Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico Prediction: 23.06.2025 Liga 1

The Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in Cusco is set for an intriguing Liga 1 Apertura clash on 23rd June 2025, as Cienciano hosts Alianza Atletico. Both sides enter the contest at unique turning points in their respective campaigns Cienciano searching for rhythm amid draws, Alianza Atletico stringing together a remarkable winning run. With the home side led by Carlos Desio and Gerardo Ameli orchestrating from the visitors’ bench, an enticing tactical battle awaits.

All eyes will naturally gravitate to Gaspar Gentile for Cienciano. His twin strikes in the last three outings have injected real menace into the hosts’ attack, while Alianza Atletico’s M. Graneros is in irresistibly efficient form, scoring twice in just his last two starts. With both sets of attackers buzzing, the match promises an engaging duel up front yet midfield pivots like Cienciano’s Claudio Torrejón and Alianza Atletico’s Frank Ysique will likely define the flow and shape the balance of play.

Perhaps the “hot stat” for the contest? Alianza Atletico have won their last seven consecutive matches across all competitions a thunderous run that’s propelled them to 4th place and left fans wondering if they’re this campaign’s sleeper pick for silverware.

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Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico prediction

Given the contrasting forms, my value prediction leans towards a Cienciano win likely with both teams finding the net. Despite Cienciano’s streak of draws and a somewhat stuttering home record, they remain tough to break down in Cusco, while Alianza Atletico’s away exploits have been sharp but tested against less cohesive opposition. Expect Cienciano to leverage their possession-centric style (747 passes in the last five matches, 80%+ accuracy) to control tempo, but Alianza Atletico’s counter-punching prowess and recent scoring streaks present a real danger, especially on transitions.

Both teams are disciplined averaging just over 3 yellow cards across the last five games each and no reds. Cienciano has a marginally higher foul count (35 vs 28) and presses with intent, but Alianza Atletico’s midfield, steered by Ysique and Illanes, has shown resilience and ability to break up play. Corners could be a talking point, with Cienciano slightly more active (9 vs 10), and the hosts’ set-piece routines have been productive. These factors all point towards a high-intensity, closely contested encounter.

Team Analysis

Cienciano come into this clash on the back of a gritty 0-0 draw with Cusco, part of a recent trio of stalemates. Despite a lack of cutting edge in that latest outing, they previously hammered Cajamarca 6-1 and even shared honours with continental powerhouse Atletico Mineiro (1-1) a result that should add steel to their confidence. Their tactical shape has stabilised in a 3-2-4-1 setup, allowing midfield anchor Torrejón to marshal play and forwards like Gentile to thrive on swift transitions.

Alianza Atletico are riding a tidal wave of momentum, securing their seventh straight victory last out with a stylish 3-0 against Comerciantes Unidos. Before that, scalps against Los Chankas (2-1) and Garcilaso (1-0) combined tight defence with clinical attacking. Their 3-4-2-1 not only maximises central solidity but empowers wingers to join the press and overload wide channels. The only caveat: their defensive workload will increase facing Cienciano’s pass-heavy approach.

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🚨Read our full Cienciano vs Alianza Atletico stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cienciano the favourite

• Moneyline Cienciano 1.50 | Alianza Atletico 7.00
• Draw 3.80
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.96 | Under 2.5 1.81
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.68

Cienciano enter as clear favourites with the bookmakers’ consensus (around 1.50 for the home win versus 7.00 for the visitors). The odds sharply reflect the altitude advantage and the hosts’ formidable record in Cusco, as well as Alianza Atletico’s underdog status on the road despite their current form. A draw is somewhat plausible at 3.80 indicative of Cienciano’s spate of recent stalemates while the relatively even money on over 2.5 hints at an open affair. Both teams to score is attractively priced, given each side’s recent attacking spark, but the bookies clearly have faith in Cienciano’s ability to grind out results in front of their own fans.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Cienciano possible starting eleven

Cienciano are expected to stick with their trusted 3-2-4-1 system, which provides solidity at the back and numbers in midfield. Barrios anchors the defence while Estrada, Galeano, and Ortiz offer steadiness with overlapping support. In midfield, the all-action Torrejón partners with González and Arias for resourceful ball transitions. Neira Herrera’s bursts add offensive impetus. Up front, Gentile and Da Silva each with two recent goals are likely to pose a constant threat, especially with Gentile’s movement between lines and Da Silva’s knack for timely finishes.

Alianza Atletico possible starting eleven

Alianza Atletico should lean on their winning 3-4-2-1 shape, with Prieto between the sticks. Defenders Villegas, Benincasa, and Perleche have developed impressive chemistry over recent matches. The midfield quartet Ysique, Lupú, Illanes, and Fernández are pivotal, tasked with both screening the defence and supporting the attack. Up front, Graneros is the band leader, coming off two goals in as many matches, ably flanked by Diaz and Larios Saavedra. Expect Graneros to spearhead counters and Diaz to stretch the Cienciano backline.

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The Verdict

Everything points towards a fiercely competitive tie, but with Cienciano’s fortress mentality at home in the rarefied air of Cusco, it’s hard to bet against them snapping their draw streak. The hosts’ blend of patient build-up and chance creation should tip the balance even as Alianza Atletico’s form makes this far from straightforward. Our main pick: Cienciano to win, but the visitors will not go quietly and should trouble the score sheet. An entertaining draw is by no means out of the question if Alianza Atletico’s clinical streak continues. Strap in for tactical chess, attacking moments, and some proper Liga 1 grit!

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