Sofia Quijada
This is a genuine top-four clash in the Primera Nacional 2026 Regular Season. Deportivo Moron sit first with 31 points from 16 games, while Ciudad de Bolivar occupy fourth with 27 points, having played the same number of matches. The gap is just four points, and Ciudad de Bolivar have only one league loss all season, making this a tight, high-stakes fixture. Moron’s superior attack, 24 goals scored to Bolivar’s 13, is the key number to watch. Midfielder Franco Fagundez Acosta has been Moron’s most productive player in recent weeks, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist across the last four matches. For Bolivar, forward Guillermo Sanchez is the focal point of their attack, though he has been limited to 273 minutes across the last five games.
Hot stat: Deportivo Moron have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches, firing 46 total shots, while Ciudad de Bolivar managed just 15 shots across the same period. Moron’s shot volume is more than three times that of their hosts.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera Nacional 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, San Carlos de Bolivar |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Ciudad de Bolivar vs Deportivo Moron Prediction
Deportivo Moron are the stronger side on paper, carrying better attacking output, more shots, and a higher win rate this season (56% vs 35%). Ciudad de Bolivar’s strength lies in defensive solidity, just one league defeat and 13 goals conceded in 16 games. Their form reads dddddwdwwlwwwdd, showing a tendency to draw, particularly in recent weeks. Moron’s form reads wwwlwlwlwddlwww, inconsistent but with clear attacking intent. Given Bolivar’s stubborn defensive shape and their draw-heavy recent run, a low-scoring, competitive match is the most likely outcome. We predict Deportivo Moron to win or draw, but the value sits in the draw market given Bolivar’s record of just one loss all season and their clear preference for compact, disciplined football.
Bolivar’s 10 yellow cards in 5 matches signals an aggressive defensive approach, and with Moron collecting 7 cards over the same stretch, this match will likely have a physical edge. Moron’s 14 corners to Bolivar’s 13 suggests both sides generate set-piece pressure. Bolivar’s limited shot output points to a counter-attacking style, which could neutralize Moron’s dominance in open play. The red card Moron picked up recently is worth monitoring for disciplinary carryover.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ciudad de Bolivar Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Ciudad de Bolivar have been defensively excellent this season, and their last five matches confirm that trend. They beat Chaco For Ever 1-0, Acassuso 1-0, and San Telmo 1-0 in three consecutive narrow wins before drawing 1-1 with San Miguel and 0-0 with Colon Santa Fe. Coach Diego Funes has built a side that grinds results rather than dominates games. Their last match, a goalless draw against Colon, was a typical performance: organized, low-risk, and hard to break down. With just 15 shots across five matches, Bolivar rely on defensive structure over attacking volume.
Deportivo Moron come into this match in strong form across most of their recent outings. They beat Almirante Brown 1-0 most recently, followed up a 3-1 win over CA Mitre, and a 2-0 victory against CA Estudiantes. Their only blemish was a 0-1 home loss to All Boys, sandwiched between a 0-0 draw with Los Andes. Walter Otta’s side are prolific when on song, and their 46 shots in five games show they commit to attacking football. Fagundez Acosta, Contreras, Olivares, and Toloza have all contributed goals recently, giving Moron genuine depth in attack.
🚨Check out our dedicated Ciudad de Bolivar vs Deportivo Moron stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Deportivo Moron the Favourite
- Moneyline Ciudad de Bolivar 2.83 | Deportivo Moron 3.10
- Draw 2.57
The market prices this as an open contest, with the draw at 2.57 (Pinnacle) representing fair value. Bolivar’s draw-heavy form and defensive record make the draw line genuinely appealing. Moron at 3.10 is interesting given their league position and attacking output, but their inconsistency, four wins and four non-wins in the last eight, keeps the price honest. Bolivar at 2.83 is shorter than their attacking stats justify; they have managed just three goals in five matches. We see the draw or Moron double chance as the most sensible angle.
Possible Starting Lineups
Ciudad de Bolivar Possible Starting Eleven
Rufinetti has started every available match in the data and is the undisputed first choice between the posts. Navarro anchors the back line, and Yeri provides energy and discipline in midfield, picking up one yellow card across four appearances. Sanchez leads the line but has been used sparingly in terms of full 90-minute appearances, suggesting Funes manages his minutes carefully. The 4-2-3-1 formation gives Bolivar defensive cover and a platform to counter-attack through Sanchez.
Deportivo Moron Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Julio Salvá
- DF: Mariano Bittolo, Braian Salvareschi, F. Vázquez
- MF: Mauro Burruchaga, Juan Manuel Olivares, Elias Contreras, Franco Fagundez Acosta
- FW: Franco Toloza, Matias Benitez
Salvá has been consistent in goal across four appearances. The back four features Bittolo, who also contributes offensively with an assist, alongside Salvareschi and Vazquez. In midfield, Fagundez Acosta is the standout, with 2 goals and 1 assist in four games, and Contreras adds 1 goal and 1 assist. Olivares chipped in with a goal from midfield as well, giving Moron real scoring depth. Toloza leads the forward line, contributing 1 goal and 1 assist. Otta’s 4-4-2 gives Moron width and the ability to press high, which will test Bolivar’s defensive shape from the first whistle.
🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Ciudad de Bolivar. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
This match has the hallmarks of a tight, low-scoring affair. Ciudad de Bolivar have conceded just 8 goals in 16 league games and have lost only once all season. Their recent run of draws, including back-to-back draws against San Miguel and Colon, fits the pattern of a team that absorbs pressure and limits damage rather than chasing games. Deportivo Moron are the more attacking side, but their form has been inconsistent, and they have failed to score in two of their last five matches. We predict a draw, with Under 2.5 goals as our primary market. The draw at 2.57 with Pinnacle offers real value given Bolivar’s defensive record and the competitive nature of this top-four meeting. To be honest, a 1-0 or 0-0 scoreline would surprise nobody watching this Primera Nacional season unfold.
