Avai vs CRB Prediction: 12 August 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B

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Avai host CRB at the Estádio da Ressacada on 12 August in a mid-table Série B clash that carries real urgency for the home side. Avai sit 17th with just 16 points from 14 games, only five points above the relegation zone, while CRB occupy 6th place with 24 points. Despite Avai’s home advantage, bookmakers actually shade CRB as the narrow favourite at 36% win probability against Avai’s 34%. Midfielder Daniel Penha has been Avai’s standout performer, contributing 3 goals and 1 assist across the last five matches, and he will need to be at his best to unlock a CRB defence that has conceded just once in their last two outings. On the other side, Mikael has been CRB’s most dangerous attacker, netting 4 goals in four appearances and averaging 4 shots per game.

Hot stat: CRB have attempted 75 total shots across their last five matches compared to Avai’s 40, and they have also generated 17 corner kicks to Avai’s 14, pointing to a significant territorial edge for the visitors in recent weeks.

Avai vs CRB Prediction

CRB enter this fixture in noticeably better shape than their hosts. They have won three of their last five matches, posted back-to-back clean sheets against Ceará and Vila Nova, and their 60% win rate over the past 30 days dwarfs Avai’s 40%. The visitors also carry a goal advantage in this head-to-head series, winning the most recent encounter in 2025. Given Avai’s relegation anxiety and CRB’s superior current form, backing CRB on the moneyline at around 2.60 represents solid value.

Avai average 11.4 fouls per game across their last five matches compared to CRB’s 10.2, and Avai have accumulated the same number of yellow cards (5) despite committing more fouls overall, suggesting referees may be patient. CRB’s 4-1-4-1 shape is built to press and win the ball high, while Avai’s 4-3-3 relies on quick transitions. With Avai’s pass accuracy sitting at 74% against CRB’s 83%, the visitors should dominate possession and create the cleaner chances. That pass differential makes CRB’s pressing structure particularly effective against this Avai side.

Team Analysis

Avai’s recent run reads two wins, two losses, and one draw across their last five league outings. Their most impressive result was a 2-0 win over Náutico, but they followed that with a 1-3 home defeat to Botafogo SP and then a 0-1 loss to Juventude in their most recent match. That Juventude defeat underlines the problem: when Avai face organised, in-form sides, they struggle to create and concede first. Their 5 goals scored in five matches is a modest return, and they have kept just one clean sheet in that run. Defensively, they allowed 6 goals across the same period.

CRB suffered a shocking 0-5 defeat at Londrina PR five matches ago, but they have since responded with three wins from four, including a 2-1 victory over Náutico and a 2-0 win over Vila Nova in their last outing. That Vila Nova result is particularly telling given Vila Nova sit 4th in the table. CRB’s 7 goals scored in five matches and the ability to bounce back from a heavy defeat signals a squad with real character. Fábio Matias’ side conceded just one goal across their last three games, a run that coincides with Mikael’s scoring form in attack.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Avai vs CRB stats page for more info.

The four recorded head-to-head meetings show Avai winning three of the last four encounters, including the most recent fixture in the 2026 Série B season (1-0). CRB’s only win came in the first leg of the 2025 season. Avai’s historical record in this fixture is worth noting, though CRB’s current form suggests the trend may not hold this time.

Pre-game odds and win probability: CRB the favourite

• Moneyline Avai 2.75 | CRB 2.60
• Draw 3.10
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The market prices Avai and CRB almost identically, with CRB just edging the favourite tag. Given CRB’s recent form, their superior shot volume, and Avai’s relegation-zone pressure, the 2.60 on CRB looks underpriced. Pinnacle’s 2.80 on Avai reflects the home advantage premium, but the underlying stats do not support Avai as value at that price. We prefer CRB at the best available 2.65.

Possible Starting Lineups

Avai Possible Starting Eleven

Allan Aal has consistently deployed a 4-3-3 shape across recent matches. Igor Bohn starts in goal after featuring in four of the last five games. The back four picks itself, with Wallison providing an assist and Allyson logging the most passing volume among defenders. Daniel Penha is the player to watch: his 3 goals and creative output from a midfield role make him Avai’s most dangerous outlet, and he will need to drag this team into the game given their limited attacking options up front.

CRB Possible Starting Eleven

Fábio Matias lines up in a 4-1-4-1 that effectively becomes a 4-2-3-1 in possession. Vitor Caetano is the clear first-choice goalkeeper with 11 saves across four appearances. Matheus Simonete Bressanelli leads the defensive line in passing volume and has chipped in with a goal. Pedro Castro anchors the midfield with 11 interceptions in four games, the highest of any CRB outfield player. Up front, Mikael is the focal point: 4 goals and 16 total shots in four matches make him the most dangerous attacker on the pitch, and Dadá Belmonte’s 2 assists provide the creative link behind him.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

CRB arrive at the Ressacada in the stronger position across every measurable category: form, shot volume, pass accuracy, and defensive solidity. Avai’s relegation-threatened squad has scored just 5 goals in five matches, and they face a CRB side that has conceded only once in their last three games. Mikael’s form alone makes CRB dangerous enough to win this without reply. We predict a narrow CRB victory, with a 0-1 or 1-0 scoreline most likely given the low-scoring nature of both teams’ recent defensive records. The CRB moneyline at 2.60-2.65 is our primary recommendation, and “CRB to win to nil” at an enhanced price offers the best value on the card.

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