Rafael Nogueira
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Bahia sit fifth in the Série A table and arrive on the back of three wins from their last five outings. Remo occupy 19th spot, winless in their last five games with three defeats and two draws. The gap in form and quality is wide, and Rogério Ceni’s side get to defend that gap at Arena Fonte Nova, where their attack has been scoring at a rate of over two goals per game. Léo Condé’s Remo travel with almost no away confidence, a factor our team weighs heavily here.
Alejo Veliz has been the standout for Bahia lately, scoring three goals in four appearances while averaging nearly four shots per game. Erick Pulga adds another scoring threat from wide areas with two goals and twelve shots across his last four matches. For Remo, Gabriel Taliari has generated the most shot volume up front (seven in four games) but has yet to convert, which sums up Remo’s finishing problem this season.
Hot stat: Remo have scored just four goals across their last five matches while conceding nine, failing to win any of them. Bahia, by contrast, have netted eleven in their last five, a gulf that mirrors the gap in the table.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Arena Fonte Nova, El Salvador |
| 🗓️ Date: | 15.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Bahia vs Remo prediction
We predict a comfortable Bahia win here. The home side sit fifth in the standings with a plus-eight goal difference, while Remo prop up the bottom three with minus-thirteen. Bahia have lost none of their last eight league games, and Remo have won only five of twenty-six played this season. Backing Bahia to win, perhaps with a two-goal margin, looks like the sharpest value on the board given the bookmakers already price them at roughly 66% to win outright.
Bahia’s attacking numbers back the case further: 70 shots and 23 corners across their last five games against Remo’s 60 shots and 24 corners, a fairly even shot-creation picture but Bahia convert at a much higher rate. Discipline wise, both sides sit close together, Bahia picked up 11 yellow cards in five games against Remo’s 10, so cards should stay moderate. Remo’s higher interception count (42 vs 31) suggests they will sit deeper and try to break on the counter, which plays into Bahia’s hands at home.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Alejo Veliz to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Bahia’s most recent result was a 3-2 win over Bragantino, continuing a stretch where they have picked up three wins and two draws in their last five games. That win followed another 3-2 victory against Internacional and a 2-0 win over Vitoria, showing a team that scores freely but occasionally leaks goals at the back, as seen in the 3-3 draw with Chapecoense. The underlying trend, though, is clear: eleven goals scored across five matches and no losses in that stretch.
Remo’s last outing ended in a 0-1 defeat to Flamengo, extending a run with no win in five matches, three losses and two draws. Before that they lost 2-3 to Coritiba and 1-2 to Fluminense, both games where they conceded late or failed to hold a lead. Remo have managed just one win in their last eight fixtures across all competitions, and their away form has been particularly costly, with four goals scored and nine conceded in the sample provided.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Bahia and Remo have no recent competitive meetings on record ahead of this fixture, so there is no head-to-head form to lean on for this preview.
🚨Check out our dedicated Bahia vs Remo stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bahia the favourite
- Moneyline Bahia 1.41 | Remo 7.00
- Draw 4.33
The market leans heavily on Bahia, and the numbers back that stance. A price around 1.41 for the home win reflects Bahia’s superior league position, better recent form, and the sheer gap in scoring output between the two sides. Remo at 7.00 represents long odds that our team sees no reason to fade against, given their away struggles this season.
Possible Starting Lineups
Bahia possible starting eleven
- GK: Ronaldo
- DF: David Duarte, Luciano, Román Gómez, Marcos Victor
- MF: Caio Alexandre, Nicolas Acevedo, Rodrigo Nestor, Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho, Cristian Olivera
- FW: Alejo Veliz
Ceni tends to stick with his 4-2-3-1 shape, and the same core group has featured in all four recent games we tracked. Veliz leads the line with the sharpest finishing record on the roster, while Nicolas Acevedo’s passing volume (248 attempts) anchors the midfield. Watch Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho too, he has scored twice from midfield in his last four appearances.
Remo possible starting eleven
- GK: Marcelo Rangel
- DF: Marcelo Rodrigues Souza, Duplexe Tchamba Bangou, Matheus Felipe, Marlon
- MF: José Welison, Leonel Picco, Ze Ricardo, Vitor Bueno, Gabriel Taliari
- FW: Antonio Galeano
Condé also favours a 4-2-3-1, and Duplexe Tchamba Bangou stands out defensively with 223 passes and 10 interceptions in his last four games, likely Remo’s busiest defender on the night. Antonio Galeano carries the most shot volume up front (eight shots in four games) but will need better service than he has received recently to trouble Bahia’s back line.
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Bahia. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Bahia’s home form, attacking depth, and Remo’s shaky away numbers all point the same direction. We predict a Bahia win, likely by two goals or more, with Alejo Veliz a strong bet to find the net given his recent scoring rate. Remo’s inability to keep clean sheets and their thin away goal tally make Over 2.5 total goals and BTTS: No our preferred combination for value here, to be honest this looks like one of the more straightforward calls on the weekend card.
