Liam Duckstein
Bodo Glimt welcome HamKam to Aspmyra Stadion in what looks like a highly one-sided Eliteserien fixture on paper. The hosts sit fourth in the table but carry a 100% win rate across their last four matches, and their goal difference of +15 from just ten league games tells you exactly how clinical they have been this season. HamKam, placed sixth, have been inconsistent, taking only one win from their last four outings. One thing to watch: HamKam’s top scorer Mame Alassane Niang has netted both of the visitors’ goals across their last two games and will be the main threat Bodo Glimt’s backline needs to manage.
For the hosts, Ole Didrik Blomberg has been one of the sharper attackers in recent weeks, contributing a goal and registering two offsides in 173 minutes, which reflects how high up the pitch Bodo Glimt push. His combination with Sondre Auklend, who leads the team in free kick attempts with seven across the last five matches, gives Bodo Glimt a creative edge that HamKam will struggle to contain.
Hot stat: Bodo Glimt have scored 15 goals across their last five matches, averaging three per game, while conceding just twice in that run.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Eliteserien 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Aspmyra Stadion |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Bodo Glimt vs HamKam Prediction
Bodo Glimt are the obvious choice here, and the numbers back that up completely. They have won all four matches in the last 30 days, carry an 84% win rate for the year, and their recent opponents include Molde and Tromso, teams sitting well above HamKam in quality. A home win at odds around 1.10 to 1.12 reflects that dominance, and while the value is modest, the margin of victory is where the real interest lies.
We predict Bodo Glimt to win with a comfortable scoreline. The over 2.5 goals market looks very appealing given that the hosts have scored four goals in two of their last five games, and HamKam’s defensive record of conceding 20 goals in 11 league matches is poor. Both teams to score is a toss-up, Niang can find the net against anyone, but Bodo Glimt’s defense has been tight enough to keep HamKam at bay.
Bodo Glimt average 36 total shots per five games compared to HamKam’s 20, and their pass accuracy is noticeably higher: 1,071 out of 1,235 passes completed versus HamKam’s 710 from 856. That level of control usually translates into sustained pressure and corner opportunities. Bodo Glimt have racked up 16 corners across five recent matches while HamKam managed only 8. The hosts’ disciplined approach is also reflected in their low foul count of 16, compared to HamKam’s 28, which means referee interruptions are unlikely to disrupt Bodo Glimt’s rhythm.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Bodo Glimt to win by 2+ goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Bodo Glimt have been in relentless form. They beat Fredrikstad 1-0, dispatched KFUM Oslo 2-0, swept past Kristiansand 4-0, and dismantled Molde 4-1, all before this fixture. Their only blemish in the last fifteen matches is a single defeat, and that result looks more like an anomaly than a trend. Coach Kjetil Knutsen has his side playing with real structure, pressing high, recycling possession efficiently, and converting chances at a strong rate.
HamKam’s recent run has been far less convincing. They were beaten 4-1 by Tromso in their last outing, drew 2-2 with Sandefjord before that, and picked up a narrow win against Goteborg in between. Their last five matches include two draws, one win, one loss and another draw, pointing to a side that lacks consistency. Thomas Myhre’s 5-3-2 shape gives them defensive cover on paper, but the Tromso result showed that when pressed by a quality side, the structure breaks down quickly.
🚨Check out our dedicated Bodo Glimt vs HamKam stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Bodo Glimt the Favourite
- Moneyline Bodo Glimt 1.10–1.12 | HamKam 15.00–21.00
- Draw 8.40–11.54
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The moneyline on Bodo Glimt is tight, but the head-to-head record, current form, and home advantage all justify the short price. The draw at 8.40 to 11.54 is not worth pursuing given how dominant the hosts have been. HamKam’s odds in the 15.00 to 21.00 range reflect their genuine outsider status here. Bookmakers give Bodo Glimt an 85% implied probability of winning, and to be honest, that feels about right based on everything we have seen from both sides this season.
Possible Starting Lineups
Bodo Glimt Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Nikita Haikin
- DF: Fredrik Sjovold, Odin Luras Bjortuft, Jostein Gundersen, Haitam Aleesami
- MF: Sondre Auklend, Hakon Evjen, Sondre Fet, Joshua Kitolano
- FW: Ole Didrik Blomberg, Isak Dybvik Maatta
Nikita Haikin starts in goal after appearing in two of the last five matches with two saves recorded. The back four picks itself based on consistent playing time, with Sjovold and Bjortuft forming a reliable central partnership and Aleesami providing width from left back. Auklend drives the midfield with seven free kick attempts and one assist across recent games, while Evjen and Fet add energy and a goal between them. Blomberg and Maatta lead the line in a 4-4-2 shape, the formation Bodo Glimt have used in each of their last five matches. Blomberg’s movement and Maatta’s physicality give the attack two distinct dimensions.
HamKam Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Marcus Sandberg
- DF: Ethan Amundsen-Day, Martin Gjone, Luc Mares, Anton Ekeroth, Halvor Rodolen Opsahl
- MF: Aksel Baran Potur, Anders Trondsen, Vidar Ari Jonsson
- FW: Mame Alassane Niang, Henrik Udahl
Marcus Sandberg takes the gloves, having made four saves across his two recent appearances. HamKam line up in their preferred 5-3-2, with Amundsen-Day and Ekeroth providing width from the wing-back positions. Gjone, Mares, and Opsahl form the central defensive line. In midfield, Potur is the most active contributor with one goal and ten free kick attempts across five matches, while Trondsen and Jonsson offer cover and recycling. Niang leads the attack and is the clear danger man, having scored twice in his last two games. Udahl supports from the second striker role.
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HamKam. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Bodo Glimt are the clear pick here. Their form over the last 30 days is perfect, their head-to-head record against HamKam reads three wins from three with nine goals scored and one conceded, and they carry the home advantage at a ground where they have been near-unbeatable this season. HamKam arrive off a 4-1 loss to Tromso, carry the worst defensive numbers among the top six, and have shown little ability to handle sides that press with pace and volume.
We predict Bodo Glimt to win 3-0 or 3-1, with the over 2.5 goals line and a Bodo Glimt clean sheet as the two most attractive markets. Niang’s finishing ability means HamKam could sneak a goal, but the volume of chances Bodo Glimt will create in a home fixture like this makes a dominant win the most likely outcome.
