Sofia Quijada
Cobreloa host Cobresal at the Municipal de Calama in a Group C clash of the Copa Chile 2026 that carries real stakes for the home side. Cobreloa sit second in the group with just one point from two games, meaning César Bravo’s men must win to stay in contention. The bookmakers give Cobreloa a 42% win probability despite Cobresal’s higher world ranking, largely because the home advantage in Calama at altitude is a genuine factor in Chilean football. Keep an eye on Julián Brea for Cobresal, who has chipped in with a goal across four appearances in recent weeks, and Stefan Pino, who leads the side with 15 shots across three matches and already has one goal to his name.
Hot stat: Cobresal have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 11 goals in the process, including a 0-3 defeat to Colo Colo and a 1-5 hammering by Universidad Católica.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Chile 2026, Group C |
| 🏟 Venue: | Municipal de Calama, Calama |
| 🗓️ Date: | 20.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Cobreloa vs Cobresal Prediction
Cobreloa’s form over the last 30 days reads two wins and two draws from four games, a 50% win rate that far outpaces Cobresal’s 20% over five matches. Cobresal have lost four straight heading into this fixture, and their overall 2026 win rate sits at just 22% from 23 matches. Cobreloa, at home in Calama, with a must-win scenario and a visibly better recent run, are the pick here.
Cobresal commit fouls frequently, averaging 8 per match across the last five games, while also picking up 6 yellow cards. Their 21 corner kicks conceded and 41 free kicks given away suggest a side under pressure that defends reactively. Cobreloa, playing at home with a direct 4-4-2 approach, should generate set-piece opportunities and exploit Cobresal’s defensive instability. The total goals market also looks interesting, as Cobresal have been leaking goals consistently.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Cobreloa to win & Over 1.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Cobreloa’s last five results show a mixed but competitive run: a 1-1 draw with Puerto Montt, a 2-0 win over Rangers de Talca, a 2-2 draw against Deportes Recoleta, a 4-1 victory over Copiapo, and a 1-5 loss to Santiago Wanderers. The heavy defeat to Wanderers was the outlier, and the wins over Talca and Copiapo were convincing. The Copa Chile group stage has been tougher, with one draw and one loss against Antofagasta, but at home Cobreloa tend to perform with more authority.
Cobresal’s recent five matches paint a bleak picture: a 0-3 loss to Colo Colo, a 1-5 defeat to Universidad Católica, a 0-1 loss to Nublense, a 1-2 loss to Audax Italiano, and a 1-0 win over Universidad de Chile. That solitary win came against a side with a world ranking of 261, and the four losses were against top Chilean clubs. Gustavo Huerta’s side has struggled to score and has conceded 12 goals in four of those five games. The attacking output from Stefan Pino and Julián Brea offers some threat, but the defensive structure has been consistently exposed.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Cobreloa | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3 |
| Total shots | N/A | N/A |
| Free kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Corner kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Total fouls | N/A | N/A |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Interceptions | N/A | N/A |
| Offsides | N/A | N/A |
The only recorded head-to-head meeting is from the Chilean Primera División 2024 Regular Season, where Cobresal won 3-2 despite bookmakers heavily favouring Cobreloa at 54%. That result is worth noting, as Cobresal have shown they can cause upsets even in poor form periods.
🚨Check out our dedicated Cobreloa vs Cobresal stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Cobreloa the Favourite
- Moneyline Cobreloa 2.13 | Cobresal 2.94
- Draw 3.13
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The odds at around 2.13 for Cobreloa represent reasonable value given their home advantage and Cobresal’s dismal recent form. Cobresal at 2.94 reflects a genuine upset potential, backed by their surprise H2H win in 2024, but their current 1-win-in-5 run makes that price hard to back with confidence. The draw at 3.13 is not unreasonable given the Copa Chile context, but Cobreloa’s need for a win should push them to be more aggressive than in a typical league fixture.
Cobresal. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Cobreloa Possible Starting Eleven
Cobreloa’s player data was not available in the provided dataset, so the lineup below is built on known squad information and the confirmed 4-4-2 formation used across their last five matches under César Bravo.
Cobreloa operate in a 4-4-2 that prioritises defensive shape and direct attacking transitions. César Bravo’s side has scored in four of their last five matches, and the two-striker system is designed to press high and win second balls. The Copa Chile context, combined with the need for a result, suggests Bravo will name a strong side here.
Cobresal Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Alejandro Santander
- DF: Guillermo Pacheco, Franco Bechtholdt, José Tiznado, Aaron Astudillo
- MF: Bryan Carvallo, Agustín Nadruz, Esteban Valencia, Antonio Castillo
- FW: Stefan Pino, Julián Brea
Gustavo Huerta lines up in a 4-4-2, with Alejandro Santander as the clear first-choice goalkeeper after four consecutive appearances. The back four of Pacheco, Bechtholdt, Tiznado, and Astudillo has been consistent, though the unit has leaked goals heavily. Agustín Nadruz carries the most yellow card risk in midfield with 2 bookings from 4 games. Up front, Stefan Pino leads with 15 total shots across three matches, making him the primary attacking threat, with Julián Brea providing support having already scored once this campaign. Franco Frias and Renato Huerta offer rotation cover from the bench.
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Cobreloa. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a Cobreloa win in this match. The home side carries a 50% win rate over the last 30 days, plays in a familiar high-altitude environment, and faces a Cobresal side that has won just once in five outings while conceding 12 goals across four of those games. Cobresal’s defensive numbers are alarming: 32 fouls, 6 yellow cards, and 41 free kicks conceded across five matches signal a backline under constant stress. Cobreloa, pressing high in a 4-4-2 with direct strikers, should find openings.
The only pause for thought is the one H2H result on record, where Cobresal came from behind to beat Cobreloa 3-2 as heavy underdogs. Stefan Pino’s shot volume is also a reminder that Cobresal can create. To be honest, the value here sits with Cobreloa to win combined with over 2.5 goals, given how open Cobresal have been at the back and how freely goals have flowed in their recent fixtures. Both teams to score also looks justified, as Cobresal have scored in four of their last five despite the losses.
