Levi Rothermund
Belgium host Tunisia at Brann Stadion in Bergen on June 6, and the gap in quality between these two sides is hard to ignore. The Red Devils arrive off a clean 2-0 win over Croatia, while Tunisia head into this fixture having lost their most recent outing 0-1 to Austria. Belgium carry a 71% win probability according to bookmakers, and the numbers back that up.
One player to watch closely is Kevin De Bruyne, who continues to pull the strings in midfield despite limited minutes in recent games. His combination play with Jeremy Doku on the left caused real problems against Croatia, and Tunisia will need to track that channel carefully. Doku’s directness and pace make him a persistent threat even when the team is not at its sharpest.
Hot stat: Belgium scored 7 goals against Liechtenstein and followed that with a 5-2 dismantling of USA, showing they can be genuinely clinical when the opposition allows space in behind.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Belgium vs Tunisia Prediction
Belgium are the clear pick here. They have won 2 of their 3 matches this year and just beat a solid Croatian side without conceding. Tunisia, on the other hand, have managed only 1 win from 4 outings in 2026 and were kept scoreless in their last match against Austria. We think Belgium win to nil is the best value call on this card.
Belgium’s style is disciplined and structured. They averaged 417 passes in their last match with a pass accuracy rate of around 83%, which points to a team that likes to control possession and build from the back. Tunisia’s data is unfortunately unavailable in full, but their recent results suggest a defensive setup that struggles to create against higher-ranked opponents. Belgium commit fouls at a moderate rate and have only picked up 2 yellow cards in recent matches, meaning they are unlikely to lose control of the tempo. That controlled approach should make it easier to keep Tunisia quiet and convert the chances they create.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Belgium Win to Nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 1.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 5.5 |
Team Analysis
Belgium have looked sharp in their last outing. The 2-0 win over Croatia was built on structure, with Youri Tielemans scoring and Romelu Lukaku adding another. The backline, anchored by Arthur Theate, was comfortable throughout. Thibaut Courtois made one save and barely broke a sweat. Earlier in the year, the Red Devils beat USA 5-2 and Liechtenstein 7-0, though they also drew with Kazakhstan and Mexico, showing they can be inconsistent against more defensive opponents. Still, their floor is high, and they punish teams that sit deep without a plan.
Tunisia’s form tells a different story. Their most recent game ended in a 0-1 loss to Austria, a team ranked similarly in terms of international standing. Before that, they drew with Canada 0-0 and beat Haiti 1-0. They drew with both Mali and Tanzania, which suggests they struggle to break down teams even when they are the stronger side on paper. Tunisia have not been convincing going forward, and their ability to threaten Belgium’s backline looks limited based on recent evidence.
🚨Check out our dedicated Belgium vs Tunisia stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Belgium the Favourite
- Moneyline Belgium 1.32 | Tunisia 8.51
- Draw 4.95
Belgium at 1.32 with Pinnacle is honestly fair value given how this fixture looks on paper. Tunisia at 8.51 reflects how unlikely an upset is, and honestly that price is probably still too short to make a punt worthwhile. The draw at around 4.95 is similarly unattractive given Belgium’s recent clean sheet and Tunisia’s inability to score against Austria. We would stay away from both the draw and the away win markets entirely.
Possible Starting Lineups
Belgium Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Thibaut Courtois
- DF: Timothy Castagne, Arthur Theate, Koni De Winter, Maxim De Cuyper
- MF: Amadou Onana, Nicolas Raskin, Youri Tielemans, Kevin De Bruyne
- FW: Jeremy Doku, Romelu Lukaku
Rudi Garcia looks set to stick with a 3-4-2-1 shape, the same formation Belgium have used consistently across their last five matches. Courtois is the undisputed starter between the sticks. The back three of Castagne, Theate, and De Winter provides physicality and composure in equal measure. Onana and Raskin offer the defensive cover in midfield that allows De Bruyne to operate higher and influence the game. Lukaku leads the line and should be central to whatever Belgium create, especially with Doku providing width and directness on the left channel.
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Tunisia. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Belgium should win this comfortably. Their 2-0 win over Croatia showed defensive solidity and clinical finishing when chances arrived. Tunisia have not scored in two of their last three matches and were beaten by Austria, a team that Belgium would be expected to beat on most days. The Red Devils carry a 100% win rate in the last 30 days and have the individual quality to punish a side that lacks attacking structure.
We think Belgium win to nil is the standout call. Maybe a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline, with De Bruyne and Lukaku the most likely contributors. Tunisia may set up defensively and make it difficult in the first half, but Belgium’s depth and patience should eventually tell. Back Belgium to win without conceding at around 2.00 with most books.
