Sofia Quijada
Audax Italiano host Magallanes at the Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida in a Copa Chile 2026 Group G fixture. Magallanes arrive at this match already eliminated from progression, sitting on zero points after two losses and a combined -4 goal difference. Audax, coached by Pablo Álvarez, carry a clear structural advantage at home, and bookmakers reflect that with a 77% win probability. The standout player to watch for Audax is Giovani Chiaverano Meroi, who leads the team with three assists across the last five matches, offering consistent creativity in the final third. For Magallanes, Santiago Agustin Coronel is the only player to register a goal in the recent data, making him the primary attacking threat under Miguel Ponce.
Hot stat: Audax Italiano have scored in four of their last five matches, netting five goals across that run, while Magallanes have failed to register a single goal across their last five matches in the available team statistics.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Chile 2026, Group G |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, La Florida |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 23:30 CEST |
Audax Italiano vs Magallanes Prediction
Audax Italiano are heavy favorites here, and the numbers back that up. Magallanes have not scored in their last five matches based on the available stats, and their Copa Chile campaign has produced two defeats with six goals conceded. Audax at home, against a side with nothing to play for and a leaking defense, is a straightforward selection.
We predict an Audax Italiano win, with goals coming from their front line. Chiaverano Meroi, Michael Fuentes, and Franco Troyansky have all contributed across the last five games, giving Álvarez attacking depth. Magallanes, operating in a 4-3-3, lack the midfield output to press Audax consistently over 90 minutes.
Audax commit fouls at a moderate rate (34 in five matches) and accumulate yellow cards steadily, with 10 bookings across the same period. Their pass accuracy sits at around 75%, which is solid for this level. Magallanes’ data is sparse, but their Copa Chile group stage performances suggest a passive, reactive style that could invite Audax pressure from the first whistle.
- We predict Audax Italiano to win this match.
- Over 2.5 goals looks like strong value given Magallanes’ defensive fragility.
- Audax averaged over six corners per match in the last five games, making corners over 8.5 a reasonable consideration.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | Audax Italiano to win both halves |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Audax Italiano’s recent form over 30 days is poor on paper, with one win and five losses from seven matches. Their season record of six wins from 17 (35% winrate) is modest. Their last five matches, however, show resilience in attack: a 2-1 win over Palestino, a 2-2 draw with Universidad de Chile, and a 1-1 draw with La Serena show they can produce goals against varied opposition. The 0-1 loss to CD Santa Cruz was their Copa Chile opener, and Magallanes are a considerably weaker opponent than Santa Cruz. Audax’s front four of Troyansky, Fuentes, Coelho, and Chiaverano Meroi all carry goal contributions, and their 59 total shots in five matches reflects genuine attacking intent.
Magallanes come in with a 50% winrate over the last 30 days (two wins from four), but their Copa Chile group stage has been a disaster, conceding six goals and scoring two across two matches. Their most recent outing was a 1-4 loss to Palestino, and before that a 0-0 draw with Antofagasta. The 4-3 win over Deportes Iquique and a 3-2 win over Deportes Recoleta earlier in the run suggest they can score, but those opponents carry much lower ratings. Against better-organized sides, Magallanes have struggled badly. With no points and no path to qualification, their motivation for this fixture is questionable.
🚨 Check out our dedicated Audax Italiano vs Magallanes stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Audax Italiano the Favourite
- Moneyline Audax Italiano 1.19 | Magallanes 4.00
The 1.19 on Audax Italiano reflects a near-certainty in bookmaker terms. That price offers minimal return, so the value lies in backing the win with additional conditions, such as both halves or a specific goals market. At 4.00, Magallanes carry some upset appeal on paper, but their Copa Chile form and the data gap between these squads make that price a trap rather than an opportunity. To be honest, the draw being priced at zero by the bookmaker tells you everything about how this fixture is viewed.
Possible Starting Lineups
Audax Italiano Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Tomas Ahumada
- DF: Enzo Ferrario, Daniel Piña, Raimundo Rebolledo, Oliver Rojas
- MF: Federico Mateos, Bryan Soto, Vicente Zenteno, F. Loyola
- FW: Giovani Chiaverano Meroi, Michael Fuentes
Pablo Álvarez is likely to stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has been the team’s most used shape. Tomas Ahumada starts in goal, having featured in four of the last five matches. The back four builds around the reliable Daniel Piña and Enzo Ferrario, both of whom have played every minute in recent games. Federico Mateos anchors midfield with seven shots and strong passing volume. Chiaverano Meroi in the attacking midfield role is the creative hub, and Michael Fuentes leads the line with a goal and consistent shot output. Franco Troyansky is a strong candidate to start given his four appearances and goal contribution.
Magallanes Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Joaquín Muñoz
- DF: Alonso Walters, Hans Salinas
- MF: M. Poblete, Cristóbal Jorquera, javier quiroz
- FW: milton alegre, Santiago Agustin Coronel, Rubén Farfán
Magallanes’ roster data is limited to one match worth of appearances, making lineup prediction difficult. Miguel Ponce will likely set up in his preferred 4-3-3, with Joaquín Muñoz in goal. Santiago Agustin Coronel is the key attacking reference, having scored in his most recent appearance. Milton Alegre leads the line alongside Farfán. The midfield trio of Poblete, Jorquera, and Quiroz will need to work hard to contain Audax’s movement. With only partial data available, this lineup is based on the most recent match record and may shift significantly.
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Magallanes. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Audax Italiano win this match. Magallanes are eliminated, depleted in confidence after a 1-4 loss to Palestino, and carry the worst Copa Chile Group G record. Audax, playing at home at the Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, have the attacking personnel and structure to dominate. Their 59 shots and 31 corners across the last five matches show they push forward aggressively. We predict Audax to win comfortably, with goals coming from Fuentes, Chiaverano Meroi, or Troyansky. Over 2.5 goals is the play we back with confidence, and BTTS No makes sense given Magallanes’ complete lack of output in their recent statistics. The 1.19 moneyline is short, so pairing the win with over 2.5 or first half result adds real value to the slip.
