Rafael Nogueira
Charleston Battery sit second in the USL Championship table with 23 points from 13 games, hosting a Loudoun United side that has won just three matches all season and sits 23rd. The gap in form and table position is stark, but the head-to-head record makes this fixture worth a closer look. Colton Swan has been the standout attacker for Charleston in recent weeks, scoring twice and adding an assist across the last two matches, while Arquimides Ordonez is Loudoun’s primary goal threat and the one player capable of causing problems on the counter.
Hot stat: Charleston put five goals past Tulsa in their most recent home outing, with Colton Swan, Wilmer Cabrera, Maalique Foster, emilio ycaza, and Chris Allan all finding the net across the last two matches combined. Loudoun, by contrast, have conceded eight goals in their last two games alone.
| 🏆 Tournament: | USL Championship 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Patriots Point, Mount Pleasant |
| 🗓️ Date: | 25.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Charleston vs Loudoun prediction
Charleston are heavy favorites here and the numbers back that up completely. They have won three of their last five matches, scored seven goals across those five games, and are playing at home where their 4-2-3-1 setup gives them structural control. Loudoun have not won in their last four outings, picking up only two draws, and have conceded eight goals in their last two matches against Rhode Island and Monterey Bay.
We predict a Charleston win to nil as the best value play. Loudoun have scored just two goals in their last five matches and their attack has been consistently blunted on the road. Charleston’s defensive shape, anchored by Joey Akpunonu and Sean Suber, has been solid enough to keep a clean sheet here.
On style, Charleston play a more direct, high-pressing game with 25 fouls and 25 free kicks conceded across the last five matches, reflecting their aggressive midfield press. Loudoun commit more fouls at 29, generating 33 free kicks against, which creates set-piece opportunities for Charleston near goal. Charleston’s pass accuracy sits at 749 completed passes from 877 attempts, while Loudoun actually circulate the ball more at 858 from 1,035, suggesting Loudoun prefer a possession-based build-up but lack the cutting edge to convert it. Charleston’s corner count of seven to Loudoun’s six is close, but Charleston generate more shots, 29 to 22, confirming their greater attacking output.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Charleston to Win to Nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Charleston come into this match in strong form, winning three of their last five. Their most recent result was a commanding 5-1 win over Tulsa, where the attack fired on all cylinders. Before that, a 2-0 home win against Detroit showed they can grind out results against competitive sides. The one concern is a 0-4 loss to Rhode Island and a 0-1 defeat to New Mexico United sandwiched in between, suggesting some inconsistency, but the Tulsa performance was the most recent and most convincing of the run. Ben Pirmann’s side carry genuine goal threat from multiple positions, with Swan, Foster, and Cabrera all contributing in recent games.
Loudoun’s recent record is grim. They have not won in four straight matches, losing two and drawing two. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-4 defeat to Rhode Island, the same opponent who beat Charleston 4-0 earlier in the season. Before that, a 1-4 loss to Monterey Bay, a side sitting 21st in the table, underlined the severity of Loudoun’s defensive problems. Their only win in the last five came against Brooklyn FC, who sit bottom of the standings. Anthony Limbrick’s 4-4-2 has been porous at the back and toothless in attack, scoring just two goals across five matches.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have met four times in the last two seasons, with Charleston winning three and drawing one. Charleston have been the bookmakers’ favorite in three of those four encounters and delivered each time when fancied.
| Statistic | Charleston | Loudoun |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 9 | 4 |
| Total shots | 29 | 22 |
| Free kicks | 25 | 33 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 6 |
| Total fouls | 25 | 29 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 85% | 83% |
| Interceptions | 20 | 17 |
| Offsides | 4 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Charleston vs Loudoun stats page for more info.
Loudoun. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Charleston the favourite
- Moneyline Charleston 1.41 | Loudoun 6.38
- Draw 4.44
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
Charleston’s odds around 1.40-1.42 reflect their strong home form and table position. The draw at 4.44 seems fair given Loudoun’s tendency to sit deep and absorb pressure, though their defensive record this season makes a stalemate unlikely. Loudoun at 6.38 is a long price that matches the reality of their 17% season win rate. To be honest, the short price on Charleston makes a win-to-nil or Asian handicap market better value than the straight moneyline.
Possible Starting Lineups
Charleston are expected to line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1, with emilio ycaza sitting deep in midfield as the primary ball-winner and distributor, having completed 93 of 107 passes across his last two appearances. Colton Swan leads the line after his two-goal, one-assist run, and Jeremy Kelly provides the width and link-up play on the flank. Daniel Kuzemka is listed in the squad but John Berner has the stronger recent record between the sticks.
Loudoun’s 4-4-2 sees Kwame Awuah and Bolu Akinyode as the most consistent defensive starters, with Akinyode picking up two yellow cards across his last two appearances, suggesting he could be a booking risk here. Arquimides Ordonez is Loudoun’s most dangerous forward with one goal and four shots in recent matches. Abdellatif Aboukoura provides the midfield creativity but has struggled to create clear chances. Anthony Limbrick’s side will likely sit deep and look to hit on the counter, though their track record doing so this season is poor.
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Charleston. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Charleston are the clear pick here. They are second in the table, playing at home, and arrive off a five-goal performance. Loudoun have conceded eight goals in two matches and carry a season-long win rate of just 17%. The head-to-head record across four recent meetings shows Charleston winning three, and the bookmakers’ probability of 66% for a Charleston win feels, if anything, slightly conservative given Loudoun’s current trajectory.
We predict Charleston to win, likely by two or more goals, with a clean sheet a genuine possibility given Loudoun’s attacking output of just two goals across five matches. The over 2.5 total goals market is supported by Charleston’s attacking depth and Loudoun’s inability to keep things tight defensively. Charleston win to nil at around 2.00-2.20 depending on the bookmaker is the sharpest value play on this card.
