Rafael Nogueira
Audax Italiano faces Vasco in a Copa Sudamericana Group G encounter that looks pivotal for both sides, with all three teams tied on four points. The last time these two met, Audax stunned Vasco 2-1 away, despite the Brazilian side entering as favourites. Vasco now travels to La Florida seeking redemption, while Audax aims to capitalize on home advantage. Vasco’s Adson and Audax’s Michael Fuentes stand out as dynamic attacking threats who shape their teams’ transitions and final-third play. In this clash, the hot stat: Vasco have produced 97 shots across their last five matches, a volume unmatched in the group, underlining their aggressive intent.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Sudamericana 2026, Group G |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, La Florida |
| 🗓️ Date: | 07.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Audax Italiano vs Vasco prediction
We predict Vasco will avoid defeat in this fixture, with a draw or Vasco win as the most likely outcome. Vasco’s recent attacking output and overall squad depth give them the edge, even away from home. Audax Italiano’s home form has been inconsistent, recording just one win in their last eight matches. Vasco’s firepower, especially through Claudio Spinelli and Adson, can trouble a defense that has conceded eight goals in the last five matches. Our TipsGG punters team sees Vasco’s ability to create and finish chances as the decisive factor.
Both teams play with energy but lack discipline. Audax average 12 yellow cards in five matches, while Vasco’s 14 highlight their aggressive pressing and tactical fouling. Ball possession shifts with Vasco’s higher passing numbers—2516 total passes and 2140 completed—suggesting they will control tempo. High foul and card counts point to frequent match interruptions, which could disrupt rhythm and favor a draw or narrow win. Audax’s 59 fouls in five games, Vasco’s 79, signal a physical contest with set-piece potential.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw or Vasco double chance + Over 2.5 cards |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Audax Italiano’s last five matches exposed defensive gaps, with only one victory. Their most recent outing—a 1-1 home draw against Union La Calera—showed resilience in chasing the game, with Michael Fuentes again central to every positive movement. Audax’s attack, led by Fuentes and Franco Troyansky, creates chances but wastes opportunities. The midfield struggles to shield the backline, leading to recurring late goals against.
Vasco’s last five games feature a 2-2 draw with Flamengo and a 3-0 demolition of Olimpia Asuncion. Their last match, the draw with Flamengo, underlined both their attacking threat and defensive lapses. Claudio Spinelli’s movement and Adson’s creativity consistently break lines. Vasco’s pressing game disrupts opponents but leaves gaps in midfield, which opponents have exploited in transition. Still, their ability to recover from setbacks, as seen in the late equalizer against Flamengo, demonstrates mental strength.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Audax Italiano | Vasco |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
| Total shots | 59 | 97 |
| Free kicks | 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 21 | 37 |
| Total fouls | 59 | 79 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 81% | 85% |
| Interceptions | 28 | 61 |
| Offsides | 7 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Audax Italiano vs Vasco stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Vasco the favourite
- Moneyline Audax Italiano 3.25 | Vasco 2.20
- Draw 3.25
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.77
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.80
Bookmakers rate Vasco as the slight favourite, with the away win offered around 2.20 and the draw at 3.25. The over/under markets lean slightly towards under 2.5 goals, which aligns with both teams’ recent inability to finish chances consistently. Both teams to score is also close to evens, reflecting their regular defensive errors and dangerous forwards. We see value in the double chance market for Vasco, considering Audax’s lack of home dominance.
Possible Starting Lineups
Audax Italiano possible starting eleven
- GK: Tomas Ahumada
- DF: Marcelo Ortíz, Esteban Matus, Daniel Piña, Oliver Rojas
- MF: Marco Collao Ramos, Federico Mateos, Raimundo Rebolledo, F. Loyola
- FW: Michael Fuentes, Franco Troyansky
Ahumada keeps his spot in goal due to consistent starts and solid shot-stopping. Ortíz, Matus, Piña, and Rojas comprise the backline, with Collao Ramos and Mateos anchoring midfield. Rebolledo and Loyola operate wide, supporting Fuentes and Troyansky in attack. Expect a 4-2-3-1, with Fuentes as the focal point—he’s the side’s most dangerous player, while Troyansky’s movement creates lanes for others.
Vasco possible starting eleven
- GK: Léo Jardim
- DF: Jose Luis Rodriguez, Lucas Piton, Lucas Freitas, Robert Renan
- MF: Thiago Mendes, Hugo Moura, Tchê Tchê, Adson
- FW: Claudio Spinelli, Nuno Moreira
Léo Jardim commands the box, while a back four of Rodriguez, Piton, Freitas, and Renan provides physicality and passing range. Mendes, Moura, and Tchê Tchê marshal midfield, with Adson pushing forward. Spinelli leads the line, partnered by Nuno Moreira, both proven goal threats. A probable 3-1-4-2 formation offers flexibility; Adson and Spinelli are the ones to watch for their attacking output.
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Vasco. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a closely contested fixture with Vasco’s offensive depth giving them the advantage. Audax Italiano’s defensive lapses and inability to secure home wins suggest Vasco will take at least a point, possibly all three. Both teams should find the net, but the match’s physicality and disrupted rhythm keep the total goals low. Our TipsGG team’s value pick: Vasco double chance, both teams to score, and over 2.5 cards.
