Levi Rothermund
Berlin hosts the DFB Pokal Final as Bayern Munich and Stuttgart meet at the Olympiastadion on May 23, 2026. Bayern enters with a dominant season, sitting atop the world club rankings and showing form that few can match in German football. Stuttgart, led by Sebastian Hoeneß, approach the final with a point to prove, having already upset top Bundesliga sides in their cup run. A tactical contest is expected, especially given both managers’ preference for the 4-2-3-1 setup. Among the standout names, Harry Kane leads the Bayern line with 5 goals in his last 5 matches, while Ermedin Demirović emerges as a key threat for Stuttgart with 3 goals in the same period. Midfield battles could hinge on the performances of Joshua Kimmich and Angelo Stiller, both crucial in dictating their sides’ tempo and control.
Hot stat: Bayern Munich has posted an 80% win rate across 30 matches in 2026 no other German club matches that consistency.
| 🏆 Tournament: | DFB Pokal 2025/26 Final |
| 🏟 Venue: | Olympiastadion, Berlin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart prediction
TipsGG punters team strongly favors Bayern Munich in this final. The club arrives with robust recent form 5 wins from their last 8 and a staggering 80% win rate this year. Stuttgart, in contrast, have won just 2 of their last 6 matches and their season-long win rate (54%) lags far behind. Bayern’s high shot conversion and ball retention make them a nightmare in possession, while Stuttgart’s defensive vulnerabilities surface with their higher foul and yellow card counts (62 fouls, 10 yellows in last 5). We think Bayern’s ability to break down stubborn defenses and Harry Kane’s current run makes a home win the most logical pick.
Stuttgart’s style leans physical they commit more fouls and rack up more cards, which could lead to dangerous set pieces for Bayern. On the other hand, Bayern’s patient approach results in higher ball possession, more accurate passing (88% average in last 5), and fewer risky challenges. Expect Bayern to dictate tempo, while Stuttgart may rely on counter-attacks and hope to exploit rare defensive lapses.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Stuttgart Over 2.5 Yellow Cards |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Bayern Munich’s recent outings highlight their attacking depth and adaptability. In their last match, they dismantled FC Köln 5-1, capitalizing on defensive errors and converting a remarkable 14 shots into 5 goals. The attacking trio of Kane, Olise, and Díaz orchestrated swift movements, often drawing fouls in dangerous areas. Defensive lapses are rare but present Heidenheim and PSG have exposed some frailties in recent high-scoring draws. Still, Bayern’s passing accuracy and midfield control, especially from Kimmich and Goretzka, keep them on the front foot throughout matches.
Stuttgart, meanwhile, ground out a 2-2 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt in their last match. Their games tend to be more open, with both sides finding the net. Demirović and Tiago Tomas have combined well in attack, but defensive errors and a tendency to commit tactical fouls under pressure have cost them points. Stuttgart’s midfield does not control games as well as Bayern’s, often leading to more turnovers and forced challenges reflected in their higher yellow card count.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Bayern Munich | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 86 | 96 |
| Corner kicks | 27 | 41 |
| Total fouls | 32 | 62 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 88 | 83 |
| Interceptions | 40 | 42 |
| Offsides | 13 | 10 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern Munich the favourite
- Moneyline Bayern Munich 1.33 | Stuttgart 7.90
- Draw 6.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.48 | Under 2.5 2.60
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.73 | No 2.10
The bookmakers have little doubt: Bayern Munich are heavy favorites, and rightly so. Stuttgart’s odds reflect the underdog role, and the draw is priced wide. Over 2.5 goals is favored, indicating expectations of attacking play, while both teams to score is also tipped to come through, likely due to Stuttgart’s recent ability to score against stronger opposition. Honestly, the gap in win probability is justified Bayern’s dominance in domestic competitions and their finishing power tip the scales firmly in their favor.
Possible Starting Lineups
Bayern Munich possible starting eleven
- GK: Manuel Neuer
- DF: Dayot Upamecano, Hiroki Ito, Jonathan Tah, Josip Stanišić
- MF: Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Jamal Musiala, Konrad Laimer
- FW: Harry Kane, Michael Olise
Neuer resumes his role as captain and leader at the back. The defensive line is anchored by Upamecano and Tah, flanked by Ito and Stanišić, providing both stability and ball progression. In midfield, Kimmich and Goretzka offer balance between shielding the defense and launching attacks. Musiala and Laimer operate as creative forces, while Kane and Olise form a potent forward duo. The 4-2-3-1 system suits Bayern’s strengths, enabling quick transitions and width.
Stuttgart possible starting eleven
- GK: Alexander Nübel
- DF: Maximilian Mittelstädt, Ramon Hendriks, Jeffrey Chabot, Josha Vagnoman
- MF: Angelo Stiller, Atakan Karazor, Nikolas Nartey, Chema Andrés
- FW: Ermedin Demirović, Tiago Tomas
Nübel guards the posts for Stuttgart, with Mittelstädt and Vagnoman providing fullback support and overlapping runs. Chabot and Hendriks anchor central defense, though their discipline will be tested by Bayern’s movement. In midfield, Stiller and Karazor attempt to disrupt Bayern’s passing lanes, while Nartey and Andrés look to link up with the forwards. Up front, Demirović and Tomas are tasked with converting limited chances. Stuttgart will likely retain their 4-2-3-1 shape, focusing on compactness and rapid breaks.
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Stuttgart. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We think Bayern Munich’s offensive firepower and superior ball control will prove decisive. Stuttgart can trouble any defense on their day, but Bayern’s pressing, tempo, and Kane’s finishing tip this final their way. Stuttgart’s high foul and card rate may open up set piece opportunities for Bayern. Our call: Bayern to win, both teams to score, and a lively encounter with goals at both ends.
