Blackburn vs Wrexham Prediction: 01.01.2026 EFL Championship

Blackburn and Wrexham face off at Ewood Park in a pivotal EFL Championship regular season clash on January 1, 2026. Both sides are aiming to start the new year on a strong note, with Wrexham seeking to solidify their impressive mid-table position and Blackburn eager to climb away from the lower reaches. While the teams recently played out a 1-1 draw earlier in the season, this encounter promises heightened intensity as both clubs strive for momentum in a highly competitive Championship landscape. An intriguing angle is Wrexham’s notable away record and Blackburn’s desire to turn more draws into wins. Key creative figures like Yuki Ohashi for Blackburn and Kieffer Moore for Wrexham could well shape the contest, with both having found the net regularly of late.

Hot stat: Wrexham have scored 9 goals in their last 5 games, significantly outpacing Blackburn’s tally of 5, showing the Welsh club’s attacking efficiency remains a real threat.

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Blackburn vs Wrexham prediction

The best value prediction for this match edges towards a tightly-contested affair, with the “Both Teams To Score – Yes” market holding the strongest appeal. Both Blackburn and Wrexham have shown vulnerabilities at the back Blackburn conceding 26 in 22 and Wrexham 30 in 23 while each team fields in-form attackers: Ohashi for Blackburn, Moore and Windass for Wrexham. The stats underline potent threats on both sides, aided by team shapes that prioritize forward movement over defensive rigidity, especially Wrexham’s 4-2-3-1.

Blackburn will aim to leverage home advantage and their disciplined midfield, whereas Wrexham’s attacking flexibility is reflected in their higher goals tally and lower number of yellow cards (suggesting slightly less disruptive play). Blackburn’s games have been characterized by high number of fouls (53 in their last 5), which can disrupt rhythm and generate set-piece chances for the opposition. In contrast, Wrexham combine sharp collective pressing with fast attacking transitions, as underlined by their 2036 passes and 25 corners won recently. Both sides have only 1 red card between them in the last 5 games, so expect a competitive but not overly volatile contest that should see plenty of attacking phases for each.

Team Analysis

Blackburn’s recent form has been steady yet unspectacular, with just one win in their last seven matches (winless in five of those). Their previous game a hard-fought 0-0 draw with Middlesbrough demonstrated renewed defensive resilience but also ongoing difficulties converting possession into meaningful goal-scoring opportunities. Prior to that, victories have been sparse, and a run of draws suggests a side struggling for killer instinct in front of goal. Positively, defensive structure and discipline have improved, and players like Yuki Ohashi and Todd Cantwell continue to generate attacking moments.

Wrexham, meanwhile, continue to impress with their attacking intent. Most recently, they produced a 5-3 thriller to defeat Sheffield United an emphatic result anchored by clinical finishing and intelligent movement from Moore and Windass. This attack-minded performance was preceded by a tough 1-2 home loss to Swansea, but overall, Wrexham have displayed strong offensive output (9 goals in their last 5 matches), and their games rarely lack excitement. Their blend of youth and experience, supported by the tactical guidance of Phil Parkinson, is producing a refreshing brand of football in the Championship.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Blackburn vs Wrexham stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Blackburn the favourite

• Moneyline Blackburn 2.08-2.05 | Wrexham 3.45-3.55
• Draw 3.30-3.40
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.98 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.75 | No 2.05

Bookmakers see Blackburn as narrow favourites, reflecting their home advantage and historical standing. However, the close odds also suggest recognition of Wrexham’s away opportunism and attacking form. Draws are well-priced, indicating expectations of a tightly contested clash, while goal markets show value for the “over” due to both sides’ penchant for open football. “Both Teams To Score” at 1.75 stands out given recent records and team profiles.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Blackburn possible starting eleven

This selection mirrors Blackburn’s most consistent shape, a 3-4-1-2, leveraging Pears’ shot-stopping behind a backline of Miller, McLoughlin, and Pickering (solid in recent displays). The midfield offers technical quality with Morishita and Cantwell, while Baradji and Tavares provide steel. Up top, Ohashi and Guðjohnsen have linked well Ohashi’s finishing and movement will be essential.

Wrexham possible starting eleven

Wrexham’s likely 4-2-3-1 blends physicality at centre-back (Cleworth, Doyle, Scarr, Hyam) with an industrious midfield. Dobson, James, and Thomason screen and progress play, while McClean and Barnett provide width. Moore spearheads the attack, supported by emerging talents. Watch for McClean’s set-piece delivery and Moore’s aerial threat.

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The Verdict

Expect a close and entertaining affair at Ewood Park. Wrexham’s current attacking sharpness, led by Moore and supported by Windass, could trouble Blackburn’s improving but occasionally shaky defence. Blackburn generate chances but sometimes fail to capitalize. I predict a 2-2 draw, with momentum swings and both keepers kept busy. The “Both Teams To Score – Yes” and “Over 2.5” goal markets are strongly backed by statistical trends and team styles. This fixture should provide fireworks for fans and punters alike.

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