Rafael Nogueira
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Burkina Faso host Mauritania in Group F of the Africa Cup of Nations 2027 qualifiers on Friday, 13 November. Both sides sit in the chasing pack, with Burkina Faso on four points and Mauritania on three after two rounds. Burkina Faso’s head coach Amir Abdou will look for a first clear step toward the top of the group, while Aritz López Garai aims to build on Mauritania’s solid opening win. Bookmakers see Burkina Faso as clear favourites, yet the group table remains tight, and every point carries weight in the race for qualification.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Africa Cup of Nations 2027, Qualifier Group F |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Burkina Faso vs Mauritania prediction
Our pick is Mauritania or draw. The bookmakers price Burkina Faso at 1.50 to 1.59, which leaves little return on a home win. The double chance option pays around 2.3 when we combine the draw and Mauritania prices, and this market covers the most likely scenarios without relying on Burkina Faso to dominate. Mauritania’s last two results include a 3-1 win over Central Africa and a 1-2 defeat to Benin, showing they score regularly and rarely collapse. Burkina Faso’s attack has produced goals, but their defence has leaked heavily, including a 0-7 loss to Argentina, so we expect a tight contest.
Burkina Faso will press for control, and their results suggest they struggle to keep clean sheets against organised opponents. Mauritania tend to keep games open, which fuels goal-scoring chances at both ends. Expect a cagey first half and a more open second period where either side can capitalise on transitions. We predict a low-scoring match with both teams finding the net, perhaps 1-1 or 2-1 in favour of the hosts.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Mauritania or Draw (Double Chance) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
Team Analysis
Burkina Faso have won 8 of their last 15 matches, with 4 defeats and 3 draws. Their form is patchy, however, and the heavy 0-7 loss to Argentina exposed serious defensive problems. Earlier results against Benin (1-1), Central Africa (1-0) and Belarus (2-2) show a side capable of scoring but vulnerable at the back. Burkina Faso’s most recent outing, the Argentina defeat, sets the tone for their caution in this fixture.
Mauritania have collected 5 wins from their last 15 matches, with 6 defeats and 4 draws. Their last match ended in a 1-2 loss to Benin, a game they competed in until the final minutes. The 3-1 victory over Central Africa and the 1-0 win over Niger demonstrate that they convert chances efficiently when their approach holds. Mauritania’s ability to score against stronger opposition, including a 1-2 defeat to Argentina, makes them a dangerous side on the counter.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Burkina Faso | Mauritania |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
The most recent meeting came in the African Nations Championship Qualification 2024/25 on 13 August 2025, with Mauritania winning 1-0. That narrow result suggests Mauritania can frustrate Burkina Faso, and we expect a similarly tight game.
Check out our dedicated Burkina Faso vs Mauritania stats page for more info.
Burkina Faso. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Burkina Faso the favourite
- Moneyline Burkina Faso 1.50 to 1.59 | Mauritania 5.95 to 6.50
- Draw 3.25 to 3.72
Burkina Faso’s odds reflect their home advantage and higher ranking, yet the 1.53 price offers minimal value. The draw at 3.72 looks generous given the tight form of both sides. Our tip avoids the outright favourite and targets the more realistic outcomes.
Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Mauritania. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Mauritania or Draw as the safest value in this fixture. Burkina Faso hold the edge on paper, but their defensive record across recent matches, including the 0-7 loss to Argentina, makes them vulnerable to a team that keeps games compact. Mauritania have shown they can win away and score against decent opposition. Expect a close match with few goals, and a result that leaves both sides within reach of the group’s top spot.
