Sofia Quijada
Chapecoense hosts Botafogo RJ at Arena Condá for Round 5 of Copa do Brasil 2026. Despite being at home, Chapecoense faces an uphill battle against a Botafogo RJ side that’s been much more consistent in recent weeks. Franclim Carvalho’s squad has shown a clear edge, sitting 13th after one match and coming off a solid run of form. Chapecoense, managed by Fábio Matias, must find a way to counter the technical and physical edge of Botafogo. Danilo and Alex Telles will be under the spotlight for Botafogo, both contributing goals and assists from midfield and defense. The hot stat: Botafogo RJ completed 2006 passes over their last five matches, nearly double Chapecoense’s 1079, reflecting a pronounced dominance in possession and ball circulation.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa do Brasil 2026, Round 5 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Arena Condá, Chapeco |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 23:00 CEST |
Chapecoense vs Botafogo RJ prediction
We predict Botafogo RJ to win. Chapecoense’s recent home form is poor, with only 2 wins in their last 9 matches and a 22% win rate over the last month. Botafogo RJ, with a 50% win rate in the same period and a significantly higher global ranking, look sharper both defensively and offensively. Chapecoense has struggled to create clear-cut chances, and their defense has shown lapses under pressure. Botafogo’s 3-4-3 formation gives them width and attacking numbers, while Chapecoense’s 4-2-3-1 setup has failed to generate consistent threat. The home side averages more yellow cards (23 vs 11) and fouls (53 vs 59), suggesting a reactive approach, often forced to disrupt superior possession teams like Botafogo. Expect Botafogo to control possession, exploit Chapecoense’s defensive gaps, and create more high-quality opportunities. Chapecoense’s lack of goals from their forwards and poor pass accuracy point to a tough night ahead.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Botafogo RJ to win & over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Chapecoense’s last five matches underline their struggles. They managed just two wins, losing three. Their most recent game was a 1-1 home draw against Mirassol, failing to build momentum after a rare win over Operario PR. Lapses in defense and a lack of goals from forwards like Neto Pessoa and Marcio Antonio limit their threat. In midfield, Camilo Reijers de Oliveira is heavily involved but rarely delivers decisive contributions. The team racks up fouls and yellow cards, highlighting a lack of discipline under pressure.
Botafogo RJ, on the other hand, has lost just once in their last eight matches, with a strong 2-1 win against Racing Club standing out. Their only recent defeat came narrowly against Remo. The squad’s technical strength is reflected in their passing numbers and ability to generate corners (26 in last five matches). Midfielders like Danilo and Cristian Medina dictate the tempo, while defenders like Nahuel Ferraresi provide solidity and also contribute to the attack. Their 3-4-3 allows effective use of wide players, resulting in more shots and attacking actions than their hosts.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Chapecoense | Botafogo RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 73 | 82 |
| Free kicks | 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 18 | 26 |
| Total fouls | 53 | 59 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 79 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 33 | 35 |
| Offsides | 2 | 8 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Chapecoense vs Botafogo RJ stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Botafogo RJ the favourite
- Moneyline Chapecoense 3.41 | Botafogo RJ 2.18
- Draw 3.30
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.20 | Under 2.5 1.65
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90
Bookmakers strongly favor Botafogo RJ, offering around 2.18 for an away win and 3.41 for a home upset. The odds for over 2.5 goals are attractive, reflecting both teams’ recent goal trends and Botafogo’s attacking intent. Both teams to score is close to evens, which makes sense given Chapecoense’s defensive vulnerability and Botafogo’s ability to create chances.
Possible Starting Lineups
Chapecoense possible starting eleven
- GK: Anderson Silva da Paixão
- DF: Victor Caetano, Eduardo Vinicius Domachowski, Bruno Leonardo, João Paulo
- MF: Camilo Reijers de Oliveira, Jean Carlos, Higor Meritão, Rafael Carvalheira
- FW: Sebastiao Enio Santos de Almeida, Maurício Garcez
This lineup reflects Chapecoense’s tendency to use a 4-2-3-1 formation, with experienced defenders and midfielders who see the most minutes. Anderson Silva is a reliable shot-stopper but faces a heavy workload. Sebastiao Enio Santos de Almeida provides energy up front, but goal production remains low. Camilo is the key link in midfield, though his impact is often limited by lack of support.
Botafogo RJ possible starting eleven
- GK: Neto
- DF: Nahuel Ferraresi, Alexander Barboza, Vitinho
- MF: Alex Telles, Danilo, Cristian Medina, Álvaro Montoro
- FW: Arthur Cabral, Matheus Martins, Kadir Barría
Botafogo RJ’s regular 3-4-3 maximizes width and attacking presence. Neto is secure in goal. Nahuel Ferraresi leads a composed back three. Alex Telles and Danilo give the midfield a creative and dynamic edge. Up front, Arthur Cabral and Matheus Martins will look to stretch Chapecoense’s defense. Danilo stands out as the player to watch for his goals and distribution from midfield.
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Botafogo RJ. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Botafogo RJ to secure victory at Arena Condá, backed by better form, stronger squad depth, and tactical clarity. Chapecoense’s poor home record, lack of attacking threat, and high number of cards indicate a team likely to struggle against Botafogo’s possession-based play. Expect Botafogo to dominate, with the potential for goals at both ends. Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring look likely, but Botafogo’s quality should shine through.
