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Charleroi vs Sint Truidense Prediction: 03.08.2025 Pro League

01.08.2025, 09:17

As the Pro League 2025/26 regular season gains momentum, Charleroi hosts Sint Truidense at the Stade du Pays de Charleroi in what promises to be an early litmus test of both clubs’ ambitions. With both teams coming off opening weekend results—Charleroi drawing 2-2 against Leuven, Sint Truidense recording an assured 3-1 victory over Gent—intrigue abounds. Charleroi, under the guidance of Rik De Mil, are eager to assert themselves after a patchy July, while Wouter Vrancken’s high-flying Sint Truidense aim to maintain their impressive recent run. The meeting pits a side hungry to prove their mettle on home soil against visitors who enter with palpable momentum.

Among the main figures to watch, Charleroi’s Nikola Stulic stands out after notching a goal in recent matches, providing a welcome cutting edge in attack. On the opposite side, Sint Truidense will count on creative midfielder Ryotaro Ito, whose performance in the opener—scoring and dictating play—signals he could be a constant thorn for Charleroi’s rearguard.

What elevates this encounter further is the stark contrast in discipline: Charleroi have amassed 11 yellow cards in their last five matches; Sint Truidense just one. The discipline divide is likely to impact match rhythm and tactical control—an undercurrent worth tracking throughout the 90 minutes.

13:15Finished03.08.2025
1CharleroiBelgium
🏆 Tournament: Pro League 2025/26 (Regular Season, Belgium)
🏟 Venue: Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
🗓️ Date: 03.08.2025
⏰ Time: 20:15 CEST

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Charleroi vs Sint Truidense prediction

Given Sint Truidense’s outstanding recent win-rate (83% in their last six), a settled attacking style, and a decisive opening win over Gent, the value leans toward an away result or a safety net with Draw No Bet in their favor. Charleroi, meanwhile, are resilient at home and have a penchant for forcing draws, but have struggled with discipline and occasionally lack control in midfield transitions. The odds marginally favor Charleroi, which inflates value on Sint Truidense in double chance or DNB markets.

Statistically, Charleroi average nearly three yellow cards per game and concede several corners (16 in the last five). Their style is disruptive, aiming to unsettle, but can leave gaps—especially against a Sint Truidense side that is clinical on counters and generally avoids foul trouble. Sint Truidense, boasting high pass accuracy and low fouling rates, thrive on controlling tempo and exploiting quick transitions; their relatively high interception count (16 in the last five) suggests a readiness to pounce on mistakes.

🔥Hot Tip: Draw No Bet Sint Truidense
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Charleroi’s Recent Games:
Charleroi’s last five matches illustrate a mixed side: a pair of hard-fought 2-2 and 1-1 draws (against Leuven and Hammarby, respectively), a narrow 2-1 win over Utrecht, but also a home defeat versus Heerenveen. Their current 4-2-3-1 set-up works well defensively, but results hinge on streaks of composure—especially late in games. Against Leuven, Charleroi impressed early but surrendered a lead, an all-too-familiar pattern. That inconsistency, particularly amid mounting yellow cards, highlights an area Sint Truidense can exploit.

14:00Finished31.07.2025
1CharleroiBelgium
1HammarbySweden

Sint Truidense’s Recent Games:
Wouter Vrancken’s men come in red hot: five wins from six, including a statement 3-1 over Gent on Matchday 1. Their proactive 4-3-3 is predicated on quick ball movement and aggressive pressing in phases, with Ryotaro Ito and Adriano Bertaccini proving central to both build-up and execution. Their discipline is noteworthy—one yellow card in five matches—fostering continuity and reducing the chances of disruptive suspensions. Winning against top-10 SR Club opposition like Gent cements their form as genuine.

13:15Finished27.07.2025
1GentBelgium

🚨Read our full Charleroi vs Sint Truidense stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Charleroi the favourite

  • Moneyline Charleroi 2.01 | Sint Truidense 3.55
  • Draw 3.60
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.93 | Under 2.5 1.83
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.80 | No 2.00

While the average odds position Charleroi as the slight favorites, likely influenced by home advantage and previous H2H dominance, the underlying form table indicates otherwise. Sint Truidense’s 83% win rate in the past month is exceptional for an away side—outstripping Charleroi’s 43%. “Value hunters” will note that Sint Truidense’s odds (3.55+) are generous relative to their current momentum, making them a prime underdog or DNB selection. The high probability of goals is reflected by both sides’ recent matches routinely breaking the over 2.5 barrier.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Charleroi possible starting eleven

  • GK: Martin Delavallée
  • DF: Cheick Keita, Aiham Ousou, Vetle Winger Dragsnes, Jeremy Petris
  • MF: Etiene Camara, Yacine Titraoui, Žan Rogelj
  • FW: Parfait Guiagon, Nikola Stulic, Antoine Bernier

Rik De Mil is expected to stick with a 4-2-3-1, leveraging Delavallée’s shot-stopping and Ousou’s distribution. Stulic’s ability to convert in the box will be key to Charleroi’s hopes, while Bernier provides a spark from wide. Camara and Titraoui anchor midfield, balancing transition and defensive duties. The lineup is built for stability, but discipline will be crucial—witnessed by the backline’s yellow card haul in July.

Sint Truidense possible starting eleven

  • GK: Leobrian Kokubo
  • DF: Louis Patris, Visar Musliu, Rein Van Helden, Taiga Hata
  • MF: Abdoulaye Sissako, Rihito Yamamoto, Ryotaro Ito
  • FW: Ilias Sebaoui, Adriano Bertaccini, Andres Ferrari

Sint Truidense are likely to persist with their favored 4-3-3, with Kokubo providing assurance behind a dynamic defense led by Musliu and Patris. Ito and Bertaccini shape attacking moves, while Sebaoui’s creativity in one-on-ones will be critical. Yamamoto anchors midfield with composure, keeping the structure intact for transitions. Expect a fluid approach focused on ball retention, suctioning Charleroi into pressing traps before breaking quickly.

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Charleroi

Charleroi. Source: Official Website

My take on the Match

Given current trajectories, I’m backing Sint Truidense (Draw No Bet) as the best value play—bolstered by their formidable form, attacking balance, and “cooler heads.” Charleroi are formidable at home and will pose problems, but unless they curb their disciplinary issues, Sint Truidense are poised to capitalize in a fiercely contested fixture. Expect goals and plenty of action, but the visiting side’s recent consistency—and knack for key moments—should prove decisive.

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