Sofia Quijada
Two mid-table sides in Argentina’s second division meet on June 20 at the Estadio de Colegiales in Florida. Both Colegiales and Quilmes sit on 20 and 21 points respectively after 17 rounds, separated by just one point in the standings. With neither side pulling away from the relegation battle zone, this is a match where three points carry real weight. Quilmes have quietly put together a more productive attack in recent weeks, scoring twice in their last two matches, while Colegiales have found the net just once in their previous four outings before their 2-0 win over San Martin Tucuman.
Keep an eye on A. Lavezzi for Quilmes, who has contributed both a goal and an assist across the last five matches and is the most productive attacking player in the available data. For Colegiales, the squad data is limited, but the team’s overall discipline and set-piece output, 16 corners in five matches, signals a side that generates pressure through wide areas and dead-ball situations.
Hot stat: Quilmes have registered 26 total shots in their last five matches compared to Colegiales’ 17, and also lead significantly in corner kicks with 22 to Colegiales’ 16, pointing to a team that consistently pushes forward and creates more volume in the attacking third.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera Nacional 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio de Colegiales, Florida, Argentina |
| 🗓️ Date: | 20.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Colegiales vs Quilmes Prediction
The bookmakers lean toward Colegiales at home with a 43% win probability, but the odds from most books tell a more balanced story, with Colegiales priced around 2.10 and Quilmes at 3.50. Given the home side’s inconsistent form, scoring only two goals across four matches before their last win, and Quilmes’ superior recent shot and corner output, the value is not strongly on the home side.
We predict a low-scoring match. Both teams have shown a tendency to draw, with Colegiales picking up five draws this season and Quilmes six. Their head-to-head record, one win each in the last two meetings, also points to a tight contest. Quilmes’ 4-4-2 setup creates decent width and they have shown enough defensive solidity to keep things close on the road, conceding just one goal across their last two away fixtures.
In terms of style, Quilmes carry more yellow cards per game in the data (6 vs 5 for Colegiales over five matches), suggesting a more aggressive pressing approach. Colegiales, coached by Jeff Strasser, appear more conservative in their build-up, which can limit their output against compact defenses. The foul count and card data suggest this match may see some physical midfield battles, potentially slowing the tempo and reducing goal-scoring chances.
- We predict Quilmes to earn at least a point in this match, with a draw being the most likely outcome.
- Under 2.5 goals offers strong value given both teams’ recent scoring records.
- Corners over 9.5 is worth considering given both sides’ combined 38 corners in the last five matches each.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Quilmes Double Chance (Draw or Quilmes Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Colegiales arrive on the back of a positive result, beating San Martin Tucuman 2-0 in their most recent fixture after a run that included two consecutive draws against Agropecuario (0-0) and Tristan Suarez (0-0). Before that, they lost to Atletico Rafaela 0-1. Their 4-4-2 structure has produced inconsistent attacking output, with just six goals scored across the five most recent matches. The win over San Martin Tucuman was the first time they scored more than one goal in that run. The team under Strasser appears to build on defensive compactness, but their conversion rate remains a concern.
Quilmes come in with a more encouraging sequence. They beat Gimnasia y Tiro 1-0 in their last match, drew 0-0 with Agropecuario and San Martin Tucuman, and defeated Atletico Rafaela 2-0. Their only loss in this five-match stretch was a 0-1 defeat to Tristan Suarez. Leandro Gracián’s side has not conceded more than one goal in any of these five matches, and their defensive structure has been consistent. The 4-4-2 mirrors Colegiales’ setup, which sets up a midfield-dominated contest where transitions and set pieces will likely decide the outcome.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Colegiales | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Total shots | N/A | N/A |
| Free kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Corner kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Total fouls | N/A | N/A |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Interceptions | N/A | N/A |
| Offsides | N/A | N/A |
The two previous meetings in the Primera Nacional 2025 season each produced just one goal, and each team won one fixture. The bookmakers had Quilmes as slight favorites in one of those matches and Colegiales in the other, yet the results swung both ways, underlining how evenly matched these clubs are.
🚨Check out our dedicated Colegiales vs Quilmes stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Colegiales the Favourite
- Moneyline Colegiales 2.10 | Quilmes 3.50
- Draw 2.70
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Colegiales are priced as home favorites at around 2.10, which is reasonable given the home advantage, but the market is not offering strong confidence in them. The draw at 2.70 looks attractive given both teams’ season-long tendency to share points and the tight nature of their head-to-head history. Quilmes at 3.50 carries real value if you factor in their better recent form, higher shot volume, and a defense that has been difficult to break down in the last month.
Colegiales. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Colegiales Possible Starting Eleven
Emilio Di Fulvio is the confirmed starter in goal, having featured in four of the last five matches. The available Colegiales roster data is limited beyond the goalkeeper, but coach Jeff Strasser has consistently deployed a 4-4-2 shape. The team’s corner output of 16 in five matches suggests active fullbacks who push high. Strasser will likely set up to be compact at home and look to exploit set pieces, which have been their primary source of danger.
Quilmes Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Gonzalo Marinelli
- DF: Thomas Ortega, Martin Vallejos, Ariel Kippes, Luciano Recalde
- MF: Juan Yangali, A. Batista, Agustín Bolívar, Joaquin Postigo
- FW: A. Lavezzi, Aarón Spetale
Gonzalo Marinelli takes the starting spot in goal based on his three appearances, with E. Glellel likely rotating in. The back four of Ortega, Vallejos, Kippes, and Recalde has been the most consistent defensive unit in the data. Juan Yangali anchors the midfield with 360 minutes played across four matches, while A. Lavezzi up front is the key creative threat. Aarón Spetale has also scored once and logged over 300 minutes, making him a consistent starter in the 4-4-2. Gracián will likely prioritize midfield control and look to transition quickly through Lavezzi and Spetale.
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Quilmes. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
This is a classic mid-table derby in Argentina’s second division, where neither side can afford to lose. Colegiales sit on 20 points and Quilmes on 21, both in the lower half of a 36-team table. Their identical 40% win rates over the last 30 days and matching 29% season win rates make separating them on form alone very difficult.
Quilmes have the edge in attacking volume, 26 shots and 22 corners in five matches versus 17 and 16 for Colegiales, and their defensive record over the last five games is arguably stronger, conceding just one goal. Colegiales did beat San Martin Tucuman 2-0 last time out, but their previous three matches produced zero goals. To be honest, the draw is the most logical outcome here. Quilmes are capable of taking a point away from Florida, and the head-to-head record backs that up. We predict a 0-0 or 1-0 final score, with the draw or a narrow Quilmes win offering the best value on the board.
