Rafael Nogueira
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Matchday 3 of the Nations League brings six fixtures worth a closer look, and there is a pick on every single one of them. Group positions start to harden at this stage: some sides have maximum points to protect, others are chasing a first win after a stuttering start, and one of Friday’s ties pits an unbeaten side under a brand-new coach against opponents who have just rediscovered some confidence. TipsGG publishes free football predictions with pre-match odds for the Nations League and the other competitions it covers. The six selections range from 1.63 up to 1.86, so anyone building a multiple can run the figures through our odds converter first. Oleksii Svyrydov, TipsGG Sports & Esports Expert, supplies two of them, while Sports Data Managers Oleksandr Vaskov and Oleksandr Halian contribute two each, covering handicaps, goal lines and double chance combinations. The football betting tips follow, match by match.
| Match | Market | Odds | Analyst |
| Germany vs Serbia | Germany to win with handicap (-1.5) | 1.67 | Oleksii Svyrydov |
| Denmark vs Portugal | Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | Oleksandr Halian |
| Greece vs Netherlands | Netherlands to win by 1 goal or draw | 1.85 | Oleksandr Vaskov |
| Hungary vs Georgia | Hungary not to lose (1X) & Under 3.5 goals | 1.73 | Oleksii Svyrydov |
| France vs Italy | France team total Over 2 | 1.63 | Oleksandr Vaskov |
| Ukraine vs Northern Ireland | Ukraine not to lose (1X) & Under 2.5 goals | 1.86 | Oleksandr Halian |
Germany vs Serbia Prediction
Germany under Jürgen Klopp are enduring a difficult start to the Nations League: after a 1:1 draw with the Netherlands, the Bundesteam sensationally lost 0:1 to Greece at the WWK Arena in Augsburg, ending their home winning run. The Germans enjoyed enormous territorial superiority — 76% possession and 16 shots (five on target) against eight for their opponents — yet failed to convert their chances thanks to wastefulness from Kimmich, Adeyemi and Gnabry, plus a confident display from visiting goalkeeper Tzolakis. The decisive moment was Greece’s only goalscoring attack, when a ricochet off Kimmich sent the ball on a treacherous path that disoriented home keeper Alexander Nübel. There is plenty of criticism around Klopp, who has returned to coaching after a long break. That said, over his long career Jürgen has hardly needed to prove to anyone that he is a specialist of the highest class, and the German national team simply needs time and patience right now.
Serbia are also in crisis, having suffered two consecutive defeats by the same 1:2 scoreline. What worries supporters most is that both games took place on home soil in Belgrade. In the last round the Serbs lost to the Netherlands: despite a goal from Luka Jović, Veljko Paunović‘s side allowed their opponents to dominate the ball completely (67% possession) and, as a result, conceded 25 shots at their own goal. The Serbian defence makes systemic errors under intense pressure, and the goalkeeper is regularly left under fire.
The table situation obliges both teams to play purely for the win. Despite the shaky start, I consider Germany the undisputed favourite of the pair. The Germans must not repeat the mistakes they made against Greece, and Serbia’s frankly weak defence will play into the Bundesteam’s hands. I think this match will show us the German machine everyone knows so well, and the game will end in a comfortable home win.
Prediction: Germany to win with handicap (-1.5) — odds 1.67
Denmark vs Portugal Betting Tips
The Parken in Copenhagen hosts a matchday 3 Nations League fixture in which the Danes will try to improve the group situation they find themselves in after two rounds, against the reigning winners of the tournament, Portugal.
The Danish Dynamite under Brian Riemer traditionally show solid form on home soil — in 21 official home games the team has lost only twice, narrowly going down to Spain (1:2) and Croatia (0:1) back in 2022. Lately, however, the red-and-whites have lacked stability in defensive actions: the opening defeat to Norway (2:3) clearly highlighted the problems around their own goal, where opponents find openings far too easily.
Portugal are entering a new era under Jorge Jesus, who is betting on mobility, high intensity and quick transitions. The Seleção have started the new edition confidently with wins over Wales (1:0) and Norway (2:1). An impressive selection of attackers in João Félix, Rafael Leão and Gonçalo Ramos allows the visitors to play with real bite and variety. At the same time, the Iberians’ defence concedes plenty of chances around its own goal when placed under pressure.
At home the Danes will certainly play more aggressively, trying to exploit the visitors’ imperfect defensive interaction. At the same time, Portugal under Jesus impress precisely in attacking play, and they will definitely find their chances against an unstable home defence. I am convinced a spectacular game awaits us in Copenhagen.
Prediction: Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals — 1.83
Greece vs Netherlands Odds & Pick
The Greeks, to the surprise of many, have taken two away wins at the start of the tournament in matches that unfolded very differently — against Serbia they had to turn the game around, while against Germany it was enough to defend strictly and take their one chance. Ivan Jovanović is settling on a stable line-up, but there is considerable depth in a few positions in central midfield and attack, so changes are possible. Historically Greece play dreadfully against the Netherlands — just one win in eleven matches.
The Netherlands are gradually getting used to Xavi‘s demands. The team played better than Germany in their drawn home match and beat Serbia comfortably. The Dutch have plenty of absentees, though, with Cody Gakpo the latest to drop out. The attack of the Oranje has become younger, but Ruben van Bommel and Mex Meerdink showed a high level in the previous fixtures.
The Dutch have scored in 18 consecutive official matches. The Oranje are capable of taking the win, even if only a narrow one.
Prediction: Netherlands to win by 1 goal or draw — odds 1.85
Hungary vs Georgia Preview
The Hungarians have been disappointing at the start of the tournament. A defeat by Ukraine and a drab goalless draw with Northern Ireland exposed the team’s main problem — a complete lack of teeth in attack. In their most recent trip to Northern Ireland the Hungarians held the ball for two thirds of the game yet managed only one feeble shot on target and never created a genuinely dangerous moment. The situation is complicated further by the injury to Bendegúz Bolla, who is unlikely to be able to help the team in this home match.
Things are no better in Georgia: after the departure of Willy Sagnol, the team is still searching for its pattern of play. The squad is the strongest available, drawn from European — in some cases top — leagues, yet against a less-than-optimal Ukraine line-up the Sakartvelo played extremely chaotically. The constant drifting of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia from his natural flank into the middle only confused his own team-mates, and danger arose mainly from solo runs by Chakvetadze and long-range efforts.
It is worth noting that this is probably the most pragmatic group of the tournament: across the four games of the first two rounds the teams have scored a combined total of just 2 goals, and the latest round passed without any goals at all.
In my opinion the Hungarians are the favourites in this match. Although the Georgians have a bright star up front in Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, they still cannot agree on how the team should best create chances. I think the hosts will at the very least avoid defeat, and the cautious total will stay under 3.5.
Prediction: Hungary not to lose (1X) & Under 3.5 goals — odds 1.73
France vs Italy Match Tips
Since the World Cup and under the guidance of Zinedine Zidane, the French have done nothing but win so far. In the opening round they managed a victory in Turkey despite the injury to striker Kylian Mbappé, who also scored the winning goal. In the second round the French national team snatched a win by the minimum margin in Belgium. Overall, under their new coach one of the Nations League favourites is so far showing a pragmatic approach.
As for the Italians, Roberto Mancini‘s side risked finishing off the nervous systems of supporters who have suffered enough in recent years with another home defeat like the one against Belgium in the first round, yet the trip to Turkey proved unexpectedly joyful for the Squadra Azzurra and ended in an emphatic win.
Perhaps they can build on that success and surprise the nominal favourite? We will see this Friday. The French have not yet played entertaining football under Zinedine Zidane, but against this current Italy side it seems simply impossible to act pragmatically — the Squadra Azzurra allow you to shine in attack.
Prediction: France team total Over 2 — odds 1.63
Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Prediction
The Anton Malatinsky Stadium in Trnava hosts two teams who have yet to lose in Group 2 of League B, which only heightens the intrigue of the contest. The winner will be able to establish themselves in first place, significantly improving their chances of qualifying for League A.
Ukraine under Andrea Maldera continue their personnel and tactical experiments. After the opening success in Hungary, the Italian coach made radical changes in Tbilisi, substantially reshaping the line-up. Despite certain flaws in building attacks, the blue-and-yellows showed good defensive discipline, and the reliability of Anatoliy Trubin allowed them to keep a clean sheet against Georgia (0:0).
Northern Ireland under Michael O’Neill are showing their trademark pragmatic, combative football. The Irish have already created a loud sensation with an away win over Georgia (1:0) thanks to a penalty save from Pierce Charles and a decisive goal from his brother late in the game. At home they also managed to take a point off a tricky Hungary side. The Green and White Army feel excellent playing on the counter, relying on physical duels, dangerous set pieces and rapid transitions into attack.
I expect a very scrappy, uncompromising battle in which the Northern Irish shut up shop in their own half, while Ukraine will be forced to look for luck around the opposition goal and expose themselves to swift counterattacks. As a result, the referee will have to reach for his cards often, and the match will end with the under and with Ukraine avoiding defeat.
Prediction: Ukraine not to lose (1X) & Under 2.5 goals — 1.86
All six selections sit in a narrow band between 1.63 and 1.86, with handicaps, goal lines and double chance combinations doing most of the work rather than outright winners. That tight spread makes the digest easy to combine, and a free bet calculator will show exactly what these prices return in a multiple before you commit to anything.
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FAQ
How many picks does this Nations League matchday 3 digest contain?
There are six selections, one for each featured fixture. The prices run from 1.63 on France’s team total Over 2 up to 1.86 on Ukraine not to lose combined with Under 2.5 goals.
Which analysts produced these expert football predictions?
Oleksii Svyrydov, TipsGG Sports & Esports Expert, covers Germany vs Serbia and Hungary vs Georgia. Sports Data Managers Oleksandr Vaskov and Oleksandr Halian take two matches each, including Greece vs Netherlands and Denmark vs Portugal.
What is the highest-odds pick in the digest?
The longest price is 1.86 for Ukraine not to lose (1X) together with Under 2.5 goals against Northern Ireland. Oleksandr Halian expects a scrappy, low-scoring contest in Trnava.
Where is Ukraine vs Northern Ireland being played?
The game takes place at the Anton Malatinsky Stadium in Trnava. Both sides are unbeaten in Group 2 of League B, so the winner can take top spot and boost its promotion chances.
Are there any goals markets among the selections?
Yes. Denmark vs Portugal carries both teams to score plus Over 2.5 goals at 1.83, while Hungary vs Georgia pairs the home double chance with Under 3.5 goals at 1.73.