Sofia Quijada
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Two teams stuck in the lower half of the Primera Nacional table meet at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, and the gap between them on paper is just one point. The real story sits in the form column though: Chaco For Ever arrive unbeaten in six matches across the last month, while Ciudad de Bolivar have won only once in five and scored a meager two goals in their last five outings combined. That contrast, more than the standings, shapes our view of this fixture.
Watch Leandro Fernandez up front for Chaco For Ever, he has logged 352 minutes across the last five games and remains their main outlet on the counter. For the hosts, Guillermo Sanchez carries the attacking burden despite a quiet scoring run, and his movement will be tested against a Chaco backline that has conceded very little of late.
Hot stat: Chaco For Ever have doubled Ciudad de Bolivar’s output in almost every attacking metric over the last five matches, 52 shots to 29 and 26 corners to 15, while scoring five goals against just two for the hosts.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera Nacional 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, San Carlos de Bolivar |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Ciudad de Bolivar vs Chaco For Ever prediction
The market leans toward the hosts, but the numbers tell a different story. Chaco For Ever have taken four wins and two draws from their last six games, a 67% winrate against Ciudad de Bolivar’s 20%. We predict the away side avoids defeat here, and a Double Chance bet on Chaco For Ever offers real value against odds that still favour the home side. Ciudad de Bolivar have leaked goals defensively too, conceding three to Deportivo Madryn and losing their last match at home to Ferro Carril Oeste, so their recent home form does not inspire confidence.
Both sides play a 4-4-2 shape, but discipline levels differ sharply. Ciudad de Bolivar picked up nine yellow cards and two reds in their last five matches against seven yellows and one red for Chaco For Ever, suggesting the hosts may be chasing the game more often than controlling it. Chaco’s pass accuracy and shot volume point to a side comfortable holding possession, which should translate into set-piece and corner advantages here too.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Chaco For Ever Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Ciudad de Bolivar’s last outing ended in a 0-1 defeat to Ferro Carril Oeste, extending a run where they have won just once in five. A 0-0 draw with Central Norte Salta and a 1-3 loss to Deportivo Madryn preceded that game, though a 1-0 win over Defensores de Belgrano showed some fight. Their attack has stalled badly, and sitting 20th with a negative goal difference reflects a side struggling for consistency at both ends of the pitch.
Chaco For Ever go into this match off a 1-0 win over Almirante Brown, their fourth victory in six games. Before that, they drew 0-0 with CA Mitre, beat CA Estudiantes 1-0, drew 0-0 with All Boys and thrashed San Miguel 3-0. The pattern is clear, tight defensively, clinical enough in attack, and building momentum despite sitting just below Ciudad de Bolivar in the table.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Ciudad de Bolivar | Chaco For Ever |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Ciudad de Bolivar vs Chaco For Ever stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ciudad de Bolivar the favourite
- Moneyline Ciudad de Bolivar 2.33 | Chaco For Ever 3.22
- Draw 2.74
Bookmakers price Ciudad de Bolivar as the favourite at home, but the gap to Chaco For Ever’s odds is not wide, and the draw price around 2.74 reflects a genuinely open contest. Given the form disparity in Chaco’s favour, we see the away odds as generous and think the market is overweighting home advantage here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Ciudad de Bolivar possible starting eleven
- GK: Agustín Rufinetti
- DF: Tomás Guiacobini, Ezequiel Navarro
- MF: Nahuel Yeri
- FW: Guillermo Sanchez, lautaro villegas, Francisco Ilarregui
Rufinetti has started all five recent matches and stays first choice. Sanchez and Ilarregui rotate up front in the 4-4-2, with Sanchez the more direct threat despite the lack of goals. Guiacobini has picked up a yellow card in recent games and needs to stay disciplined against a lively Chaco front line.
Chaco For Ever possible starting eleven
- GK: G. Canuto
- DF: David Valdez, Mathias Silvera, Lucas Pruzzo
- MF: Andrés Lioi, Enzo Gaggi, Santiago valenzuela
- FW: Leandro Fernandez, Juan Cruz Cerrudo, M. Romero, Mauricio Tévez
Valdez and Silvera have played every minute available in the last five games and anchor a defence that has kept multiple clean sheets recently. Fernandez leads the attack in minutes played, while Romero’s recent goal off limited minutes makes him a useful option from the bench or as an early starter if Llorens wants extra firepower.
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Ciudad de Bolivar. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Chaco For Ever leave San Carlos de Bolivar with at least a point. Their defensive record over the last six matches, combined with Ciudad de Bolivar’s inability to score more than one goal in a game recently, points toward a low-scoring, cagey affair. To be honest, the home crowd might carry Ciudad de Bolivar in patches, but form and shot data both back the visitors here. Our lean is Chaco For Ever Double Chance paired with Under 2.5 goals, with BTTS No as the value side bet given how blunt the home attack has looked lately.
