Liam Duckstein
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Bologna sit 14th with just five points after six rounds, while Inter top the table unbeaten with sixteen points. On paper this looks one sided, but the recent history between these two clubs tells a different story. The last five meetings between Bologna and Inter produced eleven goals apiece, including a wild 4-3 Supercoppa semifinal win for the Rossoblu back in January. Palladino’s side has a habit of causing Inter problems even when the league table says otherwise.
Lautaro Martínez arrives in red hot form with four goals in his last three appearances and will be the man Bologna’s back three has to contain all evening. On the other side, Riccardo Orsolini remains Bologna’s most direct outlet, capable of a moment of quality against a defense that can occasionally switch off against lesser opposition.
Hot stat: Inter have racked up 65 total shots across their last five matches compared to a modest 20 from Bologna, a gap that says plenty about the attacking gulf between these two sides heading into round seven.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Bologna vs Inter prediction
We predict Inter to win this one, though perhaps not as comfortably as the bookmakers’ 59% implied probability suggests. Bologna have scored in four of their last five head to head meetings with Inter and have shown they can hurt this opponent on their own turf. Our value pick leans toward Inter winning while both sides find the net, given how open this fixture has historically been.
Bologna’s shape under Palladino, a 3-5-2, generates fewer shots and far less passing volume than Inter’s 3-4-2-1 setup, 637 passes to 1641 over the last five matches tells its own story about who controls the ball. Both teams have been disciplined defensively in terms of cards, with Bologna picking up just two yellows and Inter five across their last five outings, so expect a fast tempo rather than a stop start, cynical affair. Inter’s fouls per game sit roughly level with Bologna’s despite dominating possession, which hints at a side that presses aggressively rather than sitting back.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Inter to win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Bologna’s form has been patchy all season, one win, two draws and two losses across their last five matches. Their most recent outing saw them edge Lecce 2-1 away from home, a result that snapped a two match winless run and showed some attacking life from Orsolini and Enem. Before that, Bologna drew with Torino, lost to Napoli, drew with Sassuolo and lost to Atalanta, a run that highlights just how inconsistent this squad has been defensively. In our preview of Lecce vs Bologna we called a tight, low scoring draw built around Bologna’s double chance and under 2.5 goals, and the eventual 2-1 scoreline went against the under leg of that combo even though Bologna did avoid defeat.
Inter, by contrast, have won three of their last five, with their only blemish a surprising 3-4 home defeat to Club Brugge in the Champions League just days ago. That loss came after back to back comfortable wins over Parma and Lumezzane, and a draw against Roma before that, showing Chivu’s side can still be got at defensively when they switch off. In our preview of Inter vs Club Brugge we backed Inter to win and the game to go Over 2.5 goals, and while the goals certainly came, Inter’s 3-4 defeat means that call went against us.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Across the last five meetings between these two clubs, Bologna have scored eleven goals and Inter have scored eleven as well, a tally that includes a 4-3 Supercoppa thriller and two separate 3-3 and 2-2 draws in the league. Shot, corner and pass data for those specific fixtures is not available in our records, so we can only point to the goal column with confidence here.
🚨Check out our dedicated Bologna vs Inter stats page for more info.
Bologna. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Inter the favourite
- Moneyline Bologna 5.50 | Inter 1.62
- Draw 4.20
Bookmakers price Inter as overwhelming favourites, and the gap in league position, 16 points against 5, backs that up on paper. We think the market slightly undervalues Bologna’s recent habit of scoring against this exact opponent, which is why our own lean sits on goals at both ends rather than a straightforward Inter shutout.
Possible Starting Lineups
Bologna possible starting eleven
- GK: Łukasz Skorupski
- DF: Nicolo Casale, Martin Vitik, Torbjørn Heggem
- MF: Juan Miranda, Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Oussama El Azzouzi, Nadir Zortea
- FW: Riccardo Orsolini, Nicolo Cambiaghi
Palladino sticks with his trusted 3-5-2 here. Orsolini remains the player to watch given his set piece quality and willingness to shoot from distance, while Ferguson’s work rate in midfield will be tested heavily against Inter’s passing volume.
Inter possible starting eleven
- GK: Josep Martínez
- DF: Alessandro Bastoni, Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji
- MF: Federico Dimarco, Nicolò Barella, Piotr Zieliński, Benjamin Pavard
- FW: Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Petar Sučić, Lautaro Martínez
Chivu’s 3-4-2-1 puts Lautaro Martínez as the focal point up top, supported by Mkhitaryan and Sučić dropping into pockets of space. Dimarco’s delivery from the left remains one of Inter’s sharpest weapons, and Bastoni will need a clean game after the defensive lapses against Club Brugge.
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Inter. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Inter to win at the Dall’Ara, but we are not convinced it will be a clean sheet. Bologna’s record against this exact opponent shows they keep finding the net regardless of form, and Inter’s own defense has leaked goals in three of its last five matches. Our final call sits on Inter to win combined with both teams scoring and the total going over 2.5 goals. To be hones, Bologna’s home fight plus Inter’s recent habit of conceding makes a one sided scoreline unlikely here.
Read also: Bologna vs Inter Milan Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form as of 16 Oct 2026
