Liam Duckstein
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CF Montreal host Charlotte at Saputo Stadium in a fixture that looks lopsided on paper but carries a strange twist once you check the history books. Montreal sit second from bottom of the MLS table with just 21 points from 23 games, while Charlotte have climbed into the playoff picture on 36 points. The odd detail here is the head-to-head record: in their most recent meeting Montreal thrashed Charlotte 4-1, despite being the weaker side by almost every metric this season. That result alone tells us not to write this Montreal side off completely, even with their current slump.
Watch Prince-Osei Owusu for Montreal. He has scored twice in his last five appearances and leads the squad in shot volume with 13 attempts, giving him the best chance of troubling Charlotte’s back line on a personal off-day for the team. On the other side, Liel Abada has been Charlotte’s most productive attacker recently with two goals and two assists in five matches, and his pace against a leaky Montreal defense could be decisive.
Hot stat: CF Montreal shipped seven goals in a single match against Inter Miami earlier this year, a 1-7 defeat that remains the heaviest loss of their season and a clear warning sign about how fragile this defense can be against attacking sides.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Major League Soccer 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Saputo Stadium, Montreal |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:30 CEST |
CF Montreal vs Charlotte prediction
We predict Charlotte to leave Montreal with at least a point, and we like them to win outright as the best value angle here. Charlotte arrive with four wins, two draws and just one loss across their last seven games, a run that has pushed them to tenth in the standings. Montreal, on the other hand, have won only once in their last six outings and remain stuck near the bottom of a 30-team league. The table gap, 15 points, plus the form gap, makes it hard to back the home side purely on hometown comfort.
Style-wise, Charlotte have generated more shots (57 vs 48) and considerably more corners (25 vs 18) across their last five matches, a sign of a team that controls territory and creates chances at a higher rate. Both sides commit a similar number of fouls (52 apiece), but Montreal have picked up more yellow cards (16 vs 9), which suggests a side chasing games and making late, cynical challenges rather than defending with structure. That discipline gap could matter if Charlotte push numbers forward early and force Montreal into reactive fouling.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Charlotte to win either half |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
CF Montreal’s most recent match ended in a 0-2 loss to Philadelphia Union, continuing a pattern of struggle in front of goal. Before that they drew 1-1 with Vancouver, were hammered 1-7 by Inter Miami, drew 2-2 with LA Galaxy, and beat Columbus Crew 2-1. Only one win in five, with a heavy defeat mixed in, paints a picture of a team that can compete for spells but collapses when the opponent applies sustained pressure. Sitting 29th of 30 clubs with a goal difference of -18 backs up that read.
Charlotte’s last match was a 0-0 draw against Houston Dynamo, their only blemish in a strong recent stretch. Prior to that they beat Atlanta United 2-0, beat DC United 3-1, drew 3-3 with Toronto, and beat Columbus Crew 3-1. Four wins and two draws from their last six shows a team that rarely loses and scores freely when it clicks, which lines up with their climb to tenth place and a positive goal difference of +8.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two have met four times in recent MLS seasons, and the scoring has gone back and forth rather than favoring one side clearly.
| Statistic | CF Montreal | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated CF Montreal vs Charlotte stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: CF Montreal the favourite
- Moneyline CF Montreal 2.20 | Charlotte 2.82
- Draw 3.80
Bookmakers give CF Montreal a slight edge purely on home advantage, with an average implied split of 41% for the hosts against 34% for Charlotte and 25% for the draw. We think that number undersells Charlotte given the form gap on show. Their odds around 2.75-2.82 look generous for a side that has won four of its last seven games against a Montreal team winning barely one in six, and that gap is exactly why we see value on the away side rather than the home favourite tag the market has attached.
Possible Starting Lineups
CF Montreal possible starting eleven
- GK: Sebastian Breza
- DF: Dawid Bugaj, Jalen Neal, Brandan Craig, Luca Petrasso
- MF: Samuel Piette, Victor Loturi, Fabian Herbers, Matthew Longstaff, Alexis Sanchez
- FW: Prince-Osei Owusu
Philippe Eullaffroy tends to line up in a 4-2-3-1, with Piette and Loturi screening the back four while Herbers, Longstaff and Sanchez rotate behind Owusu. Owusu is the player to watch here, he leads the squad in shots and goals from the last five matches and gives Montreal their only reliable outlet in behind a defense that has looked shaky all year.
Charlotte possible starting eleven
- GK: Kristijan Kahlina
- DF: Tim Ream, Henry Kessler, David Schnegg, Will Cleary
- MF: Ashley Westwood, Djibril Diani, Pep Biel
- FW: Liel Abada, Idan Toklomati Jorno, Allan Saint-Maximin
Dean Smith favours a 4-3-3 that leans on Westwood’s passing range from deep, with Diani doing the defensive dirty work and Biel linking play into the front three. Abada and Toklomati Jorno both carry two goals from their last five outings, and Saint-Maximin’s dribbling adds an extra layer of unpredictability that Montreal’s back line has struggled to handle against similar profiles this season.
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Charlotte. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Charlotte to win this one, and honestly the numbers make it an easier call than the bookmaker split suggests. Montreal have won once in their last six games and sit near the foot of the entire league, while Charlotte have lost only once in seven and keep climbing toward a playoff spot. The 4-1 head-to-head result from last season shows Montreal can hurt Charlotte on their day, but that game came when both sides were in different form spells than they are now. Perhaps the home crowd gives Montreal a spark early, but we expect Charlotte’s superior control of the ball and sharper finishing from players like Abada and Toklomati Jorno to see them through. Both teams to score feels like the safer building block for any parlay, given Owusu’s threat up top and the leaky nature of Montreal’s defense this year.
