Belgium (w) vs Greece (w) Prediction: 26.06.2025 International Friendly Preview

The Brann Stadion in Bergen sets the stage for an intriguing June International Friendly, as Belgium (w) and Greece (w) clash in a matchup that, on paper, looks lopsided given the current form and underlying statistics. Yet, this fixture offers more than what bare numbers suggest – Belgium (w), under Ives Serneels, seeks to restore momentum after a stinging defeat, while Greece (w), led by Antonios Prionas, looks to ignite a spark and break a worrying goal drought. Both sides need minutes in preparation for major competitive fixtures ahead, and friendlies have a knack for surprise narratives. Will Belgium’s attacking intent see them bounce back, or could Greece finally turn the tide?

Keep a close eye on Tessa Wullaert for Belgium – a forward boasting both finishing and creativity, with 2 goals and an assist in her last two appearances, her link-up with Justine Monique Vanhaevermaet (1 goal, 3 shots recently) will be critical. For Greece, Veatriki Sarri’s determination and aggressive style could prove vital if they are to disrupt Belgium’s rhythm, despite being cautioned twice in her latest outings.

The hot stat? Belgium have conceded a worrying 10 goals in their last three matches, including a hefty 0-5 loss to France (w), while Greece, despite their defensive focus, haven’t found the net in any of their last five fixtures. Something must give in Bergen!

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Belgium (w) vs Greece (w) prediction

The best value prediction here is for Belgium (w) to secure a convincing win, possibly covering a -2 Asian Handicap. Why? Belgium not only possess superior technical quality but have recently shown that when their attack flows, they can rack up goals, as evident in their impressive 3-0 dispatching of Portugal (w). Despite recent defensive frailties, their front line featuring Wullaert, Cayman, and Vanhaevermaet, should have too much for a Greek side that has failed to score in five straight games and struggled for attacking coherence.

Belgium’s style under Serneels typically involves proactive possession, high pressing, and wide attacking play, with a preference for a 4-2-3-1. They’ve averaged 8 shots per match recently and drawn just 4 yellow cards in five games – disciplined but aggressive when pushing forward. Greece, by contrast, opt for a 4-3-3, but have been overly cautious and lack incisiveness, picking up 7 yellows in their last 5 games – suggesting both frustration and defensive lapses. Expect Belgium to control the ball and tempo, with Greece forced to defend deep for extended periods.

Team Analysis

Belgium (w):
A roller-coaster of results for the Red Flames. Their highlight was a clinical 3-0 victory over Portugal (w), where incisive wing play and Wullaert’s movement stretched the opposition. However, heavy defeats (0-5 to both France (w) and England (w)) have exposed defensive vulnerabilities and perhaps a lack of experience in the back line. Still, their offensive strengths outshine Greece’s by a healthy margin.

Greece (w):
The Greek side look bereft of ideas in the final third, falling 0-1 to Turkey (w) and 0-2 to Slovenia (w) in recent friendlies. Their front three failed to register a goal or an assist in the last five, while defensive cracks are indicated by their high number of yellow cards. There is organisational discipline, but little in the way of progressive play or creativity, which has led to a string of losses and a mounting mental burden.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Belgium (w) vs Greece (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Belgium (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Belgium (w) 1.18 | Greece (w) 11.00
• Draw 6.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.48 | Under 2.5 2.60
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.75 | No 1.38

It’s no surprise that Belgium (w) emerge as overwhelming favourites with win probabilities north of 75 percent, courtesy of their deeper squad, recent goal output, and home advantage. Odds on Greece are long for good reason – their attack not only lacks output, it fails the eye test. The Under 2.5 goals market is less appealing given Belgium’s penchant for high-scoring games, especially against sides lacking structure or self-belief. ‘Both Teams to Score – No’ stands out, considering Greece’s continued goal struggles.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Belgium (w) possible starting eleven

I’ve gone with a 4-2-3-1, reflecting Serneels’ recent setups. Evrard’s experience in goal steadies the defence, while Philtjens and Deloose offer width and composure at the back. Vanhaevermaet’s ability to break up play complements Missipo’s distribution, allowing Wullaert (player to watch for clinical finishing), Cayman and Eurlings to probe in advanced areas. Expect energetic pressing and rapid transitions – perfect ingredients to expose Greece’s weakened left flank.

Greece (w) possible starting eleven

Trying to patch up Greece’s creativity, Prionas should persist with a 4-3-3 hoping Sarri can capitalise on any Belgian errors. Giannakouli’s organisation from the back is vital, whilst Gkatsou and Giannaka need to stay disciplined to avoid an early deficit. Moraitou brings some composure to midfield, but unless Sarri receives service, it could be a frustrating night for the Greek attack.

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My take on the Match

Looking at Belgium’s superior attacking depth, recent resilience after losses, and Greece’s ongoing struggles going forward, my pick is a dominant Belgium (w) win, with a comfortable margin and a clean sheet. Expect Wullaert and Cayman to punish any Greek lapses early, while Vanhaevermaet controls the midfield tempo. Greece’s organisation will keep them in it initially, but a lack of end product is likely to haunt them again. All signs point to a statement rebuff from the Red Flames, reigniting confidence for their summer campaign!

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