Cajamarca vs Sport Boys Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Liga 1 2025 Match - 28.06.2025

On June 28, 2025, all eyes turn to Estadio German Contreras Jara in Cajabamba as Cajamarca host Sport Boys in a pivotal Liga 1 Apertura clash, kicking off at 23:15 CEST. This high-stakes meeting lands at a crucial juncture in the Peruvian season, with both clubs eager to climb the table. Under the leadership of Pablo Bossi (Cajamarca) and Arturo Reyes (Sport Boys), tactical approaches and player form will be fiercely tested under the floodlights of Cajabamba.

Central to the narrative will be Cajamarca’s creative midfielder Erinson Ramirez, whose goal against Alianza Huanuco underlined his growing influence, and Sport Boys’ dynamic forward Alejandro Hohberg, a threat in both scoring and creation (1 goal, 2 assists in the last two matches). These two could well define the tempo and outcome of the evening.

While goals have at times been scarce for Cajamarca, Sport Boys have shown resilience, netting four in their last five but also conceding regularly. One outstanding hot stat: Sport Boys average 7 corners per match over their last five—an indicator of sustained attacking pressure.

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Cajamarca vs Sport Boys predictions

My best bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities—Cajamarca conceded six at home to Cienciano recently, while Sport Boys have found the net in four of their last five games. Factor in Cajamarca’s offensive improvement at home and Sport Boys’ offensive lineup featuring Hohberg and Luciano Nequecaur, and the scenario favors an open match with goals at both ends.

When we break down recent discipline and style, Cajamarca average 6.2 yellow cards and 31 fouls per five matches—a sign of aggressive pressing but sometimes at the cost of defensive organization. Sport Boys, in contrast, are a touch less physical, averaging 3 yellows and 36 fouls, but compensate with higher ball possession (705 passes vs Cajamarca’s 442 over their last five), suggesting more controlled build-up play. However, their 1 red card in five games could hint at risk-taking defensively. Expect Cajamarca to try and disrupt rhythm, while Sport Boys look to leverage technical precision and fast transitions. These competing styles increase the unpredictability and make for creative betting prospects.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Cajamarca vs Sport Boys Most recent H2Hs

In their most recent head-to-head, played during the 2024 Clausura, Cajamarca and Sport Boys produced a balanced 1-1 draw. Both displayed attacking willingness (a combined 23 shots), while set plays (11 corners) and disciplined passing were a theme. The fixture’s past suggests little separates these teams, and another close contest is expected—although greater attacking intent from both in 2025 could open up the game. Sport Boys’ marginally cleaner pass accuracy and interception rate may offer them a slight technical edge.

🚨Read our full Cajamarca vs Sport Boys stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Sport Boys have scored in 4 of their last 5 games, while conceding in the same span.
• Cajamarca have received 2 red cards in their last 5 matches—a sign of defensive instability under pressure.
• Sport Boys average 7 corners per game over the last five, the highest rate in the Apertura.
• Cajamarca’s pass accuracy lags behind at 73 percent compared to Sport Boys’ 80 percent in recent matches.
• Sport Boys have been more disciplined in defence, averaging only 3 yellow cards per 5 matches compared to Cajamarca’s 5.
• Historically, head-to-head encounters are tight—3 out of 4 previous matches have ended in draws or single-goal margins.

Cajamarca vs Sport Boys score prediction: 1-2

Sport Boys’ attack, headlined by Hohberg’s creativity and Nequecaur’s finishing touch, is likely to trouble a Cajamarca defence that recently leaked goals (notably in their 1-6 loss to Cienciano). Cajamarca’s Erinson Ramirez can keep the hosts in contention, but unless their discipline holds, Sport Boys are in line to nick a hard-fought away victory with both teams managing to find the net.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cajamarca the favourite

While Cajamarca are favoured by bookmakers, largely thanks to home advantage and a slightly better form trajectory, the odds for Sport Boys present substantial value. Their improved goal-scoring numbers and attacking metrics—plus the recent struggles of Cajamarca’s defence—support the idea of a closely fought game that could tip in Sport Boys’ favor if they can take their chances. The over/under market is nearly even, which aligns with the evidence pointing to 2-3 total goals as the most probable outcome.

Cajamarca vs Sport Boys Over/Under Analysis

• Cajamarca’s last five have averaged 2.2 total goals (including two multi-goal games).
• Sport Boys’ last five have averaged 3.0 goals, including a 4-2 and a 3-1 result.
• Both teams have hit the over 2.5 mark in three out of their previous five matches.
• BTTS (both teams to score) has cashed in 4 of Sport Boys’ last 5 and 3 of Cajamarca’s last 5.

Cajamarca Preview

Cajamarca’s form is mixed: 2 wins and 1 loss in their last 3 matches. They managed a narrow 2-1 victory over struggling Alianza Huanuco, showcased defensive solidity with a 1-0 win over San Marcos, but stumbled badly in a 0-2 defeat to Atletico Grau. Particularly concerning is their 1-6 capitulation to Cienciano earlier in the month—a result that revealed gaps in discipline (2 red cards in five games) and organization. Still, at home, they generate opportunities—averaging over 21 shots per last five matches—and the midfield, led by Erinson Ramirez, remains a potential game-changer. Coach Pablo Bossi will likely reinforce the defensive line while tasking his midfield with cutting off Sport Boys’ supply lines.

Sport Boys Preview

Sport Boys have shown improvement in recent fixtures, notching a convincing 3-1 win over Binacional and keeping games competitive against league heavyweights (narrow losses to FBC Melgar and Alianza Lima). Their attack boasts diversity: Hohberg is both a creator and finisher, while Luciano Nequecaur provides a focal point up front. Their primary formation (5-4-1) allows for width and aggressive runs, underpinning their high corners average. However, with just 1 win in their last 3, coach Arturo Reyes must address moments of lost focus defensively, even if their possession-based buildup (563 passes in their last five) regularly tilts the play in their favor.

Our prediction: Who Wins?

Based on the recent data, form, and underlying stats, our preferred pick is a slight upset: Sport Boys to win 2-1. The offensive momentum from Hohberg and the tactical flexibility shown by coach Reyes position them to exploit Cajamarca’s defensive inconsistencies. Probability of Sport Boys win: 45 percent (as calculated by our Tips.GG AI prediction model and factoring in recent team and individual performances). Expect both teams to score, but look for Sport Boys’ attack to edge a tight contest.

How to watch Cajamarca vs Sport Boys

When? 28 June 2025, 23:15 CEST (local time)

Where? Estadio German Contreras Jara, Cajabamba, PE

How to watch: Check local Liga 1 broadcasters or official live streaming partners.

Favorite: Cajamarca (by bookmakers’ odds)

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