Sofia Quijada
Celta Vigo host Sevilla at Municipal de Balaídos as both clubs aim to finish their La Liga campaigns on a high. The hosts, managed by Claudio Giráldez, come into this clash with a stronger league standing and home advantage, while Sevilla, led by Luis Garcia Plaza, look to disrupt the odds after a turbulent season. The battle in midfield promises intensity—watch for Borja Iglesias (Celta) and Akor Adams (Sevilla), who have shown sharp form in front of goal.
Hot stat: Sevilla have fired 75 shots across their last 5 matches, nearly 2.5 times more than Celta Vigo, but have only scored one goal more—an indicator of both attacking intent and inefficiency.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2025/26 Regular Season (Spain) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Celta Vigo vs Sevilla prediction
We predict Celta Vigo to win. The hosts display a balanced approach, maintaining higher pass accuracy (61% vs Sevilla’s 44%), controlling games with calculated possession. Their defensive structure and direct attacks make them efficient, especially at home. Sevilla, on the other hand, produce more shots and corners but lack finishing quality and stability at the back. Celta’s more disciplined play, lower foul count, and fewer cards signal composure under pressure—a decisive factor against Sevilla’s erratic style. Celta’s home form and edge in recent meetings strengthen their status as favorites.
Both teams show aggressive tendencies: Sevilla commit 73 fouls in their last 5 games, Celta 61. Yellow card numbers are high on both sides (Celta 12, Sevilla 14), suggesting a scrappy midfield battle. Sevilla’s shot volume and corners (19 vs Celta’s 13) hint at their set-piece threat, but Celta’s structured passing and transitions often punish teams who overcommit. Expect a tense, physical match with plenty of set-piece action.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Over 10.5 corners |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Celta Vigo’s recent form mixes wins and narrow losses. Their last match, a 1-1 draw with Athletic Bilbao, showed resilience and tactical discipline. Key defenders like Javier Rodríguez Galiano and Yoel Lago ensured stability, while Borja Iglesias remains the main scoring threat with 3 goals in his last 5 matches. Celta’s ability to recover from defeats and stay competitive underlines their consistency at home.
Sevilla’s recent 0-1 loss to Real Madrid exposed defensive gaps but also highlighted their offensive ambition—14 shots, but no goals. Akor Adams and Neal Maupay lead their attack, with Adams netting twice in the last five games. The team’s pressing game results in high foul numbers and yellow cards, sometimes disrupting their rhythm. Previous wins against Villarreal and Espanyol underline their unpredictability but inconsistency remains a problem.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Celta Vigo | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 8 | 7 |
| Total shots | 32 | 75 |
| Free kicks | 16 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 13 | 19 |
| Total fouls | 61 | 73 |
| Interceptions | 38 | 43 |
| Offsides | 16 | 13 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Celta Vigo vs Sevilla stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Celta Vigo the favourite
- Moneyline Celta Vigo 1.83 | Sevilla 5.14
- Draw 3.85
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.72
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.83 | No 2.00
Celta Vigo stand as clear favorites with the market giving them over 50% win probability, reflecting their superior home record, table position, and recent head-to-head results. Sevilla’s odds are lengthened by defensive issues and recent inconsistency. The value on over 2.5 goals matches both teams’ attacking mindsets and leaky defenses. Both teams to score looks likely with high shot volumes and recent open matches from both sides.
Possible Starting Lineups
Celta Vigo possible starting eleven
- GK: Ionuț Andrei Radu
- DF: Javier Rodríguez Galiano, Yoel Lago, Oscar Mingueza, Marcos Alonso
- MF: Hugo Sotelo, Fer López, Ilaix Moriba, Mihailo Ristić
- FW: Borja Iglesias, Ferrán Jutglà
This lineup is based on appearances and recent impact. Radu anchors the defense, with Galiano and Lago offering stability. Borja Iglesias and Jutglà provide scoring punch up front. The likely 4-4-2 formation provides balance between defense and attack. Watch for Iglesias’ movement and Jutglà’s link-up play.
Sevilla possible starting eleven
- GK: Odysseas Vlachodimos
- DF: Kike Salas, José Ángel Carmona, Andrés Castrín, Joaquín Martínez Gauna
- MF: Nemanja Gudelj, Lucien Agoumé, Djibril Sow, Gabriel Suazo
- FW: Akor Adams, Neal Maupay
Vlachodimos starts in goal, with Salas and Carmona anchoring a possible 3-4-2-1 or 4-4-2 setup. Adams and Maupay lead the line, both capable of troubling defenses. Watch for Agoumé’s passing range and Sow’s box-to-box work. Sevilla’s lineup signals a focus on pressing and direct play.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Sevilla. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Celta Vigo to edge Sevilla in a dynamic, hard-fought match. Celta’s disciplined play, home advantage, and greater efficiency in key moments should give them the upper hand. Sevilla’s shot volume and set-piece threat keep them dangerous, but their defensive lapses and high fouls rate undermine their consistency. Expect goals at both ends, with Celta’s organization tipping the balance.
