Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Liga MX 2026 Clausura Match - 18.01.2026

The Estadio Akron in Guadalajara sets the stage for an early-season Liga MX clash packed with intrigue, as Chivas Guadalajara host Queretaro on January 18, 2026. Scheduled for kick-off at 01:07 CEST, this match comes in the heart of the Clausura’s regular season—a phase that already promises drama and storylines worthy of Mexico’s passionate footballing tradition.
Chivas Guadalajara’s exceptional start under Gabriel Milito is colliding with Queretaro’s ambitions to defy expectations under Esteban González. The hosts have seized two straight wins without conceding a single goal, while Queretaro enter seeking their inaugural victory of the campaign, aware that form and recent statistics tilt the odds firmly against them.

Among the key protagonists, Chivas’s dynamic midfielder Daniel Aguirre—already a scorer this season—anchors a disciplined midfield, while Queretaro’s lively forward Ali Ávila brings threat and urgency to the visitors’ attacking transitions. Each is poised to leave their mark.

A “hot stat”? Chivas Guadalajara have not conceded in four consecutive matches across all competitions—a defensive solidity emblematic of Milito’s influence.

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Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro predictions

My best bet: Chivas Guadalajara to win & Under 3.5 goals.
This pairing showcases a clear gap in recent form and quality. Chivas Guadalajara have won both opening matches, exhibiting impressively balanced football, conceding neither a single goal nor an inch of ground in midfield. Their creative build-up, combined with a well-drilled back line, consistently frustrate opponents—reflected in their recent victories and statistical edge in pass accuracy (84 percent) and interceptions (11 per match).

Queretaro, conversely, have struggled to produce attacking danger—managing only two goals over the last five matches and posting a mere 0 percent win rate this season. While their midfield disrupts play effectively (19 interceptions/match), wastefulness in possession and moderate shooting output limit their threat.

Both teams typically start in a 3-4-2-1, leading to crowded midfields and measured attacking surges. Fouls are frequent: Chivas average 19 while Queretaro sit at 20 per game, with the latter registering four yellow cards from just two matches, suggesting a risk of disruptions and possible set-piece drama. In terms of ball possession and quality of passing, Chivas demonstrate superiority, outpacing Queretaro with 995 passes at 84 percent accuracy versus the visitors’ 711 passes at 81 percent.

Prop picks by me:

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro Most recent H2Hs

In their most recent meetings, Chivas Guadalajara have generally asserted control, but Queretaro proved capable of frustrate the hosts—winning 1-0 in the 2025 Apertura despite being underdogs. However, over the last three head-to-heads, Chivas have two positive results (a win and a draw), and have added significant defensive intensity since then.

🚨Read our full Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Chivas Guadalajara have not conceded a goal in their last four matches across all competitions.
• Queretaro have failed to win any of their past five matches, scoring just two goals in that span.
• Both clubs employ a 3-4-2-1 formation, but Chivas average 84 percent passing accuracy compared with Queretaro’s 81 percent.
• Average total goals in the last three H2H fixtures: 1.3
• Chivas complete 995 passes over five games, underscoring their possession dominance.
• Queretaro average twice as many yellow cards per match as Chivas in recent games.

Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro score prediction: 2-0

Chivas Guadalajara’s airtight defense and midfield stability set the foundation for a controlled home victory. Look for Daniel Aguirre’s dynamic play and the composure of Omar Govea in midfield to overwhelm Queretaro’s resistance. At the other end, expect Queretaro’s Ali Ávila to search for counter-opportunities, though the solidity of Chivas’s back line—anchored by Jose Castillo and Bryan Gonzalez—should keep clean sheet dreams alive.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chivas Guadalajara the favourite

The odds are heavily in Chivas Guadalajara’s favor—a projection buttressed by their unbeaten streak and home-field authority. With the implied probability at 70 percent for a Chivas victory (bookmakers), investors may find greatest value in pairing the home win with an Under goals market, acknowledging the hosts’ pragmatic game model. Draws appear less likely, and an outright Queretaro win is considered improbable given current form and historical trends.

Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro Over/Under Analysis

• Each of the last three H2H matches produced two goals or fewer.
• Chivas’s last four competitive fixtures have all gone Under 2.5 goals.
• Queretaro have scored only twice in their last five outings.
• Current Over 2.5 odds suggest a closely contested affair—leaning clearly towards a low-scoring contest.

Chivas Guadalajara Preview

Chivas Guadalajara enter this tie on surging momentum: two league wins—including a 1-0 shutout of Juarez and a 2-0 victory over Pachuca—have positioned them among the Clausura’s early pacesetters. Recent form (WWW) is based on a blend of high possession, relentless pressing, and composure in front of goal. The defense, marshaled by Jose Castillo and Bryan Gonzalez, remains unbreached in 2026, and midfielders Daniel Aguirre and Omar Govea offer creative and defensive balance.

Chivas Guadalajara possible starting eleven

Queretaro Preview

Queretaro’s recent results paint a picture of resilience tinged with frustration: a 1-1 draw with Pumas U.N.A.M. followed by a valiant but unsuccessful 2-1 showing against Club Tijuana. Their attack leans on the directness of Mateo Coronel and Ali Ávila, with Jean Unjanque the creative pulse in midfield. Defensive organization is clear, but lapses under pressure persist, impacting results. Going forward, improved discipline and sharper finishing will be critical for any hopes of an upset.

Queretaro possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

Our Tips.GG team expert view: All data point to a confident home win for Chivas Guadalajara. Their clean sheet record, fluid passing, and quality finishing create an intimidating proposition for any opponent. Queretaro’s defensive tenacity may delay the inevitable, but barring a major shock, this clash should reinforce Chivas’s early title ambitions.
Predicted winning probability: 73 percent for Chivas (AI prediction engine).

How to watch Chivas Guadalajara vs Queretaro

• When? 18.01.2026
• Kick-off time: 01:07 CEST
• Where? Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
• How to watch: Local broadcaster in MX, official Liga MX digital platform, or check streaming options via Thunderpick partners.
• Favorite: Chivas Guadalajara

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