CBLOL FURIA VS RED Canids Prediction

Round 3 of the CBLOL lower bracket will see the self-proclaimed super team FURIA face Red Canids for a place in the lower bracket final.

FURIA lost 3-2 versus PAIN Gaming in round one of the upper bracket. It was a close best of five, and FURIA could have won if they didn’t make some mistakes, especially in game five, which ended up costing them the series.

As for RED Canids, they were 3-0 by KaBuM. KaBuM early game proved to be too strong for the reigning CBLOL champions. They got the early game lead in all three matches, especially in the first one where they were 5k gold ahead at the 15-minute mark, and never gave Red Canids a way back in the game.

Red Canids managed to defeat Liberty 3-2 in a very close five games series, and still dream of attending MSI. However, they have a tuff task ahead of them.

Without further ado, let’s analyze both teams’ playstyle.

FURIA

FURIA was the only team capable to put up a fight against Pain Gaming in this playoffs so far. If a couple of o situations had gone their way, maybe they would already be in the final waiting for their opponent.

The perfect word to describe FURIA as a team is late-game. Almost all the games they won go over the 40 minutes mark, and their average game duration is 38 minutes.

FURIA trust in their ability to team fight, and if you take a look at their composition it’s no surprise they like to play a safe early game, and manage their mid-game in order to get to the late game in a position where their team fight around objectives will win them the game.

At 15 minutes they have a 969 gold deficit, a minus 23.4 CS deferential at 15 minutes, and their overall win rate when they are ahead at 15 minutes is 33%, mainly because they don’t find themselves ahead at the 15 minutes mark in most games.

If you take a look at the compositions they like to run you can see they are a very late-game centered team.

Envy and Netuno manly play late game centered carries such as Aphelios, Kaisa, Zeri, Viktor, Veigar, champions that will guarantee you a good chance at winning the game if this one drags out.

As you can see in the image Envy and Netuno are the two main carriers of the team, dishing out 60% of the team’s damage.

However, RedBert was been struggling to find success with anything apart from Leona. His Alistar and Nautilus haven’t looked good, and Red Canids can use this to punish FURIA on the drat. Envy has been the only constant performer on the team.

FNB has a lot of resources poured into him, but recently he has not been able to find the success he once was. Is champions pool is also not that big, despite having played four champions in this playoffs so far, his Gnar and Renekton didn’t look good, and in both games that Furia was able to win versus Pain Gaming he was on Tryndamere.

FURIA will need Envy to continue to play at a great level, and for Ranger to get back to the level he was playing at in the regular season since the jungle matchup is going to be very important in this series.

RED Canids

Opposite from FURIA, RED Canids is a decent early-game team. Emphases on decent, they are by no means a good early game team and that was proven in their series versus KaBuM.

Their gold differential at 15 minutes is -1226, and they have a cs deficit of 9.9. also at 15 minutes.

However, they have a 100% win rate when ahead at the 15 minutes mark. Despite not having many big leads at the 15 minutes mark, when they do have a lead at that point of the game they are able to translate that into objectives and grow their gold lead.

RED Canids are a very scrappy team, meaning they like to fight a lot. If there is a skirmish RED Canids think they can win they will force the fight, which sometimes works to their detriment.

Their average kills and deaths per game prove they like to fight and thrive in that type of environment. If RED Canids takes the lead of the game you can expect them to contest every objective they can.

When it comes to the draft I give the slight edge to RED Canids.

Titan, Jojo, and Aegis have a big champion pool, meaning they will always manage to have an impact on the game, even if they arent on their favorites or the most meta picks.

Grevthar has found a lot of success on Viktor and Vex, but if these two champions are banned or Viktor is taken by FURIA, it’s also one of the most played champions by Envy, it can become a problem for RED Canids.

However, RED Canids still have their substitute mid lane Avenger, which has a different champion pool and can be the answer if Grevthar is not performing well, or is getting target banned.

The x-factor in this game will be Guigo. Guigo has proved he can look like the best top laner in all of Brazil in one game, and look abysmal in the following one.

He also has a very limited champion pool, and against fNB Red Canids will need the best version possible of Guigo.

If that doesn’t happen they can always call Betao. He played some games for the team in the regular season and even played two games versus KaBuM. However, the team lost both games we played versus KaBuM, and in the series versus Liberty, Guigo played all five games.

Prediction

This is going to be a very close series, and I would be surprised if we had five maps.

After taking everything into account I will go with FURIA to win this match and advance to face KaBuM in the lower bracket final.

FURIA didn’t look great versus PAIN Gaming but they played versus the best team in the playoffs so far. While RED Canids struggled to beat Liberty.

Individually I think FURIA has the advantage, and the fact they have very experienced players is another point in their favor.

If we see the fNB that everyone considered the best top laner in Brazil then Guigo will struggle.

Ranger, Redbert, and Netuno also need to perform better individually compared to how they play versus PAIN Gaming.

In the end, the individual talent of FURIA combined with their great team fighting ability will be the difference-maker in my opinion.