Rafael Nogueira
Auxerre and Nice face off at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps in a late-season Ligue 1 clash that carries heavy implications for the relegation zone. With both teams showing inconsistent form and sitting just above the drop, pressure will be high. This match brings together two sides with similar tactical setups (4-2-3-1), but different recent results. Key players to watch: Lassine Sinayoko, who has scored twice in Auxerre’s last four, and Sepe Elye Wahi, Nice’s most reliable goal threat with three goals in four appearances. The “hot stat”: Nice have drawn four of their last six matches, indicating a cautious, defense-minded approach under Claude Puel.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Ligue 1 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Auxerre vs Nice prediction
We predict a low-scoring draw as the best value market. Both teams have struggled for wins: Auxerre have drawn three of their last five, Nice four of six. Each side posts a low winrate (Auxerre 20% last 30 days, Nice 17%) and prefers control over risk. Fouls and bookings are moderate but Nice’s higher corner count (25 to 13 for Auxerre) signals their reliance on set-pieces. Pass accuracy is nearly identical (Auxerre 82%, Nice 78%), while both teams average a similar foul count per match (Auxerre 55, Nice 55 in five matches). Expect a match decided in midfield, with limited open play chances and both sides likely to settle for a point unless an error breaks the deadlock.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw and Under 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Auxerre’s most recent outing was a 3-1 win against Angers, breaking a winless streak and injecting needed confidence. Sinayoko and Sekou Mara provided cutting edge, while defensive organization finally held. Previous games: 2-3 loss to Lyon, 2-2 draw with Monaco, 0-0 with Nantes, and 1-1 with Le Havre. The pattern: competitive but often short of closing games out.
Nice, meanwhile, drew 1-1 against Lens, again highlighting their tendency for stalemates. Before that: 1-1 with Marseille, 2-0 win over Strasbourg, 0-0 Lille, 1-1 Le Havre. Only one win in six. Wahi remains a rare bright spot, but the midfield lacks consistent creativity.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Auxerre | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 5 |
| Total shots | 45 | 38 |
| Free kicks | 7 | 14 |
| Corner kicks | 13 | 25 |
| Total fouls | 55 | 55 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 82 | 78 |
| Interceptions | 29 | 45 |
| Offsides | 7 | 14 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Auxerre vs Nice stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Auxerre the favourite
- Moneyline Auxerre 2.50 | Nice 3.05
- Draw 3.48
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.20 | Under 2.5 1.60
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.95
Bookmakers slightly favour Auxerre due to home advantage and their recent win, but not decisively. The draw sits close to both teams’ odds, reflecting the tight, low-scoring trend in both squads’ recent form. Over 2.5 goals is less likely according to the odds and recent results. Both Teams To Score is probable, considering defensive lapses and sporadic goal contributions from key forwards.
Auxerre. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Auxerre possible starting eleven
- GK: Théo De Percin
- DF: Bryan Okoh, Sinaly Diomande, Gideon Mensah, Marvin Senaya
- MF: Elisha Owusu, Kevin Danois, Romain Faivre
- FW: Lassine Sinayoko, Sekou Mara, Danny Namaso
De Percin has played most matches recently in goal. Okoh and Diomande are defensive mainstays, supported by Mensah and Senaya for solidity. Owusu and Danois provide midfield stability, while Faivre links play. Sinayoko and Mara’s recent goal return earns them forward roles, with Namaso supporting as a mobile front three. The 4-2-3-1 setup will help contain Nice’s sporadic attacks and provide quick transition.
Nice possible starting eleven
- GK: Yehvann Diouf
- DF: Antoine Mendy, Kojo Peprah Oppong, Melvin Bard, Juma Bah
- MF: Hicham Boudaoui, Morgan Sanson, Charles Vanhoutte
- FW: Sepe Elye Wahi, Mohamed Ali Cho, Sofiane Diop
Diouf is the undisputed starter in goal. Oppong and Mendy form the defensive backbone, Bard and Bah provide width and cover. Boudaoui and Sanson add ball-winning and distribution in midfield, with Vanhoutte as support. Wahi spearheads the attack after his recent scoring form, flanked by Ali Cho and Diop for pace and unpredictability. Nice will also line up in a 4-2-3-1.
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Nice. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a draw, most likely 1-1. Both teams’ lack of firepower, combined with a tendency for tight, physical matches, suggests few chances and a midfield battle. Sinayoko and Wahi could each net, but neither side has shown the ability to control or dominate games recently. Set-pieces may play a bigger role than open play. Expect high corner and interception numbers, with both coaches happy to take a point to keep relegation worries at bay.
