Liam Duckstein
Two of English football’s biggest rivals meet in Sydney on August 1, and the context makes this more than a routine pre-season outing. Xabi Alonso’s Chelsea and Roberto De Zerbi’s Tottenham have already played each other this calendar year in the Premier League, with Chelsea winning that encounter 2-1 back in March. That result adds a layer of edge to what is officially a friendly. Chelsea come in off a wild 6-4 win over Western Sydney, while Tottenham drew 1-1 with local side Sydney just days ago.
Keep an eye on João Pedro for Chelsea. He bagged a hat-trick against Western Sydney and added an assist, making him the standout attacker heading into this fixture. For Tottenham, Mathys Tel has been quietly building form across three appearances this pre-season, contributing a goal and an assist while showing sharp movement off the ball.
Hot stat: Tottenham have registered an extraordinary 49 total shots across their last five matches, more than double Chelsea’s 25 in the same period, suggesting De Zerbi’s side are creating volume in attack even if the finishing has been inconsistent.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, August |
| 🏟 Venue: | Accor Stadium, Sydney |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 11:45 CEST |
Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction
Chelsea are the slight bookmakers’ favourite at around 43% implied probability, and the recent head-to-head record supports that lean. They have won the last three meetings between these sides across all competitions. Xabi Alonso’s squad looks well-organised even in pre-season, and the attacking firepower on display against Western Sydney was real, even accounting for the quality of the opposition.
Tottenham have played three friendlies to Chelsea’s one this summer, which gives De Zerbi more time to implement his system. That extra match sharpness could matter in the second half. Still, Chelsea’s win rate this year sits at 44% compared to Tottenham’s 29%, and the gap in overall output is hard to ignore.
Chelsea commit fewer fouls on average across their last five matches (9 total versus Tottenham’s 22), which suggests a more disciplined defensive structure. Tottenham’s higher foul count reflects De Zerbi’s press-heavy approach, which can leave them exposed on the counter. Chelsea, with Cole Palmer pulling strings and Liam Delap running channels, are well set to exploit that. We predict Chelsea to win this match, with both teams likely to score given the open nature of pre-season football and Tottenham’s volume of shots.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Chelsea to Win & Both Teams to Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Chelsea’s form over the past 30 days has been perfect, with one match played and one win recorded. That win came in emphatic fashion against Western Sydney, a 6-4 scoreline that was end-to-end but showed real attacking intent. Before that, Chelsea’s results were more mixed, with losses to Sunderland and Manchester City, a draw with Liverpool, and their 2-1 Premier League win over Tottenham in March. The Western Sydney fixture showed what this squad can do at full tilt, with João Pedro leading the line and Jamie Gittens adding a goal from the flank.
Tottenham arrive in better recent rhythm, winning two of their last three pre-season games. They beat Auckland FC 2-0 and MK Dons 1-0, with the 1-1 draw against Sydney coming in their most recent outing. Richarlison, Dane Scarlett, and Mathys Tel have all contributed goals this pre-season, and Conor Gallagher has been active in midfield with five interceptions across three appearances. The squad depth De Zerbi is rotating through looks solid, though conceding against Sydney will have been a minor concern going into a tougher test.
🚨Check out our dedicated Chelsea vs Tottenham stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Chelsea the Favourite
- Moneyline Chelsea 2.14 | Tottenham 2.82
- Draw 3.61
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Chelsea’s average odds of around 2.14 represent fair value given their head-to-head dominance and superior year-to-date win rate. The draw at 3.61 is not particularly attractive given the attacking output both sides have shown this pre-season. Tottenham at 2.82 could tempt some, especially with their extra match sharpness, but we lean toward Chelsea as the more consistent side at this stage of the summer.
Possible Starting Lineups
Chelsea Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Robert Sanchez
- DF: Josh Acheampong, Tosin Adarabioyo, Levi Colwill, Wesley Fofana
- MF: Romeo Lavia, Dario Essugo, Cole Palmer
- FW: Jamie Gittens, Liam Delap, João Pedro
Chelsea are likely to line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1 shape under Xabi Alonso. Robert Sanchez starts in goal, with a back four built around Tosin Adarabioyo and Levi Colwill at centre-back. Romeo Lavia and Dario Essugo should form the double pivot, giving Cole Palmer freedom to operate as the number ten. João Pedro is the name to watch after his hat-trick against Western Sydney, and Liam Delap’s physical presence up front will test Tottenham’s defensive line.
Tottenham Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Martin Dúbravka
- DF: Kota Takai, Archie Gray, Ben Davies, Andrew Robertson
- MF: Conor Gallagher, Sandro Tonali, Mateus Fernandes
- FW: Mathys Tel, Richarlison, Manor Solomon
De Zerbi is expected to set up in a 4-2-3-1 as well, with Martin Dúbravka earning the start after appearing in three of the last five matches. Kota Takai has been a consistent presence at right back across this pre-season, and Conor Gallagher’s energy in midfield will be key to disrupting Chelsea’s build-up. Mathys Tel is the player to watch for Spurs, operating in behind Richarlison and capable of creating something from very little.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Tottenham. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Chelsea have won the last three meetings with Tottenham and carry a better overall record in 2026. Their discipline in defence, with fewer fouls and a structured setup under Xabi Alonso, gives them an edge over a Tottenham side that is still finding its feet under De Zerbi. The attacking form of João Pedro and the creativity of Cole Palmer should be enough to make the difference.
Tottenham will not be passive. Their shot volume this pre-season is significant, and Mathys Tel has the quality to punish any lapses at the back. We predict Chelsea to win, with goals at both ends making Over 2.5 the most sensible total goals market to target. The corner count could also run high, given both teams’ tendencies to press wide and attack with width.
