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Brazil vs Tunisia Prediction: 18.11.2025 International Friendly 2025 Preview

15.11.2025, 16:40

An international friendly in November’s chill brings together iconic Brazil, now under the stewardship of Carlo Ancelotti, and up-and-coming Tunisia led by Sami Trabelsi at Brann Stadion in Bergen. While friendlies may seem inconsequential, Ancelotti’s approach hints at tactical refinement and squad rotation, with a focus on integrating emerging talents for Brazil and examining squad depth. This encounter offers more than a mere test—Tunisia arrives buoyed by recent improvement, and Brazil will not underestimate their opponent.

Key players to watch include Brazil’s creative fulcrum, who habitually commands play through the midfield, and Tunisia’s versatile attacker, tasked with exploiting spaces left by Brazil’s dynamic fullbacks. These individual battles are sure to define the rhythm of the game and could provide early clues on how each side will look to assert themselves.

Perhaps the “hot stat” heading into this encounter: Brazil have kept a clean sheet in their last two fixtures, a sign of Ancelotti’s tightening influence on their back line, while Tunisia have hit the net four times across their last two outings—a sharp uptick in attacking efficiency.

14:30Finished18.11.2025
1BrazilBrazil
1TunisiaTunisia
🏆 Tournament: International Friendly 2025 – November Phase
🏟 Venue: Brann Stadion, Bergen
🗓️ Date: 18.11.2025
⏰ Time: 21:30 CEST

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Brazil vs Tunisia prediction

The evidence points to a clear Brazil advantage. With an 80% win probability and a formidable recent clean sheet record, Ancelotti’s side is expected to dominate possession and dictate the tempo. Given Tunisia’s proclivity to attack—demonstrated by four goals in their last two matches—they are still likely to experience difficulty breaking down Brazil’s improved defensive structure. The most compelling bet is an Asian Handicap spread favoring Brazil (-1.5), balancing the Seleção’s firepower against Tunisia’s respectable but still inferior squad depth.

Both teams prefer a methodical buildup. Brazil, with their high pass accuracy and tactical discipline, are unlikely to concede possession cheaply. Tunisia, running with a 4-2-3-1 shape, will likely defend deep and break in numbers, but their defensive record against top-30-ranked sides raises questions. Expect a controlled game with a tilt to Brazil, but potential for late goals as Tunisia chases.

🔥Hot Tip: Brazil -1.5 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Brazil Recent Games
After a minor wobble, Brazil defeated Senegal 2-0 in their last fixture with a composed defensive display, shutting down counterattacks and seeing their midfield dictate play. Prior wins over Chile (3-0) and South Korea (5-0) showcased attacking variety and squad versatility, while the defeat to Japan exposed occasional defensive lapses. The win over Senegal marks a return to stability—Brazil pressed high, forced turnovers, and created sustained pressure, signaling readiness for experimentation ahead of major tournaments.

11:00Finished15.11.2025
2BrazilBrazil
0SenegalSenegal

Tunisia Recent Games
Tunisia’s last game saw them edge Jordan 3-2, capitalizing on quick transitions and set-piece proficiency. The prior 1-1 draw with Mauritania illustrated defensive discipline but also difficulties in creativity against compact defenses. Before that, a 3-0 win over Namibia and a 6-0 thrashing of Sao Tome Principe reveal that Tunisia can dismantle weaker sides with pace out wide and clever attacking rotations. However, losses to Egypt suggest vulnerability versus technically superior midfields.

11:45Finished14.11.2025
3TunisiaTunisia
2JordanJordan

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Brazil Tunisia
Goals 10 13
Total shots 15 17
Free kicks 8 6
Corner kicks 12 11
Total fouls 11 13
Pass accuracy (%) 88 80
Interceptions 7 6
Offsides 3 2

🚨Read our full Brazil vs Tunisia stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Brazil the favourite

  • Moneyline Brazil 1.21 – 1.15 | Tunisia 11.00 – 16.00
  • Draw 5.80 – 8.10
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.67 | Under 2.5 2.10
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.48 | No 1.55

The bookmakers heavily favor Brazil, reflecting their technical superiority and form. A market consensus with Brazil’s lowest odds clustered around 1.15-1.21 and Tunisia’s drifting out to 16.00 reflects the gulf in talent and depth. The overwhelming probability shows that Tunisia is seen as an outsider; the odds for both teams to score are relatively high, mirroring the expectation that Brazil’s defense will hold firm. Brazil’s ability to adapt tactics under Ancelotti’s system, and their superior historical performance in non-competitive matches, present compelling evidence that this market evaluation is justified.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Brazil possible starting eleven

  • GK: Alisson Becker
  • DF: Danilo, Marquinhos, Bremer, Alex Telles
  • MF: Casemiro, Bruno Guimarães
  • MF: Lucas Paquetá, Rodrygo
  • FW: Vinícius Júnior, Gabriel Martinelli

Expect Brazil to stick with the 4-2-2-2 or transition toward a fluid 4-3-3 in possession, utilizing Casemiro’s shielding presence and Guimarães’ ability to recycle play. The attacking emphasis lies with Vinícius Júnior and Martinelli, each possessing dynamism to exploit spaces behind Tunisia’s defensive line. Rodrygo’s role as a creator centrally could prove pivotal. The defense built around Marquinhos provides structure and the ability to recover quickly during transitions, which will be particularly important against Tunisia’s direct play.


Tunisia possible starting eleven

  • GK: Bechir Ben Saïd
  • DF: Ali Abdi, Dylan Bronn, Montassar Talbi, Mohamed Dräger
  • MF: Aïssa Laïdouni, Ellyes Skhiri
  • MF: Anis Slimane, Wahbi Khazri, Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
  • FW: Seifeddine Jaziri

Tunisia’s likely 4-2-3-1 features experience in defense and midfield, with Aïssa Laïdouni and Skhiri acting as the engine room. Khazri, often the creative heartbeat, will be charged with finding pockets behind Brazil’s midfield. Slimane and Khaoui provide width, but much will depend on Jaziri’s ability to hold up the ball and finish limited chances. Dräger’s overlapping runs may offer rare forward outlets but might expose Tunisia to counters if possession is lost.

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Tunisia. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Tunisia. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

My take on the Match

Brazil to control possession, take advantage of width, and strike via fast transitions. Expect Tunisia to defend deep, absorb pressure, and look for quick counters but see their best opportunity likely coming through set pieces. Given squad strength, tactical flexibility, and quality in individual duels, Brazil’s dominance in recent friendlies—coupled with a tightening defense and attacking flair—makes them overwhelming favorites. Tunisia’s resurgence is admirable, but Ancelotti’s men should have too much. My main pick: Brazil to win by at least a two-goal margin, with under 1.5 goals allowed.

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