Australia (w) vs Slovenia (w) Prediction: 26.06.2025 International Friendly 2025 Preview

As the International Friendly calendar draws to a close in June 2025, Australia (w) faces Slovenia (w) at Bergen’s Brann Stadion in a fixture offering both tactical intrigue and vital clues about future trajectories. For Australia, the fixture serves as a potential springboard ahead of the next competitive cycle under Joe Montemurro’s leadership, while Slovenia, guided by Jeff Strasser, seek to build on a notable improvement in form. The midfield is likely to be a battleground, with both sides relying heavily on dynamic engine-room play and width provided by their reliable 4-4-2 systems.

Eyes will be drawn to Australia’s in-form attacking duo who have propelled them to two consecutive wins with a combined six goals, while Slovenia’s Lara Prasnikar brings creative spark and scoring acumen, ably supported by youngster Zara Kramzar who’s bagged a crucial goal recently. In the holding role, Dominika Čonč’s physicality will be key to Slovenia’s efforts to disrupt Australia’s rhythm.

Hot stat? Australia (w) boasts a perfect 100% win rate in their last two matches with an imposing 6-1 combined scoreline against Argentina, underscoring their potent attack and disciplined defence in the current friendly phase.

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Australia (w) vs Slovenia (w) prediction

Given Australia’s flawless recent form and clinical finishing, the best value prediction is a win for Australia (w). Their attacking fluidity, exemplified by scoring six goals across two matches, is set against a Slovenian side that continues to rebuild and is still seeking a true defensive identity. Slovenia’s 83% win rate this year can’t be overlooked, particularly their resolute performances in recent outings, but the quality and cohesion of Australia’s forwards, plus their structured midfield, should be enough to dictate the tempo from the opening whistle.

Looking deeper, Australia’s aggressive pressing and disciplined backline have kept the foul counts low and prevented yellow card accumulation – they’ve not picked up a single booking in their recent run, indicating clean, organised play. Slovenia, conversely, have racked up four yellows in just two matches; this could hamper them against swift Australian transitions, especially if they struggle against direct play or find themselves stretched. Australia’s ball retention and pace on the wings, married to their defensive compactness, provide the blueprint for a victory, though Slovenia’s spirited style and danger from set-pieces mean the contest could remain competitive into the later stages.

Team Analysis

Australia (w) have stormed through their latest fixtures, dispatching Argentina (w) 4-1 and earlier, 2-0, showing great versatility in attack and newfound steel at the back. The first of those encounters demonstrated their fluency playing out from a 4-4-2, with overlapping full-backs creating space for their wingers to cut inside. Even more impressive was their ability to restrict Argentina (w) to a single goal over two games – a testament to their collective defensive focus. The variety in the build-up, movement across the front two, and midfield link-ups have seen Australia (w) maximise their assets, and the tactical acumen of Joe Montemurro ensures the side stays adaptable.

Slovenia (w) marked themselves as a side on the rise with a 2-0 win over Greece (w) before suffering a narrow defeat to Ireland (w). Their 4-4-2 has been crafted with emphasis on midfield presses and making life uncomfortable in central areas for opponents. Noteworthy is their discipline without the ball, yet the side’s higher yellow-card and foul count highlights ongoing challenges in dealing with faster, possession-based teams. Still, the thrust provided by Lara Prasnikar and the emergence of Zara Kramzar as a goalscoring threat hint at promise. Defensively, Zala Mersnik has been steady in goal, while Sara Agrez and Lana Golob shore up the central defensive unit, but lapses can occur under heavy pressure.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Australia (w) vs Slovenia (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Australia (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Australia (w) 1.19–1.27 | Slovenia (w) 8.50–11.00
• Draw 5.00–6.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.55 | Under 2.5 2.35
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.45 | No 1.42

These odds are a clear reflection of Australia’s recent dominance and consistent firepower, making them overwhelming favourites. The market anticipates Slovenia will find goals hard to come by versus Australia’s well-drilled defence, while expecting Australia to score multiple times. Over 2.5 goals is supported by both sides’ recent results, and the BTTS market implies strong confidence that Australia will keep a clean sheet. The value, then, sits with a big Australian win and possibly a clean sheet.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Australia (w) possible starting eleven

Australia (w) are expected to line up in their preferred 4-4-2, a formation that has fueled their recent success. Lydia Williams brings veteran composure in goal, while Carpenter and Catley provide attacking thrust from full-back. The established centre-back pairing of Kennedy and Polkinghorne ensures defensive solidity. In midfield, Gorry and Cooney-Cross pull the strings, flanked by the energetic Yallop and Wheeler. The attacking line of Foord and Fowler has shown real chemistry, and both are in fine scoring form. Keep an eye on Catley’s delivery from the left and Foord’s movement off the shoulder of the last defender.

Slovenia (w) possible starting eleven

Slovenia (w) should match Australia’s 4-4-2, with Zala Mersnik in goal and Agrez partnering with Golob at the heart of defence, flanked by the reliable Erzen and Vrabel. Čonč will marshal central midfield, aided by Korošec, whilst Prasnikar and Kolbl will be tasked with supporting both phases. Kramzar and Zver spearhead the attack – Kramzar’s versatility and recent goal-scoring presence could be crucial if Slovenia are to spring a surprise. Expect a compact setup, aiming to frustrate before probing for breakaways.

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My take on the Match

Australia (w) head into this friendly as firm favourites and rightly so, given their ruthlessness in front of goal and robust defence. Their ability to transition smoothly from back to front, paired with a knack for controlling games, tilts this tie heavily in their favour. Slovenia (w) have enough quality to frustrate and break forward, but unless they tighten up defensively and cut down on fouls, Australia’s slick interplay and sharp finishers are set to make the difference. My pick: Australia (w) to win comfortably, likely by two goals or more. This outcome could prove a touchstone, as both teams refine their approach ahead of more meaningful fixtures on the horizon.

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