Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Argentine Primera Division 2025 Match - 23.09.2025

As the Argentine Primera Division 2025 regular season barrels forward, all eyes turn to Cordoba for a compelling clash between Belgrano and Newells Old Boys on September 23rd, 2025. Hosted in the fervent setting of Estadio Julio César Villagra, the match kicks off at 03:00 CEST, promising a night of intense tactical battles and passionate football. Both sides have much to prove: Belgrano, led by Ricardo Zielinski, are seeking to increase their standing after a challenging series of results, while Cristian Fabbiani’s Newells Old Boys aim to shake off their recent struggles, evoking the storied traditions of Argentine football under the stadium’s floodlights.

For Belgrano, the dynamic forward Franco Jara stands out, having netted five times in his last five appearances and providing a focal point for the team’s attack. On the other side, Newells Old Boys will look to the experienced midfielder Éver Banega, whose orchestration in the middle is vital for dictating the tempo and building creative play.

The “hot stat” to monitor: Belgrano’s relentless attacking form at home—in their last five matches, they’ve outshot their opponents 90 to 37, underlining their offensive intent and ability to create sustained pressure, even if goals have not always followed.

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Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys predictions

My best bet: Belgrano to win.
Despite the midtable congestion and both teams experiencing recent slumps (Belgrano have just one win in their last four, Newells equally with one in four), Belgrano’s home advantage and sharp uptick in attacking threat—best exemplified by Franco Jara—give them a marginal edge. Historically robust at Estadio Julio César Villagra, and buoyed by their 3-1 victory in the most recent head-to-head (Copa Argentina 2025 Quarterfinals), they look poised to capitalize on a Newells defense that has shown vulnerabilities (five goals conceded in their last five games).
Stylistically, expect a tightly contested match. Belgrano favor a 4-4-2, emphasizing width and defensive structure, but are not averse to risks up front—clear in their total of 90 shots over their latest five outings. Their discipline in midfield is occasionally undermined by rushes of fouls (14 yellow cards in five matches), a statistic mirrored by the opponents. Newells Old Boys, deploying a 4-3-1-2, will rely on Banega’s vision yet have struggled with ball retention (pass accuracy at 70% vs Belgrano’s 76%), hinting at pressing vulnerabilities.
Key stats—the foul count (14 Belgrano, 22 Newells) and yellow card rates—suggest a physical battle, potentially tilting set-piece opportunities either way. Such aggression might disrupt rhythm, yet with Belgrano’s set-piece proficiency and Newells’ tendency for defensive lapses, the balance points toward a low-scoring home win.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys Most recent H2Hs

Their last three meetings highlight a nuance in this fixture—tightly contested, physical, with few goals separating them. Belgrano’s recent 3-1 triumph, however, marks a notable psychological inflection point; disciplined defending and set-piece conversions proved decisive against a Newells squad struggling for consistent end-product. Stalemates in their two previous league encounters (both 0-0) speak to mutual caution, reaffirming the expectation of a hard-fought, evenly-matched duel.

🚨Read our full Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Belgrano have scored just 19 goals in 24 league matches—only one team below them in the standings has a weaker attack.
• Newells Old Boys are winless away in their last four outings, conceding at least one goal per match.
• The last three head-to-heads have seen two matches finish goalless, but Belgrano claimed the last cup tie 3-1 at home.
• Both teams average over 13 fouls per match, signalling a scrappy affair with interruptions and frequent cards.
• Belgrano’s Franco Jara is the top scorer between the two sides in their most recent games.

Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys score prediction: 1-0

Expect a close, nervy tie where defences dictate the proceedings. Franco Jara’s recent purple patch is likely to make the difference, especially against a visiting side prone to lapses and lacking a clinical forward. Key interventions from Lisandro López at centre-back could further stifle the Newells attack, while Éver Banega’s vision for Newells gives them hope of conjuring a threat on the break. Ultimately, Belgrano have the slight momentum from their head-to-head win and noisy home backing—making 1-0 a measured prediction.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Belgrano the favourite

Bookmakers lean toward Belgrano, recognizing their home advantage and a slightly steadier defensive record. The low Over 2.5 price (just 1.53 for Under) reflects both sides’ offensive struggles and the defensive nature of this fixture. The “No” on Both Teams To Score is also the market’s expectation, backed by a history of cagey encounters.
Given past results and tactical patterns, these odds fairly price in a low-scoring, hard-fought contest—with Belgrano the marginal favourite, while the draw also remains a notable risk in play.

Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys Over/Under Analysis

• Belgrano have seen Under 2.5 in 4 of their last 5 matches.
• Newells Old Boys have finished Under 2.5 in 3 of their last 5 matches.
• Of the last 3 head-to-heads, two finished 0-0.
• Set-piece threats and aggressive defences point to early disruptions rather than flowing, high-scoring action.

Belgrano Preview

Belgrano’s recent form is a patchwork of resilience and missed opportunities: a 3-1 cup quarterfinal victory over Newells Old Boys suggests they can seize their chances under pressure. However, three league matches prior yielded a scoreless draw, a 1-2 home defeat (Defensa y Justicia), and a heavy 0-3 reverse against Central Cordoba. Ricardo Zielinski’s outfit are profligate in front of goal (19 in 24 league matches), but their attacking numbers have improved, with 7 goals and 90 shots over the last five. Their defensive discipline is inconsistent, highlighted by 14 yellow cards and a red card, yet their robust physical approach can nullify more skilful opponents—especially when spurred on by Cordoba’s support.

Belgrano possible starting eleven

Newells Old Boys Preview

Newells Old Boys return to league action on the back of a humbling 1-3 cup defeat against Tuesday’s hosts. Their league form has also wavered, with just one win in their last four (2-0 vs Atletico Tucuman) and three defeats. Cristian Fabbiani’s charges possess technical acumen in midfield (Éver Banega’s 225 completed passes at 70% accuracy over five matches is most telling), while forward Carlos González has netted three times recently. However, their attack often stalls in the final third, mirrored by their average of just one goal per match so far this season. Defensively, the side is guilty of overcommitting in duels—22 yellows and a red in the last five—disrupting their shape and leaving spaces for opponents to exploit.

Newells Old Boys possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As the TipsGG expert team, we anticipate a narrow Belgrano victory—our AI prediction engine estimates a 46% win probability for the hosts, 30% for a draw, and just 24% for Newells Old Boys. Key factors? Belgrano’s improved finishing through Jara, the advantage of home support, and a Newells squad struggling to stay compact under pressure. Expect Newells to threaten on rare transitions, yet Belgrano’s structure should be enough to secure all three points.
Our main pick: Belgrano to win.

How to watch Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys

• When? 23 September 2025, 03:00 CEST
• Where? Estadio Julio César Villagra, Cordoba
• How to watch: Official Argentine Primera Division broadcasters and livestream via bookmakers’ platforms
• Favorite: Belgrano

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