The provider data for Colegiales outfield players is limited, but the 4-4-2 shape gives the hosts a balanced structure with two banks of four and a pair of forwards to press San Martin Tucuman’s defensive line. The wide midfielders will be key in generating the corner opportunities Colegiales have been earning at a high rate.
San Martin Tucuman Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Darío Sand
- DF: E. Parnisari, Tiago Penalba, Elías López, Nahuel Gallardo
- MF: Nicolas Eduardo Castro, Santiago Briñone, J. Juárez, Laureano Rodríguez
- FW: Gonzalo Rodríguez, Benjamín Borasi
San Martin Tucuman deploy a 4-1-4-1 shape, though the available roster data suggests a back four built around E. Parnisari (360 minutes across four matches) and Elías López. Darío Sand starts in goal with 270 minutes logged. Nicolas Eduardo Castro anchors the midfield and carries a yellow card, making his discipline a concern. Facundo Pons has two yellows in three games and could be a risk at forward. Diego Diellos brings a red card in his recent record and may or may not feature, depending on De Camilo’s risk assessment heading into this away fixture.
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Colegiales. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a narrow Colegiales home win in a low-scoring, tightly contested match. San Martin Tucuman’s four-game scoring drought, combined with the highest yellow card count in recent fixtures (10 across five games) and a red card on record, points to a side under pressure and prone to ill-discipline. Colegiales at home have shown they can grind out results, and their corner count advantage suggests they will generate the better set-piece situations. The head-to-head record shows the home side won 2-0 in the most recent meeting between these clubs. We back Colegiales to win to nil as the primary tip, with under 2.5 goals and no BTTS as supporting selections. Perhaps the most telling factor is simply that San Martin Tucuman have not scored in four straight, and nothing in their recent performances suggests that changes on the road against a side fighting for points at home.
