Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga Match - 06.02.2026

The vibrant city of Vigo braces itself for a pivotal La Liga showdown as Celta Vigo welcomes Osasuna to the Municipal de Balaídos on 6 February 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 22:00 CEST. As the regular season unfolds, every point is a treasure—particularly for Celta, aiming to solidify their place in the upper echelon, and for Osasuna, whose fluctuating form leaves plenty to prove under coach Alessio Lisci. Both squads have embraced the 4-2-3-1 formation in recent outings, setting the stage for a tactical chess match under the Galician night skies.

Key players to watch include Celta’s creative force Miguel Román, whose tireless engine in the midfield anchors Giráldez’s pressing philosophy, and Osasuna’s talismanic striker Ante Budimir, who already boasts four goals in his last five league appearances. With both teams fighting for relevance in a fiercely competitive campaign, their individual performances could shape the contest’s destiny.

A ‘hot stat’ worth noting: Osasuna have registered an impressive 70 shots in their last five fixtures—by far the highest among mid-table teams—signaling attacking intent, even where results have fallen short. Will their conversion rate rise against a Celta backline that has at times wavered?

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Celta Vigo vs Osasuna predictions

My best bet: Both teams to score (BTTS – Yes). This market stands out given Osasuna’s sharp attacking volume (10 goals in their last five games) and Celta’s propensity to both create and concede (seven scored, six conceded in the same period). Celta have grown comfortable playing a proactive style at home, while Osasuna’s front line—especially Budimir and Víctor Muñoz—are adept at exploiting transitions. With both defences prone to lapses (pass accuracy under 80 percent, high fouls count), expect opportunities at each end.

Delving deeper, Celta’s discipline will be tested: they have collected 12 yellow cards (and a red) in their last five matches, reflecting an aggressive, sometimes reckless approach, while Osasuna’s 16 yellows and robust midfield battles point to a contest with frequent tactical interruptions. Ball retention is another nuance — Celta averages 61 percent pass accuracy, Osasuna sits at 78 percent, suggesting potential turnovers and dynamic phases play a significant role. These stats underpin the likelihood of a goal-fest, driven by aggressive pressing and risk-taking.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Most recent H2Hs

Analyzing recent face-offs: Celta won 3-2 in a thrilling contest earlier this season, showcasing both sides’ attacking prowess and defensive frailties. The head-to-head record remains finely balanced, with both clubs finding the net consistently. In their last three clashes, there has never been a goalless draw—underscoring the likelihood of goals at both ends on this occasion too.

🚨Read our full Celta Vigo vs Osasuna stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Osasuna have scored 10 goals in their last five matches—second only to league leaders among mid-table teams.
• Celta Vigo’s pressing style has produced 21 corners in five games, indicative of constant offensive pressure.
• Both teams average more than 12 fouls per match, suggesting a high-tempo, physical game.
• Celta Vigo have not beaten Osasuna by more than one goal in any of their last five encounters.
• Ante Budimir (Osasuna) is La Liga’s third top scorer among active strikers in the bottom half of the table.

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna score prediction: 2-2

A score draw seems the most probable, with individual brilliance likely to tip the balance—expect Miguel Román to orchestrate for Celta, while Budimir’s clinical finishing punishes any defensive lapse. Both teams have shown a knack for late goals, making for a dramatic finale at Balaídos.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celta Vigo the favourite

With Celta Vigo priced at 2.00, bookmakers reflect their impressive home form and consistency—yet, Osasuna’s growing attacking rhythm and capacity to surprise (recent 2-2 draw with Villarreal) cannot be dismissed. Odds for BTTS hover just below evens, in line with our analytical forecast. Over 2.5 goals (2.09) provides nice value given the attacking metrics of both sides.

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Over/Under Analysis

• Celta’s last five home games: three have finished with over 2.5 goals
• Osasuna’s last five away games: four ended with both teams scoring
• Combined, they’ve produced an average of 3.2 goals per match over last five H2Hs
• Expect a lively contest—early goals likely, with increased pace in the second half

Celta Vigo Preview

Celta Vigo approach this fixture buoyed by a four-match unbeaten run but left mildly frustrated by a recent stalemate against Getafe (0-0). Giráldez’s side relies on compact midfield structure and swift transitions—Miguel Román and Marcos Alonso are pivotal in regaining possession and launching quick counters. Their recent victory over Rayo Vallecano (3-0) attests to their prowess when controlling possession, while the earlier win versus Lille in European action showcases tactical adaptability. However, a 1-3 setback to Real Sociedad highlights defensive vulnerabilities, especially when facing teams with incisive movement up front. Expect Celta to push for early control and force Osasuna onto the back foot.

Celta Vigo possible starting eleven

• GK: Ionuț Andrei Radu
• DF: Marcos Alonso, Carl Starfelt, Javier Rodríguez Galiano, Sergio Carreira Vilarino
• MF: Miguel Román, Oscar Mingueza, Hugo Sotelo, Ilaix Moriba
• FW: Williot Swedberg, Borja Iglesias

Osasuna Preview

After a frenetic 2-2 draw with Villarreal, Osasuna come into this tie with renewed attacking confidence. Lisci’s charges display directness and danger in transition, spearheaded by Budimir and supported by Víctor Muñoz, who has chipped in with two recent goals. Osasuna’s issue remains defensive lapses—witness the extraordinary 5-6 loss to Real Sociedad—that leave them exposed to well-organized sides. Yet, commendable wins over Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo reveal resilience and set-piece competence. Expect Osasuna to lean into quick counter-attacks and press early, seeking to exploit any signs of Celta’s defensive indecision.

Osasuna possible starting eleven

• GK: Sergio Herrera
• DF: Javi Galán, Jorge Herrando, Valentin Rosier, Alejandro Catena
• MF: Moi Gómez, Lucas Torró, Jon Moncayola, Aimar Oroz
• FW: Ante Budimir, Víctor Muñoz

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As a collective, we see this contest finishing in a high-scoring draw, 2-2. Both Celta and Osasuna have too much attacking quality to be kept quiet, while defensive frailties on both sides suggest neither will keep a clean sheet. Our main pick is “BTTS: Yes,” supported by an AI-predicted 40 percent probability of a draw, 47 percent for Celta, and 23 percent for Osasuna—a close affair befitting the intensity of La Liga’s mid-table dogfights. Expect drama late on as both chase all three points.

How to watch Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

• When? 6 February 2026, kick-off at 22:00 CEST
• Where? Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo, Spain
• How to watch: Official La Liga broadcast partners, OTT streaming services, and select international platforms
• Favorite: Celta Vigo (based on bookmakers’ odds and home advantage)

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