Rafael Nogueira
Casa Pia and Torreense enter the Relegation Playoffs second leg with everything to play for after a goalless first encounter. Casa Pia look to avoid dropping from the Primeira Liga, while Torreense chase a remarkable promotion push. The match is set for Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, a neutral ground that adds another layer of unpredictability. One intriguing dynamic: Casa Pia’s experienced defense faces the dynamic attacking duo of Torreense’s Kevin Zohi and Musa Drammeh, two of the most effective finishers in recent games. Hot stat: Torreense have scored 11 goals in their last five matches—an output far above Casa Pia’s three.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primeira Liga 2025/26 Relegation Playoffs |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Casa Pia vs Torreense prediction
We predict Torreense to win this match. Their recent form is unignorable—undefeated in their last six matches, four wins, and a potent attack. Casa Pia have struggled: only one win in their last six, with a weak 16% win rate this year. Torreense play energetic, front-foot football, regularly outshooting opponents (76 shots in last five matches vs Casa Pia’s 54) and scoring freely. Casa Pia rely heavily on defensive stability but lack cutting edge up front. The high foul and yellow card count for Casa Pia (107 fouls, 21 yellows in last five) suggests they may try to disrupt Torreense’s rhythm, but with Torreense’s superior ball movement (1720 passes at 78% accuracy) and discipline (only 10 yellows), we expect Torreense to create and finish more chances.
Casa Pia’s aggressive style can produce set-piece opportunities, but their low conversion rate (3 goals in five) hints at inefficiency. Torreense’s balanced approach, with threats from both flanks, gives them the advantage, especially if Casa Pia become frustrated and pick up bookings.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Over 4.5 Cards |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Casa Pia’s last match ended 0-0 against Torreense, a contest marked by limited offensive output and a heavy reliance on defensive structure. Their run of form is concerning: a single victory in the last six, a meager three goals scored, and significant discipline issues with 21 yellow cards in five games. Their 1-1 draw against Rio Ave showed some resilience, but attacking threat remains lacking. Defensive veterans like Joao Pedro Goulart and David Sousa provide organization, but their midfield creates few quality chances.
Torreense’s recent matches showcase a team surging with confidence. They shocked Sporting CP with a 2-1 win and dismantled Vizela 4-0. They come into this match on a six-game unbeaten streak, scoring 11 and conceding only 3. Their aggressive 3-4-3 formation maximizes width and pressing, with Kevin Zohi (3 goals in last 5) and Musa Drammeh (3 goals) the main finishers. Torreense pass the ball efficiently and look comfortable both defending and attacking transitions, rarely losing control even against stronger sides.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Casa Pia | Torreense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Total shots | 10 | 13 |
| Free kicks | 8 | 7 |
| Corner kicks | 3 | 2 |
| Total fouls | 22 | 14 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 70 | 75 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 9 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Casa Pia vs Torreense stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Casa Pia the favourite
- Moneyline Casa Pia 2.42 | Torreense 3.12
- Draw 3.12
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.30 | Under 2.5 1.60
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90
Bookmakers rate Casa Pia as slight favourites, likely due to their Primeira Liga pedigree and home venue label. Yet, their win rate and recent form hardly support this. Torreense’s underdog odds present value given their current momentum and recent results. Over 2.5 goals offers strong value, considering Torreense’s scoring run and Casa Pia’s defensive lapses. Both teams to score at near-evens also looks justified—Torreense will press for goals, Casa Pia will be forced to open up eventually.
Possible Starting Lineups
Casa Pia possible starting eleven
- GK: Patrick Sequeira
- DF: Andre Geraldes, Joao Pedro Goulart, David Sousa Albino, Gaizka Larrazabal
- MF: Rafael Brito, Iyad Mohamed, Lawrence Ofori
- FW: João Marques, Cassiano, Dailon Livramento
Sequeira will start in goal, shielded by a familiar back four. Geraldes and Larrazabal offer full-back support, with the experienced Sousa and Goulart central. Brito, Mohamed, and Ofori anchor midfield, providing steel and limited creativity. Up front, Marques and Livramento support target man Cassiano, who remains their best bet for a goal. Casa Pia are expected to stick with their 4-2-3-1, but may shift to a more direct approach if chasing a result. Watch for Gaizka Larrazabal’s overlapping runs—he’s scored twice in his last six games.
Torreense possible starting eleven
- GK: Lucas Paes
- DF: Ianique Tavares Stopira, Javi Vazquez, David Bruno
- MF: Andre Simões, Léo Azevedo, Mohamed Ali Diadie, Guilherme Tomás
- FW: Kevin Zohi, Musa Drammeh, Dany Jean
Paes stands in goal, behind a three-man defense of Stopira, Vazquez, and Bruno. Midfield is dynamic, with Simões and Azevedo providing drive and control, Diadie and Tomás bringing workrate and passing. The front three—Zohi, Drammeh, and Jean—offer pace, movement, and goals. Torreense will use their proven 3-4-3, maximizing width and pressing triggers. Zohi and Drammeh are the clear danger men, both in top scoring form, while Jean adds unpredictability on the right. The system has produced consistency and attacking variety.
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Torreense. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Torreense will edge this playoff decider. Their relentless form, potent attack, and disciplined build-up play put them a notch above Casa Pia right now. Casa Pia’s discipline issues and lack of attacking output leave them vulnerable, especially if forced to chase the game. Expect a high-card count, both teams on the scoresheet, and Torreense to take their chances when it matters most.
