Rafael Nogueira
Cascavel and Gremio meet on June 27 in a pre-season friendly at Brann Stadion in Bergen, Norway. The gap in club ranking between these two Brazilian sides is enormous, with Gremio sitting at 162nd in the world compared to Cascavel’s 20,588th, making this a significant mismatch on paper. Gremio, managed by Luís Castro, arrive off the back of a 1-3 loss to Corinthians, while Cascavel under Jeff Strasser have drawn their last two matches. Martin Braithwaite, operating up front for Gremio, brings European-level experience to this squad and will be the most dangerous attacker on the pitch. For Cascavel, their best hope of disrupting Gremio’s rhythm lies in pressing high and disrupting build-up play, though their limited data from recent games makes it hard to gauge their current sharpness.
Hot stat: Gremio’s Gabriel Mec scored the only goal in their last available match data, contributing 3 total shots and 1 interception in 80 minutes, making him the standout performer in an otherwise underwhelming offensive output against Corinthians.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Cascavel vs Gremio Prediction
Gremio are the clear quality favorites here. Their squad features players with significant professional pedigree, including Arthur Melo, Carlos Vinícius, and Braithwaite, while Cascavel’s roster data is entirely absent for recent games, suggesting a much lower level of squad depth and preparation. Gremio’s 4-2-3-1 setup should dominate possession and create consistent half-chances, even if their final product has been inconsistent lately.
Cascavel’s last 15-match form reads as inconsistent, with several losses and draws mixed in. Gremio’s form is similarly patchy, but the class difference between these two clubs is too wide to ignore. We predict a comfortable Gremio win, likely by at least two goals. Cascavel’s inability to register any detailed stats in their last five games suggests either poor performance tracking or limited competitive action, neither of which bodes well heading into this match.
In terms of style, Gremio’s last tracked match showed 23 total fouls and 3 yellow cards, pointing to a physically committed approach. With 295 passes attempted and a pass accuracy of only 232 completed, their build-up is not always clean, but their pressing intensity and individual quality should overwhelm a lower-ranked side like Cascavel. Corners are likely to be a productive market: Gremio recorded 4 corners in their one tracked match and their attacking patterns suggest they will push wide and deliver frequently.
- We predict: Gremio to Win
- We predict: Gremio -1.5 Asian Handicap as the best value option given the class gap
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Gremio to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Cascavel’s two most recent results in June are draws: a 2-2 against Marcilio Dias on June 10, and a 0-0 against San Luis on June 29 of the previous month. Before that, they lost to Cianorte 0-1 and picked up a narrow 1-0 win over Joinville, with a 1-1 draw in the earlier fixture against the same opponent. Their form across 15 games shows a team that struggles for consistency, winning only 6 of 17 games this year for a 35% win rate. No detailed player-level stats are available for Cascavel’s recent matches, making individual assessment impossible. The 2-2 draw with Marcilio Dias, a side ranked 12,107 in the world, does not inspire confidence ahead of a match against a top-200 club.
Gremio’s last five matches tell a more detailed story. Their most recent outing, a 1-3 loss to Corinthians (ranked 117th globally), is a concern, but the 3-2 win over Santos and 2-0 victory against Palestino show they can produce results. The 2-2 draw with Montevideo City Torque and 1-1 draw with Bahia round out a mixed sequence. In the one match where full stats were captured, Gremio attempted 295 passes, made 23 fouls, earned 4 corners, and allowed 1 red card. Arthur Melo covered 90 minutes and led their midfield with 42 passes, while Carlos Vinícius put in 5 total shots up front. The squad has the tools to control matches, though their defensive discipline needs improvement given the red card and foul count.
🚨Check out our dedicated Cascavel vs Gremio stats page for more info.
Possible Starting Lineups
Cascavel Possible Starting Eleven
No player-level data is available for Cascavel across their last five matches. Jeff Strasser is expected to field a 4-2-3-1 based on the team’s most-used formation, but individual player selections cannot be confirmed. This lack of data is itself a signal: Cascavel are operating at a level where detailed tracking is absent, which further underlines the gulf in class for this fixture.
Gremio Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Thiago Beltrame
- DF: Walter Kannemann, Wagner Leonardo, Viery, Marcos Rocha
- MF: Arthur Melo, Mathias Villasanti, Leonel Pérez, Gabriel Mec
- FW: Martin Braithwaite, Carlos Vinícius
Luís Castro is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1, with Arthur Melo and Mathias Villasanti anchoring the double pivot. Thiago Beltrame starts in goal after playing 75 minutes in the Corinthians match, where he made 5 saves and conceded 3. Wagner Leonardo and Viery both completed 90 minutes in that fixture and are nailed-on starters at center-back. Up front, Carlos Vinícius is the main goal threat with 5 shots in his last outing, and Braithwaite provides technical quality in the number 10 role. Gabriel Mec, who scored the team’s goal against Corinthians, is a player to watch from midfield.
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Cascavel. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Gremio should win this comfortably. The ranking gap between the two clubs is one of the largest you will find in any friendly fixture, and Gremio’s squad includes professional-level players with recent competitive minutes in Brazilian and international football. Cascavel have not won in their last two games, carry no available player data, and face a side that beat Santos 3-2 just weeks ago.
To be honest, the main uncertainty here is not the result but the margin. Gremio’s defensive discipline has been shaky, with a red card and 23 fouls in their last tracked game, and their pass accuracy suggests they are still finding rhythm under Castro. Cascavel could nick a goal on the counter, but we do not expect them to hold Gremio below two goals. Our firm prediction is a Gremio win with over 2.5 total goals, and BTTS “No” remains the value pick given Cascavel’s attacking limitations.
