Belgrano vs Huracan Prediction: 05.09.2026 Argentine Primera Division

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Belgrano host Huracan at Estadio Julio César Villagra in a Clausura fixture that carries real table relevance. Sitting 9th with 11 points, Belgrano are within striking distance of the top group, and a home win would push them toward the leading cluster. Huracan sit three points back in 18th, making this a meaningful contest for the visitors as well. What makes this match particularly interesting is the head-to-head swing: Huracan won the last meeting 3-1 in the Apertura phase, reversing a 3-0 loss from 2025, so form between these clubs has been volatile. Belgrano’s overall 2026 win rate of 53% against Huracan’s 34% tells a clear story about where the quality gap sits right now.

Two players stand out as key contributors heading into this fixture. For Belgrano, Emiliano Rigoni has registered a goal and two offsides across five matches, consistently creating problems in the final third with 10 total shots, and his combination with Lucas Passerini — who has a goal and an assist from five appearances — gives Belgrano a direct, two-man attacking threat that Huracan’s defense will need to manage carefully. For the visitors, Jordy Caicedo has scored twice in just two appearances, making him the most dangerous forward on the pitch despite limited minutes, and his red card discipline is a concern given Huracan’s already elevated foul count.

Hot stat: Huracan committed 58 fouls across their last five matches — 18 more than Belgrano’s 40 — making them one of the more physical sides in this division during this stretch.

Belgrano vs Huracan Prediction

Belgrano are the clear value pick here. Their 2026 win rate of 53% compared to Huracan’s 34% reflects a genuine performance gap, and playing at home in Cordoba adds further weight to the home-side case. Belgrano’s last 30 days show two wins, two draws, and three losses, but the most recent result was a 0-0 draw against Atletico Tucuman — a side currently sitting higher in the table — which shows defensive solidity at minimum. Huracan, by contrast, have managed just one win in their last five games, drawing three of them, including a 1-1 with bottom-half Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and a goalless draw with Deportivo Riestra.

Belgrano’s 4-4-2 system generates more volume: 74 shots across five matches against Huracan’s 54, with better pass accuracy (1918 vs 1472 in absolute terms). Huracan’s high foul rate and a red card in recent matches signal a reactive, physical defensive setup that tends to give up set pieces. Belgrano have earned 61 free kicks in five games, and with Lisandro López and Ramiro Hernandes contributing from deeper positions, they have the personnel to punish that. We predict Belgrano to win as the primary market selection, with the home side’s structural advantages and Huracan’s lack of firepower — just three goals in five matches — making an under outcome plausible in a game where Huracan are likely to park and frustrate.

Team Analysis

Belgrano have been grinding results in the Clausura, accumulating 11 points from seven games with a +3 goal difference. Their last five fixtures show a mix of grit and inconsistency: wins over Independiente Rivadavia (2-0) and Banfield (2-0) bookend losses to Racing Club (0-1) and Defensa y Justicia (1-2), with a 0-0 draw against Atletico Tucuman in their most recent outing. That last result against Tucuman, who sit 13th with 10 points, shows Belgrano can keep clean sheets against organized opposition. Their 4-4-2 shape under Ricardo Zielinski is straightforward and effective at home, where the crowd and familiarity with the surface tend to sharpen their pressing game. The 36 interceptions across five matches reflect a team that works hard without the ball.

Huracan’s recent run is defined more by draws than wins. Four of their last five Clausura games ended level or worse: a 0-0 against Atletico Tucuman, a 2-0 win over San Lorenzo, a 0-2 loss to Sarmiento Junin, a 0-0 with Deportivo Riestra, and a 1-1 with Estudiantes Rio Cuarto. That loss to Sarmiento Junin — a side that has also conceded heavily — is the result that stands out as a warning sign. Diego Martínez’s 4-2-3-1 system has produced only three goals across those five games, and the team’s 54 total shots compare poorly to Belgrano’s 74. The one genuine bright spot is Caicedo, who scored twice in just two appearances, but his red card means his availability and fitness for the full 90 minutes carries risk.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨 Check out our dedicated Belgrano vs Huracan stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Belgrano the Favourite

• Moneyline Belgrano 2.10 | Huracan 4.20
• Draw 2.85
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

The bookmakers peg Belgrano at 45% implied probability, and the market odds around 2.10 reflect a genuine but not overwhelming home advantage. Huracan at 4.20 look too long given their ability to grind draws — three of their last five ended level — but their lack of attacking output makes them a poor value pick for the win. The draw at 2.85 is interesting given Huracan’s draw-heavy form, but Belgrano’s home record and superior overall numbers in 2026 tip the balance. To be honest, Belgrano at around 2.10 with an under 2.5 goals side bet represents the most sensible approach to this fixture.

Possible Starting Lineups

Belgrano Possible Starting Eleven

Belgrano’s 4-4-2 has been consistent across the last five matches. Thiago Cardozo is the first-choice goalkeeper with 16 saves in five games. Lisandro López is the standout defender with a goal and the highest pass count in the backline. In midfield, Francisco González Metilli anchors with 192 passes and three assists-related contributions, while Franco Vázquez adds creativity with 13 total shots from a box-to-box role. Up front, the Passerini-Rigoni combination is the most productive pairing available, and both carry real goal threat against a Huracan side that has conceded from open play in recent weeks.

Huracan Possible Starting Eleven

Huracan’s 4-2-3-1 has been their preferred shape, and Diego Martínez is likely to set up defensively here. Hernan Galindez has made seven saves in four appearances and will be tested by Belgrano’s volume shooting. Rodrigo Fernández leads the defensive line in passing output with 268 passes, and Lucas Blondel contributes both defensively and offensively with 10 shots from full-back. Juan Francisco Bisanz leads in total shots with 14 across four games, making him the primary attacking outlet. Jordy Caicedo’s red card situation means Pussetto may be asked to lead the line if the Ecuadorian is unavailable, which would significantly reduce Huracan’s goal threat.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Belgrano are the better team on paper and at home, and Huracan’s recent form offers little reason for confidence. Three goals in five matches, a red card from Caicedo, and a high foul count that will hand Belgrano set-piece opportunities all point in one direction. Belgrano’s 4-4-2 generates consistent shot volume, their defensive structure has been solid in big home games, and the 2026 win rate of 53% versus Huracan’s 34% is not a small gap. We predict Belgrano to win, with the match staying under 2.5 goals. Huracan have the ability to keep things tight — their draw record shows that — but Belgrano’s home advantage and attacking depth should be enough to find the decisive moment.

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