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Blackburn vs QPR Prediction: 26.11.2025 EFL Championship Preview

25.11.2025, 13:16

As the EFL Championship’s relentless sprint continues, Blackburn Rovers welcome Queens Park Rangers to Ewood Park in a clash that could reshape ambitions for both camps. While both teams hover around the mid-table mark, the underlying numbers tell a tale of contrasting momentum. Blackburn’s recent surge under Valérien Ismaël sets an intriguing stage, especially after that hard-fought 2-1 victory over Preston. Meanwhile, QPR, managed by Julien Stéphan, are eager to shrug off inconsistency and find the breakthrough that has eluded them recently. Could this be the night one of these sides turns their campaign around with a signature victory?

Keep your eyes on two players likely to impact proceedings: Andri Guðjohnsen for Blackburn, who’s netted three times across the last five matches, and Rumarn Burrell for QPR, mimicking Guðjohnsen’s contributions with clinical finishing and relentless running up front. Their sharpness in front of goal could tip the balance in what promises to be a tightly-contested affair.

Notably, QPR have registered a league-high 71 total shots in their last five fixtures—suggesting an aggressive attacking intent, even if conversion rates haven’t quite matched the volume.

14:45Finished26.11.2025
0BlackburnEngland
1QPREngland
🏆 Tournament: EFL Championship 2025/26 Regular Season
🏟 Venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn
🗓️ Date: 26.11.2025
⏰ Time: 21:45 CEST

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Blackburn vs QPR prediction

The bookmakers have Blackburn pencilled in as favourites, and recent evidence supports this perspective. Rovers have won four of their last five, while QPR have stumbled, notching just one win and shipping far too many goals. The home side’s 80% win rate in the last month, coupled with a settled 4-2-3-1 formation, gives them the platform to seize initiative, especially with Guðjohnsen’s form. QPR show a clear attacking ambition (71 shots in their latest five), but their conversion and defensive openness remain key vulnerabilities.

Expect Blackburn to assert themselves with measured possession (1,562 passes and 73% accuracy over recent matches), while QPR’s higher foul count (43 in five, compared to Blackburn’s 31) hints at the physical, even scrappy, approach they’ll need to unsettle the hosts. If discipline wavers, with those extra yellow cards (QPR seven to Blackburn’s five), expect set pieces and quick transitions to turn the tide.

🔥Hot Tip: Blackburn Draw No Bet
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Blackburn enter this encounter on the back of an impressive late push, most recently seeing off Preston 2-1 in a notably resilient performance. The Rovers’ chemistry, particularly in combining through midfield, was on full display, registering 45 shots and scoring six across their past five. The defense, still a work in progress, conceded just four in those matches, crucially limiting clear-cut chances for the likes of Derby and Bristol City as well.

15:00Finished21.11.2025
1PrestonEngland
2BlackburnEngland

QPR, on the other hand, have shown glimpses of offensive promise with their 3-2 comeback win over Hull, but otherwise, inconsistency mars their campaign. The Hull tie may become a template—high on entertainment and end-to-end exchanges—but also fraught with defensive frailties. A goalless affair against Sheffield United and a heavy 1-4 loss to Ipswich underscore the volatility of Julien Stéphan’s approach. Their 71 shots without a surge in goals reflect a need for greater composure in front of net, though their attacking verve keeps them in every contest.

10:00Finished22.11.2025
3QPREngland
2HullEngland

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Blackburn QPR
Goals 3 2
Total shots 21 17
Free kicks 24 19
Corner kicks 15 8
Total fouls 28 30
Pass accuracy (%) 76 70
Interceptions 17 14
Offsides 5 3

🚨Read our full Blackburn vs QPR stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Blackburn the favourite

  • Moneyline Blackburn 2.20 | QPR 3.20
  • Draw 3.35
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.90
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.80 | No 2.00

Blackburn are marginally favoured, and with home advantage, recent form, and more clinical finishing, the bookmakers’ odds look justified. QPR have the potential to nick a result if their attack finally clicks, but the odds imply a contest that could swing based on moments of discipline—or the lack thereof. The generous price on over 2.5 goals and BTTS underlines expectations for attacking intent from both camps.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Blackburn possible starting eleven

  • GK: Aynsley Pears
  • DF: Ryan Alebiosu, Sean McLoughlin, Lewis Miller, Scott Wharton
  • MF: Sondre Tronstad, Adam Forshaw, Axel Henriksson, Ryoya Morishita
  • FW: Andri Guðjohnsen, Yuki Ohashi

The Rovers are likely to stick with their favoured 4-2-3-1, a formation offering width and defensive solidity. Pears remains Ismaël’s trusted stopper, while Alebiosu’s assists and Guðjohnsen’s goalscoring flair will be critical. Morishita is the creative spark expected to link the midfield and attack, and with Miller’s work-rate at fullback, expect plenty of overlapping runs down the flank. Guðjohnsen, in particular, is one to watch as he’s hit a purple patch, and his ability to press from the front may decide the match’s rhythm.


QPR possible starting eleven

  • GK: Ben Hamer
  • DF: Steve Cook, James Dunne, Amadou Salif Mbengue, Liam Morrison
  • MF: Nicolas Madsen, Jonathan Varane, Ilias Chair, Karamoko Dembélé
  • FW: Rumarn Burrell, Paul Smyth

QPR have typically mirrored Blackburn’s 4-2-3-1, balancing defensive numbers and attacking thrust. Defensive stability will rest on Cook and Dunne, both veterans in the backline, while Madsen and Varane screen the defence. Chair, the main creative fulcrum, and Burrell, the leading marksman, headline the attack. Dembélé adds unpredictable dribbling and link play. Watch for QPR to transition with pace, as Burrell’s movement and Chair’s vision could exploit Blackburn’s high defensive line if given space.

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QPR. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo

QPR. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo

My take on the Match

For all QPR’s attacking efforts, Blackburn’s home record and ascending form put them in pole position for this encounter. If Rovers can continue linking up as they have, especially through Guðjohnsen and Morishita, a home win beckons—but expect the Hoops to make them earn it. Both teams to score feels a solid shout given their respective openness at the back and the number of efforts they create. My main pick: Blackburn to win or draw, with over 2.5 goals and both sides finding the net. This fixture should deliver drama, energy, and, quite possibly, a defining moment in both squads’ seasons.

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