Liam Duckstein
BATE Borisov host Swiss side Sion in the UEFA Conference League 2026/27 Second Qualifying Round on July 23, with the first leg taking place at the Sumgayit City Stadium in Sumgait. The Belarusian champions come into this tie on the back of a two-legged draw against AF Elbasani, while Sion arrive in near-perfect form, having won all four of their last matches, including a stunning 7-0 demolition of Etoile-Carouge. The gap in current form is stark, and it will take something special from BATE to keep this tie alive heading into the second leg.
For Sion, the attacking output has been impossible to ignore. Striker and midfield combination play under coach Didier Tholot has produced 21 goals in their last five matches. On the BATE side, midfielder Egor Kress has been one of the few consistent performers, logging full minutes in both recent qualifiers and registering an assist. Victorien Angban brings physical presence and experience in the center of the park and will be tasked with disrupting Sion’s fluid build-up play.
Hot stat: BATE have managed just one goal across their last five matches, scoring only 1 in that stretch while collecting 8 corner kicks — a sign that their attacking threat comes mostly from set-piece situations rather than open play.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Conference League 2026/27, Second Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Sumgayit City Stadium, Sumgait |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
BATE vs Sion Prediction
The bookmakers have priced Sion as heavy favorites, and the underlying stats support that view. BATE have managed just one win in nine matches this year, and their recent form in the lead-up to this tie — two draws against a low-ranked AF Elbasani — raises real concerns about their attacking output. Sion, on the other hand, have been relentless, winning four consecutive games and scoring at least three goals in each of their last four outings.
BATE’s 4-4-2 setup is defensively oriented, but their lack of a cutting edge in attack makes it hard to back them to find the net in this one. Sion’s 4-2-3-1 gives them the width and vertical passing lanes to break down deep blocks. Coach Tholot’s side has been clinical in front of goal, and we predict Sion to win this first leg comfortably.
BATE have committed fouls at a moderate rate and have picked up 4 yellow cards across their last five games, which suggests a physical but sometimes undisciplined defensive approach. That could play into Sion’s hands through set pieces and free kick positions in dangerous areas. BATE’s passing data is thin, but their corner kick tally of 8 in five games suggests they do push forward in spells — expect moments of pressure, but not enough to change the outcome.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Sion to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
BATE enter this tie in poor form by any measure. Vitaliy Rogozhkin’s side have won just once in nine matches this year, and their last five results paint a picture of a team that struggles to create and convert. The two-legged tie against AF Elbasani — a club ranked well below European average — ended 1-1 on aggregate, with BATE drawing 0-0 in the most recent meeting. Their output of just 1 goal across the last five games is a serious concern going into a match against a high-scoring Swiss side.
Defensively, BATE have shown some resilience — they have not been blown out in recent games — but they have lacked the quality to push matches in their favor. The 0-1 home loss to Dinamo Minsk earlier in the year is a reminder that even domestically, they are not a reliable force right now.
Sion arrive at this fixture in outstanding shape. Didier Tholot’s team have won four straight matches, scoring 18 goals in the process. The 4-0 win over Annecy in their most recent outing showed their ability to control and punish opponents across 90 minutes. Before that, a 3-1 win over Yverdon and a 4-2 win over Xamax confirmed that Sion can score freely even when games become open. The 7-0 result against Etoile-Carouge stands out as the headline stat — it was not a fluke result against a pushover, as Etoile-Carouge carry a reasonable ranking. Even the 3-3 draw with Young Boys earlier in the period shows Sion’s attacking willingness, even against high-quality opposition.
Their form letter reads as an almost unbroken run of wins and draws from the left, and their 100% win rate over the last 30 days — four wins from four — makes them one of the more confident sides entering European qualifying this summer.
🚨Check out our dedicated BATE vs Sion stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Sion the Favourite
- Moneyline BATE 8.50–14.50 | Sion 1.18–1.24
- Draw 5.20–5.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — value play | Under 2.5 — lower value
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — moderate odds | No — recommended
The odds tell a clear story. Sion at 1.18–1.24 reflects a near-certain bookmaker expectation of a Swiss win. The 75% implied probability from the average bookmaker lines up with the form data completely. BATE at 8.50–14.50 reflects longshot territory, and to be honest, those odds feel fair given their output this season. The draw at 5.20–5.75 offers some value only if you believe BATE can repeat the kind of defensive showing they produced against Elbasani, but Sion are a far more dangerous opponent. Over 2.5 goals looks attractive given Sion’s recent scoring record, and we predict BTTS No is the smarter call given how little BATE have scored lately.
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Sion. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
BATE face a very difficult first leg at a neutral venue. Their recent form — one win in nine matches this year, a single goal across the last five games, and draws against a low-ranked Albanian side — does not inspire confidence against a Sion team that has been scoring freely and winning consistently. Sion’s 4-2-3-1 gives them the tools to dominate possession and create multiple chances, and their 21 goals in five matches is not a number that comes from luck alone.
We predict Sion to win this match comfortably, with the first leg likely setting up the tie in the Swiss side’s favor. Over 2.5 goals is our primary market recommendation, backed by Sion’s attacking numbers. BTTS No is worth considering given BATE’s inability to score in recent weeks. The hot tip of Sion winning both halves carries real value at this stage of European qualifying, where momentum-driven teams tend to press from the first whistle.
