Blooming vs Guabira Prediction: 22.07.2025 Bolivian Professional Football League

As the Apertura phase heats up in the Bolivian Professional Football League, Blooming face Guabira at the storied Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera in Santa Cruz de la Sierra. Blooming, in pole position for a top-three finish, look to extend their impressive unbeaten run. Meanwhile, Guabira aim to claw their way up from the lower mid-table and prove they can match the division’s more consistent sides. It’s a clash that promises tactical intrigue, and perhaps a few surprises from both technical areas—especially with both managers opting for the classic 4-4-2 in their recent outings.

Key figures to watch include Blooming’s creative midfielder Martín Alaníz, whose six assists in his past four matches have acted as the lynchpin for Blooming’s attacking spells, and Guabira’s Milciades Portillo, a defensive mainstay known for his robust passing and keen interceptions. The midfield battle promises to set the rhythm, but this one could well turn on a single moment of brilliance or a lapse in concentration at the back.

Hot stat: In their last five matches, Blooming have racked up 35 corners—showcasing their aggressive approach and persistent attacking threat from wide areas. Few sides in the league get forward with their full-backs as energetically as Blooming.

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Blooming vs Guabira prediction

Considering recent form and tactical patterns, Blooming are deserved favourites here. Their current 80% win rate over the last five matches—paired with a striking goal tally—contrasts starkly with Guabira’s stumbling 17% win rate in the same period. Statistically and psychologically, Blooming possess the edge, particularly at home.

We can expect a high-tempo affair given both outfits favour a 4-4-2 with overlapping full-backs and pacy wide men. Blooming average six corners per match, indicative of their aggressive wing play and ability to pin opponents back. However, their relatively high foul count (30 in five matches) shows they’re not afraid to disrupt rhythm—potentially opening the door to cards and dangerous dead-ball situations. Guabira, meanwhile, are less prolific in attack but more disciplined—just ten yellow cards to Blooming’s fifteen over the last five. Expect the midfield battle and set pieces to play outsized roles.

Team Analysis

Blooming: Their last five games have underlined their attacking verve, netting 11 goals while conceding just five. In their most recent outing, a confident 2-1 win over Wilstermann, Blooming set the tone early and maintained control. Creative force Martín Alaníz dictated play, and wing play—supported by full-backs like Denilson Durán—produced a storm of corners. With just one defeat in their last eight and a balanced 4-4-2, Mauricio Soria’s men look settled, well-drilled, and full of confidence.

Guabira: Results lately have shown inconsistency—just one win in their last six, but highlighted by a remarkable 5-0 thrashing of Always Ready. Their latest effort, a 1-2 home loss to Oriente Petrolero, exposed defensive lapses and an inability to finish key chances. Still, the likes of Milciades Portillo in defence have shown resilience, and Guabira can trouble anyone on their day—especially via counters and set-pieces.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Blooming vs Guabira stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Blooming the favourite

• Moneyline Blooming 1.73 | Guabira 4.10
• Draw 3.80
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.65 | No 2.20

With bookmakers giving Blooming a hefty 53% win probability and odds hovering around 1.70 for the home side, the market clearly favours Mauricio Soria’s men. Guabira’s low odds reflect both recently shaky form and defensive vulnerabilities. Over 2.5 goals being close to even money signals expectations of an open, attacking affair—which aligns well with Blooming’s recent patterns. Both teams to score is also fancied, suggesting Guabira’s knack for nicking goals on the break might come into play. If you’re savvy, Blooming -1 on the Asian handicap or Over 2.5 goals are compelling, data-driven picks here.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Blooming possible starting eleven

Expect Blooming to stick with their tried-and-true 4-4-2, offering width with Durán and Enoumba bombing on from full-back. Alaníz is the team’s creative heartbeat, while Vadalá and Menacho offer movement and finishing edge up top. With a settled backline and an engine-room that provides both steel and flair, this XI should offer both defensive stability and attacking verve.

Guabira possible starting eleven

Guabira are set to mirror Blooming’s 4-4-2. Portillo is a crucial lynchpin at the back, with Montero adding experience. The midfield, anchored by Peredo and Mercado, will need to be disciplined to stifle Blooming’s advances. Upfront, Pascua and Mina will be tasked with converting rare chances—likely on the counter. Watch for quick transitions, but Guabira’s challenge lies in maintaining shape under pressure.

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My take on the Match

Given the data, form, and psychological edge, I’m predicting a Blooming victory—a 3-1 scoreline wouldn’t surprise. The home side simply bring too much attacking impetus, especially with Alaníz supplying ammunition and Vadalá capable of finding space between defenders. Guabira, however, aren’t to be discounted entirely: a goal is certainly within their grasp, especially via set pieces, but their defensive frailties should ultimately decide the encounter in Blooming’s favour. This is where seasons are defined, and Blooming look ready to take another step toward the top.

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