Liam Duckstein
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Bologna host Sassuolo at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on Matchday 3 of the 2026/27 Serie A season, and the timing could not be more awkward for Domenico Tedesco’s side. Bologna have lost all four of their last 30-day fixtures and sit at the bottom half of the table with zero points from two league games. Sassuolo, promoted back to the top flight, have already shown they are not here just to make up the numbers, winning three of their last six matches and picking up a point in this division already. The contrast in momentum makes this a far more open fixture than the home advantage alone might suggest.
Two players stand out heading into this match. For Sassuolo, Cristian Volpato has been direct and productive in the middle of the park, contributing two goals and one assist across four recent appearances. On the Bologna side, Nicolo Cambiaghi has been one of the few attacking outlets with seven shots and ten free kicks attempted in his last three matches, making him the most likely source of any offensive spark for the hosts.
The hot stat from recent matches belongs to Sassuolo: they have scored seven goals across their last five fixtures while Bologna have managed just zero in the same span, a striking gap that speaks directly to the attacking confidence Aquilani’s side is carrying into this game.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Bologna vs Sassuolo Prediction
Bologna’s complete inability to score across their last five matches is the single biggest factor shaping this prediction. They have taken 35 shots in that period without a single goal, which points to a team that is both creating low-quality chances and converting nothing. Sassuolo arrive with 66 shots, seven goals, and genuine variety in their attack.
We predict Sassuolo to win or draw (double chance X2) as the best value play here. The bookmakers price Bologna as slight favourites at around 2.00, but their form is catastrophically poor. Sassuolo have beaten Frosinone 5-4 and Torino 2-1 in their most recent outings, showing they can score against Serie A opposition. The odds on Sassuolo outright, sitting around 3.80 to 3.93 across most books, reflect a market that still underestimates how badly Bologna are struggling.
In terms of playing style, Bologna commit more fouls per match than Sassuolo (42 vs 40 over five games) and have picked up four yellow cards, suggesting a side under pressure and resorting to defensive disruption. Their pass accuracy sits at 88.3% which looks decent on paper, but they have been shut out completely. Sassuolo’s 87.4% pass accuracy comes with far more end product. Their 18 corner kicks in five matches compared to Bologna’s 12 reflects a team that consistently pushes play into dangerous areas.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Sassuolo to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Bologna’s recent run is genuinely alarming. They lost to Atalanta 0-1, Lazio 0-1, and Brighton 0-1 in pre-season or early competitive fixtures before suffering a 1-4 defeat to Pisa, a result that stands out as a serious warning sign regardless of competition context. Their only bright moment in recent weeks was a 3-1 win over Cambuur, a side ranked outside the top 2000 in world club rankings. Tedesco’s side are yet to score in three consecutive matches against recognisable opposition. The squad has players capable of better, but the system is not generating chances of any real quality, and the confidence looks shot.
Sassuolo’s form tells a different story. They beat Frosinone 5-4 in a chaotic but productive display, followed that with a 2-1 win over Torino, and showed they can match stronger sides after losing 1-2 to Atalanta. Their 3-0 win over Cesena and a competitive 2-3 loss to FC Augsburg round out a five-match stretch that shows both attacking output and the ability to absorb setbacks. Aquilani has built a side that presses high, creates volume, and rotates the ball with purpose. Seven goals in five matches is a number that demands respect.
🚨Check out our dedicated Bologna vs Sassuolo stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Bologna the Favourite
- Moneyline Bologna 2.05 | Sassuolo 3.90
- Draw 3.44
The market places Bologna as favourites at around 2.00 to 2.10, which is hard to justify on current form. Home advantage is real in Serie A, but Bologna have not scored in their last three meaningful fixtures. Sassuolo at 3.78 to 4.20 across the board looks like genuine value. Pinnacle pricing Bologna at 2.05 and Sassuolo at 3.90 is the sharpest line available, and even that feels generous toward the hosts. The draw at 3.35 to 3.56 deserves consideration given how unpredictable Bologna’s performances have been, but backing Sassuolo to take something from this game offers the strongest return on risk.
Possible Starting Lineups
Bologna Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Łukasz Skorupski
- DF: Torbjørn Heggem, Eivind Helland, Juan Miranda, Emil Holm
- MF: Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Oussama El Azzouzi
- FW: Nicolo Cambiaghi, Artem Dovbyk, Jens Odgaard
Skorupski is the clear first choice between the sticks with three appearances from five tracked matches. Heggem, Helland, Miranda, and Holm form a back four that has featured consistently, while Ferguson anchors midfield with the most passing volume and interception activity in the squad. Cambiaghi is the most active forward by shot volume and free kick attempts, and Dovbyk offers a focal point up front. Tedesco is likely to stick with a 4-3-3 shape, though it has delivered nothing in front of goal recently. Federico Bernardeschi is worth watching as an option from wide areas if Tedesco looks to change things.
Sassuolo Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Arijanet Murić
- DF: Simone Cinquegrano, Cas Odenthal, Fedde Leysen, Josh Doig
- MF: Nemanja Matić, Darryl Bakola, Vasilije Adzic
- FW: Armand Lauriente, Kieron Bowie, Cristian Volpato
Murić has made 13 saves across four appearances and is the settled first choice in goal. Cinquegrano has played every minute across the five-match sample and contributes at both ends, picking up one assist and five shots. Odenthal has a goal to his name from defence. In midfield, Matić provides the defensive screen while Bakola and Adzic push forward, with Adzic registering a goal and an assist in this run. Lauriente and Bowie give width and directness in the front three. Aquilani’s 4-3-3 has looked fluid, and there is no obvious reason to change it here.
🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Bologna. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Bologna’s numbers over the last five matches are among the worst of any side in this Serie A round. Zero goals from 35 shots, four yellow cards, and four straight defeats paint a picture of a team that has lost its attacking identity entirely. Sassuolo are not a pushover. They have scored in four of their last five matches, created 66 shots, and shown the ability to beat top-half Serie A sides already this season.
We predict a Sassuolo win, with Over 2.5 goals as a secondary play given Sassuolo’s attacking output. The most value sits on Sassuolo outright at around 3.80 to 3.90. To be honest, the only reason this is not a more straightforward call is Bologna’s home record from last season, where they showed more resilience at Dall’Ara. But right now, the form gap is too wide to ignore. Expect Sassuolo to score first and Bologna to chase the game.
