Bolivia (w) vs Paraguay (w) Prediction: 14.07.2025 Copa America Femenina

The opening fixtures in Copa America Femenina Group B always generate a degree of anticipation, not least when both teams seek a fresh start. Bolivia (w), eager to put their recent woes behind them, face a revitalised Paraguay (w) hoping to ignite their group-stage campaign with a statement win. While the statistics paint a stark contrast between the sides, there’s intrigue in noting that both are led from the touchline by Jeff Strasser, an unusual twist lending an extra tactical subplot. The Scandinavian setting of Brann Stadion in Bergen gives this South American duel a unique flavour as well.

Watching this matchup, the spotlight is likely to fall on Bolivia’s battling midfielder, who, despite tough results, offers rare bursts of energy, and Paraguay’s dynamic winger, a frequent spark along the right flank. Both are poised to influence the tempo, especially given their sides’ tendency to play a 4-3-3 formation expect the midfield battle and transition play to be pivotal.

Hot stat: Paraguay (w) kept a clean sheet in their most recent match against Ecuador (w), winning 2-0 a potentially vital defensive marker in a group where every goal could prove decisive.

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Bolivia (w) vs Paraguay (w) prediction

Given the contrasting form and confidence in both camps, the value here is robustly in favour of Paraguay (w). They arrive with a cleaner recent record and have managed an away win over a competitive Ecuador (w) side evidence of progress in both defence and attack. Bolivia (w), meanwhile, have been in freefall with heavy defeats against opponents of varying calibre. The gap in quality, defensive organisation, and conversion rate is difficult to ignore. My best bet: back Paraguay (w) on the Asian Handicap (–2.5) or better, given their attacking edge and Bolivia’s ongoing struggles at both ends.

Both teams’ recent foul and card tallies are negligible based on available stats, which suggests a relatively open contest, particularly if Paraguay assert early dominance. Ball possession and composure are likelier to favour Paraguay’s midfield, while Bolivia’s challenge remains: regaining structure and discipline. Expect Paraguay to exploit wide areas and set pieces if Bolivia’s defensive frailties persist.

Team Analysis

Bolivia (w): Recent results make for tough reading if you’re in the Bolivian camp. Their last outing was a 0-5 reverse at the hands of Chile (w), extending a sequence of losses that’s seen them conceding heavily and creating precious little up front. Confidence is at a premium, and the side’s lack of cutting edge in front of goal, allied to defensive vulnerability, has been ruthlessly exposed by sharper opponents. With a 0% win rate this year and worrying signs in terms of cohesion, the challenge for captain and coach alike is to tighten up and rediscover even a semblance of attacking intent.

Paraguay (w): By contrast, Paraguay’s recent performances show green shoots of resurgence. Their 2-0 win over Ecuador was hard-earned not only a show of clinical finishing but also of defensive maturity. Although earlier results were patchy, including a 0-0 stalemate and a narrow defeat to Uruguay, Paraguay have steadied somewhat, with an emerging backbone in midfield and a growing sense of discipline at the back. Their attacking transitions are brisk, and their right winger, in particular, has looked dangerous when given space to operate.

🚨Read our full Bolivia (w) vs Paraguay (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Paraguay (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Bolivia (w) 46.00 | Paraguay (w) 1.02
• Draw 15.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.10 | Under 2.5 7.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.45 | No 1.50

These odds tell the tale: bookmakers expect a one-sided affair, with Paraguay (w) almost prohibitively favoured. Bolivia (w) are massive outsiders, their recent record and heavy defeats making an upset seem implausible. The over 2.5 goals line is priced short, underlining belief in Paraguay’s attacking potential and Bolivia’s defensive frailties. A clean sheet for Paraguay also appears probable, though you sense any breakthrough for Bolivia (w) would be seen as a big achievement in itself.

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The Verdict

From what we’ve seen so far, Paraguay (w) emerge as clear favourites both in form and depth. My main pick is Paraguay (w) to cover a big Asian Handicap (–2.5) and to win comfortably. Their recent shutout of Ecuador (w) suggests defensive discipline has improved, while frequent forays down the wings will likely trouble Bolivia (w) all evening. Bolivia must rediscover some steel to avoid a repeat of their Chile (w) drubbing, but based on both tactical trends and raw data, it’s hard to see past a comfortable Paraguayan victory. This match could set the tone for Group B, with Paraguay (w) positioning themselves as genuine group contenders on this evidence.

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