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Celta Vigo vs Nice Predictions: Odds and betting tips for UEFA Europa League Match - 23.10.2025

21.10.2025, 16:26

On October 23, 2025, football takes center stage at Brann Stadion in Bergen, where Celta Vigo faces Nice in a pivotal UEFA Europa League 2025/26 League Phase clash, with kick-off set for 22:00 CEST. Both teams arrive amidst intense continental competition, looking to shape their European destiny before winter sets in. Celta, coached by the tactically astute Claudio Giráldez, and Nice, under the guidance of Franck Haise, represent the proud traditions of La Liga and Ligue 1, respectively, with both squads eager to climb the standings and prove their mettle on the continental stage.

Key matchups abound, but special attention should be paid to Celta’s veteran forward Iago Aspas, whose leadership and eye for goal can tilt any game, and Nice’s Sofiane Diop, whose attacking verve and recent form make him a constant menace for opposing defenses. These individuals, by virtue of their vision, technique, and relentless drive, are poised to influence proceedings in Bergen.

Further, in their last five matches, Nice have registered a notable 20 corner kicks—an outstanding stat that could prove decisive, especially when set pieces become critical in a tightly-contested European tie.

15:00Finished23.10.2025
1NiceFrance

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Celta Vigo vs Nice predictions

My Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

This contest pits two defensively-minded squads against one another, each struggling to convert opportunities into a flurry of goals this campaign. Celta Vigo have averaged just 1.34 goals per match this year (41 played, 55 goals), while Nice—despite some attacking firepower—have shown a tendency to play in close encounters against well-drilled teams. Both sides exhibit similar win rates over the past month (just 17%), emphasizing current struggles for offensive breakthroughs. With both line-ups populated by technically proficient defenders and midfielders adept at controlling tempo, expect decisive moments to surface only from calculated errors or set-piece brilliance.

Both teams approach matches with a degree of tactical pragmatism: Celta Vigo favour a 3-4-3 formation, utilizing wide areas and disciplined midfield screens, while Nice adopt a flexible 4-3-3, funneling through Sofiane Diop and utilizing full-back overlaps. The foul count remains modest (Celta: 59, Nice: 59 over last 5 matches), and while Celta have accrued more yellow cards (11 vs 4), neither side tends toward overly-aggressive play. Possession stats are comparable, so expect a technical battle in midfield. This equilibrium points toward a low-scoring, closely contested fixture.

  • ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
  • 💥Both Teams To Score: No
  • 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Celta Vigo vs Nice Most recent H2Hs

Statistic Celta Vigo Nice
Goals 7 8
Total shots 53 42
Free kicks 16 20
Corner kicks 16 20
Total fouls 59 59
Pass accuracy (%) 86 77
Interceptions 27 57
Offsides 9 7

Analyzing the most recent encounters and statistical profiles, it is evident that both teams are well-versed in attritional battles. Celta Vigo generates more possession and superior pass accuracy (86 percent vs 77 percent), while Nice excels at defensive resilience, shown by a high mark in interceptions (57 over the last five games). The trend continues with both clubs conceding a comparable number of fouls, but Nice’s proficiency in set pieces—corner kicks and free kicks—could tip a deadlocked game in their favour if execution is clinical. Historically, matches have trended toward tactical discipline instead of high-scoring chaos.

🚨Read our full Celta Vigo vs Nice stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

  • Nice ranks among the Europa League’s top sides for corners won (20 in last 5 games).
  • Celta Vigo are undefeated in their last three European matches at neutral or away venues.
  • Sofiane Diop has scored 4 goals in his last 5 appearances for Nice, spearheading their attack.
  • Celta Vigo has averaged 10.6 shots per match, indicating a willingness to create from various ranges.
  • Both teams average one yellow card or fewer per match, underlining tactical discipline.

Celta Vigo vs Nice score prediction: 1-0

A tightly contested match awaits at Brann Stadion, with Celta Vigo’s experience in controlling the rhythm likely to pay dividends. Expect Iago Aspas to play a pivotal role as leader and potential matchwinner – his capacity to exploit half-chances is well documented. Defensive solidity, particularly from Carl Starfelt and Marcos Alonso, can subdue Nice’s front line. For Nice, Sofiane Diop’s recent scoring exploits will demand extra vigilance, but with both sides lacking attacking consistency, a low-scoring affair with Celta Vigo edging ahead 1-0 appears the most probable outcome.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celta Vigo the favourite

Moneyline Celta Vigo 2.01 | Nice 3.75
Draw 3.60
Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.76
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.97 | No 1.79

Bookmaker odds position Celta Vigo as marginal favorites (average 2.01 home win odds), reflecting both their higher individual quality and home “designation,” despite playing at a neutral site. The draw is fairly short at 3.60, underscoring expectations of a close contest. Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.76 – another endorsement of a low-scoring affair. BTTS is near even, but “No” is favored at 1.79, suggesting limited attacking joy for one or both teams. The odds are consistent with recent trends and support our prediction of a narrow Celta success.

Celta Vigo vs Nice Over/Under Analysis

  • Three of Celta Vigo’s last five matches have finished with under 2.5 total goals.
  • Nice have seen under 2.5 goals in four of their last six fixtures.
  • Both teams have been involved in multiple draws (Celta: 3, Nice: 2 in past 6 games), indicating evenly matched play.
  • With Nice winning plenty of corners but lacking offensive conversion, corners over may be a strong market.

Celta Vigo Preview

Celta Vigo approach this fixture on the back of a series of hard-fought draws (1-1 against Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid), punctuated by a recent 3-1 win over PAOK that underscores their European resolve. While results have been inconsistent (1 win in their last 6), performances have often been underpinned by robust defensive work and midfield control. Claudio Giráldez relies heavily on the combination play of veterans like Iago Aspas and emerging talents such as Williot Swedberg, utilizing a 3-4-3 setup to exploit width while maintaining compactness centrally. Set pieces remain a weapon, with Borja Iglesias providing aerial threat, but Celta’s path to victory hinges on executing their clear transitions and capitalizing on rare scoring chances.

10:15Finished19.10.2025

Celta Vigo possible starting eleven

  • GK: Ionuț Andrei Radu
  • DF: Marcos Alonso, Carlos Dominguez, Javier Rodríguez Galiano
  • MF: Ilaix Moriba, Oscar Mingueza, Damián Rodríguez Sousa, Fran Beltran
  • FW: Iago Aspas, Borja Iglesias, Williot Swedberg

Nice Preview

Nice’s European campaign has yet to ignite, with two close defeats in the group phase and just one win in their last six outings. Nevertheless, there are encouraging signs—particularly Sofiane Diop’s clinical form (4 goals in last 5), and the team’s ability to generate set-piece opportunities. Franck Haise orchestrates play through a 4-3-3, emphasizing collective pressing and intelligent transitions. Their defensive structure is anchored by Antoine Mendy and Melvin Bard, whose athleticism compensates for occasional lapses in midfield coverage. Nice’s path to turning draws into victories will depend on converting corner-kick opportunities and maximizing the creative spark of Diop. Despite a recent 3-2 win over Lyon suggesting attacking improvement, the team still seeks balance and consistency as winter looms.

11:00Finished18.10.2025
3NiceFrance
2LyonFrance

Nice possible starting eleven

  • GK: Yehvann Diouf
  • DF: Antoine Mendy, Melvin Bard, Jonathan Clauss, Kojo Peprah Oppong
  • MF: Charles Vanhoutte, Morgan Sanson, Hicham Boudaoui
  • FW: Sofiane Diop, Terem Moffi, Jérémie Boga


The Verdict

As the Tips.GG expert team, our main pick is Celta Vigo to win, with a predicted scoreline of 1-0. This reflects both current form and the tactical setup expected at Brann Stadion. Celta’s experience in tight European contests, coupled with a more settled defensive line and the match-winning nous of Iago Aspas, gives them a decisive edge. Our AI prediction engine assigns Celta Vigo a 48% probability to win, compared to Nice’s 26%, aligning with bookmaker consensus and recent underlying metrics.

How to watch Celta Vigo vs Nice

When? October 23, 2025. Kick-off at 22:00 CEST.
Where? Brann Stadion, Bergen, EU.
How to watch: Broadcast and streaming options will be available via UEFA.tv and partner broadcasters in your region.
Favorite: Celta Vigo

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Nice. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Nice. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

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