Liam Duckstein
A La Liga 2 fixture with stakes at both ends of the table, Cadiz host Deportivo La Coruna at Nuevo Mirandilla on May 8. Deportivo are pushing for promotion, while Cadiz aim to stave off relegation worries. The pressure on both benches is high, but form and numbers point to a clear favorite.
Luismi Cruz of Deportivo is a standout with two assists and a goal in the last five matches—his direct involvement in key attacking moments makes him a player to watch. On the Cadiz side, Antonio Cordero has two goals in his recent outings and remains their most consistent threat up front. Both will be instrumental for their sides.
Hot stat: Deportivo La Coruna remain unbeaten in their last five league matches, collecting two wins and three draws, while Cadiz are winless in their previous five, scoring just three times.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2 2025/26 Regular Season (Spain) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz |
| 🗓️ Date: | 08.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:30 CEST |
Cadiz vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction
We predict Deportivo La Coruna will win this match. The visitors’ momentum is hard to ignore: ten wins in their last twenty games this year and a 50% win rate signal clear superiority over Cadiz, who have won only twice in nineteen outings, with no victories in their last five. Deportivo’s attacking trio has combined for four goals in recent games, and their midfield is dictating play with a 86.8% pass accuracy across the last five. Cadiz’s struggles are visible: only three goals in five, a leaky defense conceding ten, and a squad searching for answers.
Both sides have a physical edge, but Cadiz’s discipline could become a liability—fourteen yellows and a red in five games. Deportivo, with eleven yellows and no reds, handle pressure better. Deportivo average more passes (1903 to 1511 in five games), higher ball retention, and generate more shots (52 vs 42). This control and discipline should tilt the match in their favor, especially away from home.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Deportivo La Coruna to win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Cadiz’s last outing ended 2-2 against Cultural Leonesa. Despite scoring twice, defensive gaps remained—their defense was breached twice by a side ranked near the bottom. Cadiz only took 42 shots over their last five and managed three goals. They lack a reliable goal source beyond Cordero and their midfield rarely supports the attack. Their defensive line, led by Iker Recio Ortega, has been overwhelmed, conceding regularly.
Deportivo La Coruna beat Leganes 2-1 away in their last match, a result that solidified their place in the promotion race. They’ve scored seven in their last five and conceded just five. The combination of Luismi Cruz, Mario Soriano, and Yeremay Hernandez keeps them dangerous in the final third. Their backline, marshaled by Ximo Navarro and Daniel Barcia Rama, offers stability, while Álavaro Fernández remains reliable between the posts.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Cadiz | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 7 |
| Total shots | 42 | 52 |
| Free kicks | 11 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 21 | 22 |
| Total fouls | 49 | 55 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 78.6 | 86.8 |
| Interceptions | 37 | 24 |
| Offsides | 11 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Cadiz vs Deportivo La Coruna stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Deportivo La Coruna the favourite
- Moneyline Cadiz 3.50 | Deportivo La Coruna 1.96
- Draw 3.45
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.40 | Under 2.5 1.55
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.77 | No 2.00
The bookmakers have Deportivo as clear favorites. At 1.96, their odds reflect both form and squad depth. Cadiz at 3.50 signals little faith in a turnaround. Over 2.5 at 2.40 is tempting—both teams are capable of scoring, especially given Cadiz’s defensive lapses and Deportivo’s potent attack. The BTTS market at 1.77 for ‘Yes’ stands out, since Cadiz often concede, but can strike when Cordero gets space. We predict Deportivo will control the tempo, see more of the ball, and outscore Cadiz.
Cadiz. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Cadiz possible starting eleven
- GK: Victor Wehbi Aznar
- DF: Iker Recio Ortega, Bojan Kovacevic, Mario Climent Plá, Jorge Moreno San Vidal
- MF: Moussa Diakité, Suso, Youssouf Diarra, Rominigue Kouame
- FW: Antonio Cordero, Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez
Cadiz will likely stick with a 4-2-3-1 formation. Aznar has started four of the last five. Ortega and Kovacevic bring stability at the back, while Suso and Cordero remain the primary sources of creativity and goals. Cordero deserves close attention: two goals in his last five. The midfield must step up in transition or Deportivo will dominate possession.
Deportivo La Coruna possible starting eleven
- GK: Álvaro Fernández
- DF: Ximo Navarro, Daniel Barcia Rama, Lucas Noubi, Adria Altimira
- MF: Mario Soriano, Diego Villares, José Ángel Jurado, Riki Rodríguez
- FW: Luismi Cruz, yeremay hernandez
Deportivo will line up in a 4-4-2, maximizing their width and technical ability. Fernández is a reliable shot-stopper. Navarro and Barcia Rama anchor a disciplined defense. Soriano and Cruz drive forward from midfield—Cruz, especially, is poised for another influential display. The double threat of Cruz and Hernandez up top will test the Cadiz backline repeatedly.
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Deportivo La Coruna. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Deportivo La Coruna will take all three points. Their superior form, squad balance, and tactical discipline outweigh Cadiz’s home advantage and sporadic attacking flashes. Expect goals at both ends, but Deportivo’s movement and technical midfield will prove too much for Cadiz. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score look likely. The pressure on Cadiz could force errors—Deportivo should capitalize and remain on track for promotion.
