Liam Duckstein
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Celje host Omonia Nicosia at Stadion Z’dežele with both sides looking to pick up their first League Phase points after opening defeats. Celje fell 0-2 to Bayer Leverkusen while Omonia went down 0-1 to Celta Vigo in their European curtain raisers, yet their domestic form tells two very different stories heading into this one.
Omonia arrive on the back of a 60% winrate over their last five matches across all competitions, while Celje have won just once in their last four. That gap, perhaps more than the home advantage, shapes how we read this fixture.
Watch Benjamin Verbič for Celje. He carries the creative burden behind the striker and his free kick quality (three attempts in his last outing alone) gives the hosts a set piece route to goal. For Omonia, Muamer Tanković leads the line with sharp movement in behind, and his link play was central to their win over Celta Vigo in the group stage opener.
Hot stat: Omonia doubled Celje’s shot output across their respective last five matches, firing 10 attempts to Celje’s 5, a gap that lines up neatly with Omonia’s superior world ranking and form.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Z’dežele, Celje |
| 🗓️ Date: | 15.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:45 CEST |
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction
We lean toward Omonia Nicosia here. Their winrate this year sits at 63% compared to Celje’s 48%, and their last 30 days have been considerably sharper, three wins from five against Celje’s single win in four. Home advantage for Celje counts for something, but not enough to offset the gap in quality and ranking between these two sides. Our pick is Omonia to avoid defeat, with value on the away win itself given the odds on offer.
Celje commit fouls at a moderate rate (10 in their last five matches) and have stayed disciplined with zero cards shown recently, suggesting a team that defends through positioning rather than physical pressure. Omonia foul less often (4 in their last five) yet generate far more shots and corners, pointing to a team happier to dictate tempo with the ball. That contrast should produce a cagey opening before Omonia’s extra attacking threat tells.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Both halves to produce under 1.5 goals combined |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Celje’s last outing ended in a 1-0 win over Aluminij, a result that snapped a run of mixed form. Before that they drew 0-0 with Mura, lost 0-2 to Bayer Leverkusen in their Europa League opener, lost 1-2 to Bravo, and beat Rudar 3-0. The pattern shows a side capable of goals domestically but toothless against stronger continental opposition, exactly the kind of opponent Omonia represents on paper.
Omonia head into this one off a comfortable 3-0 win over Karmiotissa, though that followed a 0-1 loss to Olympiakos Nicosia. Earlier results include a 4-1 win over Ypsonas and the 1-0 Europa League win over Celta Vigo that opened their League Phase campaign. The balance of attacking output and squad depth suggests Henning Berg’s side travel with genuine belief.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Celje and Omonia Nicosia have no recent competitive meetings on record before this fixture, making this their first documented encounter in our database.
🚨Check out our dedicated Celje vs Omonia Nicosia stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Celje the favourite
- Moneyline Celje 2.30 | Omonia Nicosia 2.87
- Draw 3.30
Bookmakers give Celje a narrow 39% implied chance against Omonia’s 33%, with the draw sitting at 28%. That gap feels tight considering Omonia’s form and ranking advantage, and we think the away price carries real value. Celje’s home odds look shorter than their recent results justify, while backing Omonia at close to 2.87 matches the quality difference between these two squads reasonably well.
Possible Starting Lineups
Celje possible starting eleven
- GK: Žan Luka Leban
- DF: Artemijus Tutyskinas, Pijus Sirvys, Leonardo Koutris, Alpha Richard Diounkou
- MF: Milot Avdyli, Mark Zabukovnik, Luka Vesner Ticic, Mario Kvesić
- FW: Benjamin Verbič, Blaž Kramer
Zoran Zeljkovic should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that his squad used in their last outing. Verbič operates as the main creative outlet behind Kramer, and his set piece delivery could be Celje’s clearest route to goal against a side that otherwise looks sturdier in open play.
Omonia Nicosia possible starting eleven
- GK: Fabiano
- DF: Senou Coulibaly, Jure Balkovec, Lubomír Šatka, Jean-Kevin Duverne
- MF: Panagiotis Andreou, Mateo Marić, Ewandro, Florin Tănase, Jaden Sean Montnor
- FW: Muamer Tanković
Henning Berg has favoured the same 4-2-3-1 shape in recent matches. Balkovec’s goal threat from fullback adds an extra attacking outlet, while Tanković’s movement up top gives Omonia a focal point that Celje’s back line will need to track closely all match.
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Omonia Nicosia. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Omonia Nicosia edge this one, perhaps by a single goal margin given how tight both defenses have looked in their Europa League openers. Celje’s home form has been shaky and their continental results so far show a team still adjusting to this level, while Omonia’s recent run of results and superior ranking back up their price as an away side. To be honest, the smarter staking route might be a draw no bet on Omonia combined with under 2.5 goals, since neither team has looked prolific in their last five outings. Our team sides with the visitors to leave Slovenia with something to show for the trip.
