Sofia Quijada
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Round 16 of the Clausura closes with a stark asymmetry: Lanus arrive in Santiago del Estero unbeaten in eight, holding the meanest defense in the division, while Central Cordoba have gone nine matches without a win and sit second from bottom on 10 points. The wrinkle sits in the history. Four previous meetings produced just seven goals, none of those games cracked the two-goal mark, and Lanus themselves have drawn four of their last eight, so the away side’s short price deserves scrutiny before we commit to it.
Two visiting players shape our read. Allan Wlk Duré has seven shots and a goal across his last four appearances and carries the sharpest goal threat Mauricio Pellegrino can field. Eduardo Salvio, still the chief creative outlet at 35, adds six shots and five interceptions over the same span, and his delivery from wide areas matters in a team that tends to win tight, low-scoring contests.
Hot stat: Lanus have conceded 11 goals in 15 Clausura matches, fewer than any other side in the division, and they kept clean sheets in three of their last five games.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Alfredo Terrera, Santiago del Estero |
| 🗓️ Date: | 09.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:30 CEST |
Central Cordoba vs Lanus prediction
We predict a Lanus win, most plausibly 1-0 or 2-0 to the visitors, and we take the away victory combined with under 2.5 goals as the best value route. The case rests on three pillars: an eight-match unbeaten run against a nine-match winless one, a defense letting in 0.73 goals per game against an attack scoring 0.73, and a head-to-head record where every meeting since 2024 stayed under 2.5 goals. Central Cordoba’s 4-2-3-1 has collapsed repeatedly against organized opposition, as the 0-5 loss to Velez showed, and Lanus beat that same Velez side 2-0 a fortnight ago. Straight odds near 1.70 carry little margin, so the win-plus-under pairing and the win-to-nil market offer the real price.
On style: Lanus averaged 9.6 shots, four corners and 7.4 fouls per game over their last five, picking up seven yellows and completing roughly 77 percent of their passes. That profile describes a controlled, medium-tempo side that presses selectively and rarely overcommits. Central Cordoba’s statistical feed returned no usable data, so their profile rests on results alone: a deep block, 11 goals in 15 rounds, and a habit of folding once the first goal goes in. Few fouls from the visitors also starve the hosts of set-piece chances, their likeliest route to goal.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Lanus to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Central Cordoba’s season reads 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, with an 11-25 goal record. Their last five results: a 1-1 draw with Deportivo Riestra, a 2-2 draw with Estudiantes LP, then three straight defeats, 1-2 to Newells Old Boys, 0-5 to Velez Sarsfield and 0-2 to Platense. The Velez collapse was the ugliest of the campaign and confirmed a pattern: once behind against quality opposition, this team stops competing. They have conceded in every one of their last five and scored more than once in only one of them. In our preview of Platense vs Central Cordoba we called a home win, ideally by 2-0, and the 0-2 result delivered it in full.
Lanus hold 25 points from 15 rounds (7W 4D 4L) with an 18-11 goal record. Their unbeaten run reads: 0-0 with Newells Old Boys, 2-0 over Velez Sarsfield, 1-0 over Platense, 1-1 with Banfield and 1-1 with Gimnasia Mendoza last time out. Five scored, two conceded, three clean sheets. The Gimnasia Mendoza draw cost two points at home and extended a draw tendency, four stalemates in their last eight, which is the one flaw in an otherwise airtight profile. In our preview of Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza we expected a routine home win with a clean sheet, and the 1-1 draw went against us.
🚨Check out our dedicated Central Cordoba vs Lanus stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lanus the favourite
- Moneyline Central Cordoba 4.95 | Lanus 1.72
- Draw 3.50
Averaged across more than 30 books, the moneyline sits at 4.95 for the hosts and 1.72 for the visitors, with the draw at 3.50; individual quotes range from 4.65 to 5.25 and 1.67 to 1.80, plus one outlier pricing Lanus at 1.26. Strip the margin and the market lands at roughly 19 percent home, 27 percent draw, 54 percent away, which matches the consensus almost exactly. We agree with the direction. The draw at 3.50 holds more substance than usual, though, given Lanus’s four stalemates in eight and a head-to-head history built on stalemates, so we treat the away win as the play and under 2.5 goals as the hedge that covers the draw scenario.
Possible Starting Lineups
Lanus possible starting eleven
- GK: Nahuel Losada
- DF: Tomás Guidara, Carlos Izquierdoz, José Canale, Sasha Marcich
- MF: Agustín Cardozo, Matías Sepúlveda, Eduardo Salvio, Diego Medina, Lucas Besozzi
- FW: Allan Wlk Duré
We built this 4-2-3-1 strictly on minutes played over the last five matches. Losada has covered every minute and made 10 saves; Guidara and Marcich have also played 360 apiece, with Marcich adding a goal and an assist from left back and Guidara leading the squad with 11 interceptions. Cardozo and Sepúlveda anchor the double pivot, Salvio and Besozzi flank Medina’s creative role, and Wlk Duré leads the line on the strength of seven shots in four starts. Marcelino Moreno, Felipe Peña Biafore and Ramiro Carrera are the likeliest rotation options if Pellegrino freshens the legs after the Gimnasia draw.
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Lanus. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Everything points one way. Central Cordoba have not won in nine, own the division’s second-worst attack and second-worst defense, and just lost 0-2 to a Platense side sitting 19th, one Lanus beat 1-0 earlier this month. The visitors concede less than anyone in the Clausura and have shut out three of their last five opponents. We predict Lanus to control tempo, keep the game in low gear and win it 1-0, perhaps 2-0 if Wlk Duré’s finishing sharpens. To be honest, the only genuine risk is another away stalemate, a result this club has produced four times in eight, which is precisely why under 2.5 goals belongs in every ticket. Our staking plan: Lanus to win at 1.72 as the anchor, win plus under 2.5 for value, and win to nil for the aggressive punt.
