The final matchday of the Serie B 2025/26 regular season brings together Catanzaro and Bari at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. With both sides fighting for different ambitions, Catanzaro eyes a playoff tune-up while Bari desperately needs points to secure safety. The pressure on Bari is immense, but Catanzaro’s consistent scoring in recent games and home advantage add intrigue. Filippo Pittarello’s outstanding finishing and Gabriele Moncini’s ability to convert chances for Bari shape the narrative. Both midfields possess creativity, but Bari’s discipline issues could be a liability against Catanzaro’s direct style.
Catanzaro’s Filippo Pittarello, with five goals in his last four appearances, is a clear threat up front. Bari’s Giulio Maggiore, central to transitions and the build-up, will need to manage both defensive and attacking duties. The hot stat: Catanzaro has scored in every one of their last five matches, racking up 10 goals, highlighting a dangerous attacking rhythm.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie B 2025/26 Regular Season, Italy |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro |
| 🗓️ Date: | 08.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:30 CEST |
Catanzaro vs Bari prediction
We predict Catanzaro to win this match. The team has found a strong scoring form, netting 10 goals in their last five, compared to Bari’s 5. Catanzaro also holds a significant home record and boasts more structure in midfield and defense. Bari’s defense leaks goals and their away record is far from convincing.
Catanzaro’s direct style, high pass accuracy (87%), and consistent attack give them an edge. They combine measured buildup with fast transitions, and their fouls count (52 in last 5) sits below Bari’s (58), meaning they risk fewer dangerous set pieces. Both teams collect yellows—Catanzaro (7), Bari (9)—but Bari’s higher foul rate could hurt them in key moments. Expect a physical contest, but Catanzaro’s discipline and attacking variety should see them through.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Catanzaro to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Catanzaro’s recent matches show a team capable of adapting and scoring. Their last outing ended in a 2-3 loss to Palermo, but the game was tightly contested and Catanzaro showed resilience, coming back from behind and creating high-quality chances. Before that, a 4-2 win over Spezia highlighted their offensive firepower and willingness to take risks. Draws against Modena, Avellino, and Juve Stabia might suggest inconsistency, but they have not failed to score, and their attacking threat never fades.
Bari’s last five games reveal a side in survival mode. Their 2-0 win over Entella brought relief, yet was sandwiched between defeats to Avellino (0-2), Venezia (0-3), and Monza (0-2). These results underline their defensive frailty and issues in transition. The win over Modena (3-1) showcased flashes of attacking intent, but overall, Bari’s form remains patchy and they struggle to control matches against stronger opposition.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Catanzaro | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
| Total shots | 57 | 39 |
| Free kicks | 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 22 | 14 |
| Total fouls | 52 | 58 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 87% | 75% |
| Interceptions | 29 | 25 |
| Offsides | 7 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Catanzaro vs Bari stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Catanzaro the favourite
- Moneyline Catanzaro 2.55 | Bari 2.80
- Draw 3.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.72
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.65 | No 2.10
Bookmakers slightly lean towards Catanzaro due to home advantage and scoring form. The draw remains a possibility, but Bari’s inconsistent defense lowers their value. Over 2.5 goals is fairly priced given Catanzaro’s attacking output. Both teams scoring looks probable—neither keeps clean sheets often. Odds reflect the attacking promise and defensive questions on both sides.
Possible Starting Lineups
Catanzaro possible starting eleven

- GK: Mirko Pigliacelli
- DF: Matias Antonini Lui, Marco Pompetti, Fellipe Jack
- MF: Simone Pontisso, Fabio Rispoli, Tommaso Cassandro, Mattia Liberali
- FW: Filippo Pittarello, Federico Di Francesco, Costantino Favasuli
Pigliacelli starts in goal, offering experience and composure. The defensive trio of Antonini Lui, Pompetti, and Jack is the backbone. The midfield four combines Pontisso’s energy and Rispoli’s dynamism with Cassandro and Liberali’s creativity. Up front, Pittarello’s form is impossible to overlook. Di Francesco adds movement and Favasuli supports with late runs. Catanzaro should line up in their favored 3-4-2-1, focusing on direct attacks and exploiting Bari’s defensive lapses.
Bari possible starting eleven

- GK: Michele Cerofolini
- DF: Valerio Mantovani, Cas Odenthal, Balla Moussa Mane
- MF: Matthias Braunöder, Giulio Maggiore, Mehdi Dorval, Riccardo Pagano, Federico Artioli
- FW: Gabriele Moncini, Kevin Piscopo
Cerofolini takes the gloves for Bari. The defense will rely on Mantovani, Odenthal, and Mane to hold the line. In midfield, Braunöder and Maggiore are pivotal, with Dorval and Pagano providing width and Artioli linking play. Moncini and Piscopo offer presence in attack. Bari likely sticks to a 3-5-2, aiming for solidity but needing their midfield to step up. Moncini’s eye for goal and Maggiore’s drive are keys to any Bari success.
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Catanzaro. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Catanzaro wins. Their form and attacking depth outweigh Bari’s defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent results. Both teams should find the net, but Catanzaro’s ability to score in bunches and control midfield possession sets them apart. Bari will fight, yet Catanzaro’s momentum and discipline make them favorites to grab all three points.


