Canada (w) vs Costa Rica (w) Prediction: 28.06.2025 International Friendly

The stage is set for a notable International Friendly this summer, as Canada (w) prepare to take on Costa Rica (w) at Brann Stadion in Bergen. While friendlies are often about testing new tactical wrinkles, this fixture serves as a crucial yardstick for both teams’ development and squad depth as they eye their respective international ambitions. What stands out here is how contrasting the sides’ forms and fortunes have been – with Canada’s confidence running high and Costa Rica determined to arrest a worrying losing streak.

Among the players to watch, Canadian attacker Adriana Leon has been finding the net at critical junctures and will be eager to assert her influence again. On the Costa Rican side, Raquel Rodríguez’s vision and tenacity in midfield could be the spark that reignites their campaign, especially as she orchestrates their attacking play. Though keepers will be called into action, their fortunes rest on more than just the gloves.

Hot stat? Canada (w) boast a flawless 100% win rate in their two most recent outings – scoring seven goals across those contests. If momentum means anything in international football, the Canadians surely have it!

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Canada (w) vs Costa Rica (w) prediction

Given the disparity in recent form, our top prediction is for Canada (w) to secure a victory – and likely by more than a single goal. Canada’s impressive streak, marked by 3-1 and 4-1 triumphs over Haiti (w), and a well-oiled 4-1-4-1 formation, contrasts starkly with Costa Rica’s string of defeats and draws. The Canadians look sharper in transitions, more resilient defensively, and have showcased efficient forward thrusts.

Expect dominance in ball possession from Canada, as they tend to control midfield and reduce opponents’ counterattacking opportunities. On the discipline front, neither side is notoriously ill-tempered (yellow cards have not spiked in recent matches), but Canada’s pressing game could force the Costa Ricans into more fouls and defensive errors – potentially leading to extra set-piece chances. In terms of corners, with Canada setting the tempo, expect a higher count for the North Americans, especially as their fullbacks are encouraged to push forward and deliver from wide areas.

Team Analysis

Canada (w): Canada have shone brightly in June’s international friendlies, stringing together commanding wins over Haiti (w) – 3-1 and 4-1 – after dispatching Chinese Taipei (w) 7-0 earlier in the season. Even in their single recent defeat, a narrow 0-1 against Argentina (w), they created solid scoring chances. These results underscore the team’s attacking intent, defensive resolve, and impressive tactical adaptation under Casey Stoney. Their ability to rotate midfielders and maintain aggressive pressing translates directly into sustained territorial dominance – a marker of a team in fine fettle.

Costa Rica (w): In stark contrast, Costa Rica’s struggles have persisted: a 1-4 defeat to Mexico (w) and twin losses to New Zealand (w) and Ecuador (w) highlight their defensive vulnerabilities. Their 3-3 draw with Ecuador offered a glimpse of their attacking capabilities, but persistent lapses at the back have proven costly. Under Amelia Valverde, Costa Rica have yet to find a stable core – and the lack of wins in 2025 will have dented confidence. Expect them to begin cautiously, looking for opportunities on the counter, but discipline and compactness remain a concern.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Canada (w) vs Costa Rica (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Canada (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Canada (w) 1.20 | Costa Rica (w) 7.50
• Draw 5.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.70 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.60

With their superior form and attacking output, it’s little wonder that Canada (w) are heavy favourites in the odds tables – their confidence and recent record suggest little threat of an upset. The bookies’ low price for the home win points to a gulf in quality, while the expectation for goals is backed by both sides’ defensive records.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Canada (w) possible starting eleven

This line-up reflects both continuity and attacking firepower. Jessie Fleming’s leadership in midfield is pivotal, with Buchanan anchoring the backline. Leon’s recent scoring form and Huitema’s movement make them a formidable front pairing. Expect Stoney to stick to the tried and tested 4-1-4-1, expecting to dominate wide areas and break quickly.

Costa Rica (w) possible starting eleven

Valverde will likely go with her preferred 4-2-3-1, hoping to control midfield through Rodríguez’s creativity and Alvarado’s ball-winning. If the fullbacks can stay disciplined and the forward pairing finds early rhythm, Costa Rica could test Canada’s disciplined defence, but it’s a tall order given recent performances.

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The Verdict

For all Costa Rica’s spirit, the smart money rests firmly with a confident, efficient Canada (w). Expect the North Americans to stamp their authority early, use their physical advantage and tactical discipline to control proceedings, and perhaps cruise to a two or three-goal margin. Costa Rica (w) will be fighting against the odds, and while football often springs a surprise or two, the form book is near impossible to ignore. For Canada, it’s another step forward on a promising summer journey.

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