The iconic Estadio Hernando Siles in La Paz sets the stage for a captivating Bolivian Professional Football League Apertura showdown on 22 June 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 22:00 CEST. Both Bolivar, guided by Flavio Robatto, and The Strongest, under Carlos Bustos, remain central figures as the title race intensifies. Sitting side-by-side in the standings, this encounter not only represents a classic La Paz derby but also a pivotal contest with ramifications for the championship trajectory.
Two players certain to command the spotlight are Bolivar’s dynamic midfielder Carlos Melgar, whose incisive runs and recent burst of goals have often turned tight matches in his team’s favor, and The Strongest’s creative force Joel Amoroso, a maestro in midfield distribution and a consistent creator of their attacking threats.
Among the standout statistics from recent encounters, Bolivar’s 80 total shots in their last five matches exemplify a high-octane attacking approach.
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Bolivar vs The Strongest predictions
My best bet: Both Teams To Score (Yes). Judging by both sides’ attacking styles and league-leading firepower Bolivar netting 27 goals in 10 league games, The Strongest 29 the expectation is of a fiercely open contest. Historically, derbies in La Paz rarely end with clean sheets, and the offensive form shown by both, especially Bolivar’s shooting volume and The Strongest’s proficiency on the break, strongly supports this prediction.
Bolivar’s 4-4-2 relies on sustained width and high pressing, which is visible in their relatively high count of both total fouls (32 in last 5) and yellow cards (19). They play aggressively, leveraging crowd energy but sometimes risk allowing gaps on the counter. In contrast, The Strongest have maintained composure with just 16 fouls and 10 yellows in the same span, often absorbing pressure before launching calculated counterattacks through Amoroso and Triverio. Ball possession is generally balanced, but transitions are rapid, with both sides capitalizing on turnovers. Discipline and set-pieces could ultimately make the difference.
- ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5
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Bolivar vs The Strongest Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Bolivar | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 80 | 44 |
| Free kicks | 27 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 27 | 13 |
| Total fouls | 32 | 16 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 88 | 79 |
| Interceptions | 18 | 12 |
| Offsides | 1 | 3 |
The head-to-head figures from recent outings paint a familiar picture a clash of styles where Bolivar dominate possession and shot creation, while The Strongest excel in efficiency and discipline. Their inability to keep each other scoreless, coupled with an abundance of set-pieces, signals another derby filled with attacking drama and potentially decisive moments from dead-ball situations.
🚨Read our full Bolivar vs The Strongest stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Bolivar average 16 shots per game in their last five matches double that of The Strongest.
- The Strongest have recorded fewer fouls and cards, highlighting enhanced discipline under Bustos.
- Across their last five games, both sides have combined for 14 goals, supporting a high-scoring trend.
- The Strongest have not lost a match in their last five away games.
- Over 9 corners have been awarded in four of the last five competitive fixtures between these clubs.
Bolivar vs The Strongest score prediction: 2-2
Given the attacking depth on both sides Melgar in midfield for Bolivar and Triverio likely leading The Strongest’s forward line a balanced 2-2 draw feels the probable outcome. Bolivar’s offensive shot output should translate into goals, but lapses in defensive concentration have been costly. The Strongest, adept at punishing even brief disorganization, should find the net multiple times, particularly through transitions and set-plays.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bolivar the favourite
| Moneyline | Bolivar 2.00 | The Strongest 2.91 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.88 |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1.70 | Under 2.5 2.10 |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.65 | No 2.20 |
Bookmakers position Bolivar as narrow favourites, reflecting both home advantage and a slightly better league standing. The odds on Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score underline the widespread expectation of an open, attacking game. Draw value remains strong, mirroring the historical equilibrium between these rivals.
Bolivar vs The Strongest Over/Under Analysis
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Bolivar’s last 5 matches.
- The Strongest’s last 3 away matches have produced at least 3 goals each.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of their previous 7 head-to-head games.
- Suggested tip: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Bolivar Preview
Bolivar approach this home fixture after a spirited 2-2 draw with league leaders Always Ready, displaying resilience against a potent attack and notable productivity in the attacking third. Prior results a heavy 1-3 setback to GV San Jose and a resounding 4-0 win over Cerro Porteno underscore both their offensive potency and intermittent defensive vulnerability. The side relies heavily on Carlos Melgar’s drive from midfield and Fábio’s opportunism up front. However, the recent concession of eight goals in five matches is cause for concern as they face a side renowned for clinical finishing.
Bolivar possible starting eleven

- GK: Rubén Cordano Justiniano
- DF: Yomar Rocha, José Sagredo, Miguel Torren, Luiz Fernando Paz Vargas
- MF: Leonel Justiniano, Carlos Melgar, Jhon Velasquez, Bruno Sávio
- FW: Fábio, Patito Rodríguez
The Strongest Preview
Fresh off a 2-1 away victory over Real Oruro, The Strongest continued their unbeaten run with a blend of disciplined defense and timely attacking surges. A preceding 3-2 win over Academia del Balompie and a 1-1 draw with Real Oruro highlight their adaptability, with Amoroso and Triverio consistently integral in transition play. Defensively, the side boasts improved balance just six goals conceded in their last five but must be wary of Bolivar’s rapid flank incursions and high pressing. Their more measured foul count suggests a tactical emphasis on containment and swift counter-attacks.
The Strongest possible starting eleven

- GK: Luis Banegas
- DF: Adrian Jusino, Pablo Pedraza, Martin Chiatti, Fran Supayabe Alpiri
- MF: Joel Amoroso, Jeyson Chura, Jaime Arrascaita, Dilan Saavedra
- FW: Enrique Triverio, John García

The Strongest. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
As a TipsGG team expert, the most prudent prediction for this intense derby is a high-scoring draw. Bolivar enjoys a 47 percent win probability, supported by our dedicated AI prediction engine, though The Strongest’s counterattacking prowess and defensive improvement make them difficult to beat. Expect tactical maneuvering and moments of brilliance, but neither side may hold a sustained advantage over the 90 minutes.
How to watch Bolivar vs The Strongest
- When? 22 June 2025
- Kick-off time: 22:00 CEST
- Where? Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
- How to watch: Provider details TBA or local sports broadcasters
- Favorite: Bolivar
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