Ceuta vs Granada CF Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2 Match - 20.02.2026

The regular season of La Liga 2 2025/26 reaches a crucial juncture as Ceuta welcomes Granada CF to the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube on February 20th, 2026, with kick-off set for 21:30 CEST. Occupying the 12th spot in the standings, Ceuta, coached by José Juan Romero, find themselves with 35 points from 25 games, grappling for mid-table security. Granada CF, sitting at 14th under Pacheta’s stewardship with 32 points from 26 matches, approach this fixture with the momentum of a stronger recent run but remain just two results adrift of their hosts. The iconic Alfonso Murube promises a fervent atmosphere for a clash loaded with relegation scrap tension and the scent of redemption.

In this showdown, watch for Ceuta’s versatile attacking midfielder Kuki Zalazar, whose creativity and set-piece prowess could tilt the midfield battle. For Granada CF, seasoned midfielder Rubén Alcaraz stands as the engine, dictating pace and looking to pierce defensive lines with surging runs and intelligent distribution.

Ceuta’s recent “hot stat” – an alarming 40 fouls and 8 yellow cards over their last 5 matches – signals an aggressive, sometimes exposed, style, while Granada CF enter having netted 8 goals in the same stretch, highlighting superior finishing form.

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Ceuta vs Granada CF predictions

Me best bet: The value rests in “Both Teams to Score – Yes”. Both sides have shown defensive lapses – Ceuta conceding 12 times in their last 5, Granada CF shipping 7 – yet both possess the attacking impetus to trouble one another. Their recent form, highlighted by Granada’s 5-1 victory over Valladolid and Ceuta’s 3-1 against Cultural Leonesa, suggests vulnerabilities at the back and attacking enterprise up front.

Tactically, Ceuta prefers a 4-2-3-1 system, built on quick transition and risk, but struggles with discipline, averaging 8 fouls and 1.6 yellow cards per game recently. Granada CF’s 4-3-3 formation revolves around patient possession (54% average possession in their last outings), high passing accuracy (82 percent), and width, but can be caught out by direct counterattacks. Expect a fluid contest with plenty of midfield duels, set-piece opportunities, and chances on the break.

Prop picks by me:

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Ceuta vs Granada CF Most recent H2Hs

The most recent meeting ended in a balanced 1-1 draw. Both teams created opportunities—Granada CF dominating possession and shots, but Ceuta effective on the counter. Disciplinary issues were evident, with 27 fouls shared, which echoes the expectation for a physical battle again. Ball movement and set pieces proved decisive, and neither side demonstrated a vast superiority.

🚨Read our full Ceuta vs Granada CF stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Granada CF averages 8.2 shots on target per match over the last 5 games – second best in the division during this period.
• Ceuta have scored at least once in 4 of their last 5 home matches, but have conceded in each of those games.
• Granada CF’s pass accuracy has not dipped below 80 percent in their last 5 matches, highlighting their possession-based style.
• Both sides have one red card apiece in their last 5 matches, underlining potential disciplinary flashpoints.
• Granada CF have won more corners (16 to Ceuta’s 12) across their last five games, reflecting their superior wide play.

Ceuta vs Granada CF score prediction: 2-2

With both teams needing points to stay clear of the drop and recent stats pointing to attacking intent but defensive fragilities, a 2-2 draw stands out as the most plausible outcome. Expect Kuki Zalazar for Ceuta to play a crucial creative role, while Rubén Alcaraz’s late runs from midfield could be decisive for Granada CF. The flair and directness of Marcos Fernández for Ceuta and Gonzalo Petit for Granada further enhance the likelihood of a high-scoring draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ceuta the favourite

Oddsmakers make Ceuta a marginal favourite owing somewhat to home advantage and slightly better standing. However, the near parity in moneyline odds reflects the competitive parity and vulnerabilities each team shares. Over 2.5 is priced attractively, resonating with both sides’ high goals conceded.

Ceuta vs Granada CF Over/Under Analysis

• Ceuta’s last 5 have averaged 3.2 goals per match—high volatility in defense.
• Granada CF matches have seen 3 or more goals in 4 out of the last 5.
• Over 2.5 goals has hit in six of the last ten combined league appearances for these two.
• With set-piece threats and direct attackers on both sides, expect goals again.

Ceuta Preview

Ceuta’s campaign has been hampered by inconsistency and defensive leeway. Their last game was a 0-2 loss to Huesca, where a lack of composure in midfield resulted in turnover after turnover, despite respectable spells of possession. Previously, a 2-4 defeat to Almeria exposed their defensive line, but a 3-1 win over Cultural Leonesa showcased their attacking potential and set-piece fluency—two goals from dead-ball situations. The pattern: enterprising attack, undone by lapses in discipline and structure.

Ceuta possible starting eleven

Granada CF Preview

Granada CF’s recent form reveals a resilient, if slightly chaotic, approach. Their emphatic 5-1 win over Real Valladolid demonstrated attacking prowess and the value of midfield runners like Rubén Alcaraz. However, vulnerabilities remain: a 0-1 defeat to Leganes and a 3-4 thriller loss to Polissya highlight frailty under pressure, especially late in matches. Granada’s ball retention and transition play are improving, but their high defensive line remains susceptible to pace behind.

Granada CF possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As a TipsGG expert review, the draw offers the most consistent value, but if forced to tip a winner, Ceuta’s home ground and slightly more balanced recent display edge it narrowly – 36 percent projected win probability for Ceuta, 33 percent for Granada CF, and 31 percent for the draw per our dedicated AI prediction engine. Each side’s attacking threat, coupled with defensive risks, suggests the in-play market could shift rapidly, especially if an early goal falls.

How to watch Ceuta vs Granada CF

• When? 20th February 2026, kick-off 21:30 CEST
• Where? Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
• How to watch: Check official La Liga 2 streaming partners or local broadcasters in Spain; online stream expected via LaLiga2 official channels.
• Favorite: Ceuta (marginally)

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