Sofia Quijada
Castellon face Cadiz at Estadio Municipal Castalia in a clash of La Liga 2 opposites. Castellon, pushing for a promotion play-off spot, meet a Cadiz side in a deep rut, desperate for points to escape relegation. Castellon’s direct style has brought them close to the top, while Cadiz have not won a match in their last five outings and look lost offensively.
Álex Calatrava Torrado (Castellon) has become a reliable goal source, scoring 4 in his last 4 matches, and Antonio Cordero (Cadiz) stands out as a rare bright spot for the away team, netting twice recently. Castellon’s squad is disciplined with ball distribution and set-piece threats; Cadiz rely on isolated moments, often struggling for control.
Hot stat: Castellon have fired 69 total shots in their last five matches, compared to Cadiz’s 38, demonstrating a massive offensive gap.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2 2025/26 Regular Season (Spain) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Municipal Castalia, Castellon |
| 🗓️ Date: | 15.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:30 CEST |
Castellon vs Cadiz prediction
We predict Castellon to win this match. Castellon’s recent form shows tactical cohesion and attacking threat, particularly at home where they’ve outscored and outshot most opponents. Cadiz’s inability to create or finish chances is clear from their poor win rate (0% last 5, 10% this year), and their defensive frailty is exposed by conceding 56 goals in 39 games.
Castellon’s disciplined play is reflected in their moderate yellow card and foul stats (12 yellows, 65 fouls in 5 matches), while Cadiz, despite similar discipline (11 yellows, 45 fouls), lack the ball retention (1205 passes at 45% accuracy vs Castellon’s 1304 at 65%). Castellon’s higher number of corners and shots shows relentless pressure, likely to translate into goals.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Castellon to win & over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Castellon’s last five matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss. They netted 8 goals, showing clinical finishing and a high shot count (69 shots). Last match: 1-1 vs Ceuta—Castellon dominated possession and chances but lacked sharpness in front of goal. Previous matches included a strong 3-2 win over Malaga and a convincing 3-1 against Burgos CF, both top-half teams, indicating their ability to deliver in tough fixtures.
Cadiz, on the other hand, are on a dismal run—4 losses and 1 draw from their last 5 games. They have scored just 3 times, highlighting offensive struggles. Last match: 0-1 home loss to Deportivo La Coruna, where Cadiz failed to mount any sustained attacks and managed only a few attempts on goal. Their previous 2-2 draw with Cultural Leonesa saw defensive lapses, and their 0-3 loss to Gijon exposed their vulnerability at the back.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Castellon | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 5 |
| Total shots | 69 | 38 |
| Free kicks | 8 | 8 |
| Corner kicks | 28 | 18 |
| Total fouls | 65 | 45 |
| Interceptions | 31 | 35 |
| Offsides | 8 | 8 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Castellon vs Cadiz stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Castellon the favourite
- Moneyline Castellon 1.28 | Cadiz 8.50
- Draw 6.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.80
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.50 | No 1.45
Bookmakers rate Castellon as overwhelming favourites, with an average win probability of 73%. Cadiz’s odds drift above 8.0, reflecting their winless streak and weak attack. Draws remain unlikely given Castellon’s home strength and Cadiz’s lack of resilience. The goal markets suggest an open game, but with Cadiz unlikely to contribute much, “No” on BTTS and “Over 2.5” as a combined bet offer value.
Possible Starting Lineups
Castellon possible starting eleven
- GK: Romain Matthys
- DF: Lucas Alcázar, Alberto Jiménez, Fabrizio Brignani, Agustín Sienra
- MF: Israel Suero Fernández, Diego Barri, Ronaldo Pompeu da Silva, Marc Olivier Doue
- FW: Álex Calatrava Torrado, Brian Cipenga
Castellon are likely to stick with their familiar 4-4-2 setup. Matthys, a mainstay in goal, organizes a solid back four. Brignani and Alcázar have played nearly every minute, providing defensive stability. In midfield, Israel Suero Fernández and Ronaldo add balance, while Calatrava Torrado leads the attack, ably supported by Cipenga’s movement and assists. Expect Castellon to build through the midfield and exploit wide areas.
Cadiz possible starting eleven
- GK: Victor Wehbi Aznar
- DF: Bojan Kovacevic, Iker Recio Ortega, Mario Climent Plá, Jorge Moreno San Vidal
- MF: Moussa Diakité, Sergio Ortuno Diaz, Álex Fernández, Youssouf Diarra
- FW: Antonio Cordero, Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez
Cadiz will likely opt for a 4-4-2, given recent lineups. Victor Wehbi Aznar has been the most-used goalkeeper. Kovacevic and Recio Ortega lead the defensive line, while Diakité offers energy in midfield. Up front, Antonio Cordero is the main threat, with González Rodríguez as a secondary option. Suso might get minutes off the bench, given his recent assists. Cadiz’s main weakness remains creativity and finishing, so expect a reactive, counter-attacking approach.
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Cadiz. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Castellon should dominate this contest. Their balanced attack and tight defensive unit stand in stark contrast to a Cadiz side with no wins in their last five, a leaky back line, and a blunt attack. Castellon’s superior ball control, shooting volume, and home support point to a convincing win. We predict a 3-0 or 3-1 result, with Castellon scoring early and dictating the game’s tempo. To be honest, anything but a home win would be a huge surprise.
